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United States: Weak payrolls and softer retail sales – TD Securities
TD Securities notes July payrolls surprised sharply to the downside, with headline jobs dragged by government hiring, while private employment stayed near breakeven.
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Breaking: Iran won't negotiate with the US until Trump's term is done
In a major setback to efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and cool Middle East tensions, Iran ruled out any future negotiations with United States (US) President Donald Trump. Iranian outlets and a X post by y an adviser to Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
US President Trump says Iran should pay for regional damage
United States (US) President Donald Trump used a post on his Truth Social platform to push back on Iran's demands for war reparations, arguing that Tehran, not Washington, should carry the bill for the damage and lives lost across the region.
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Emerging Markets: Selectivity key as Fed path clouds – HSBC
HSBC Asset Management notes that Emerging Market local-currency bonds have delivered strong returns over the past four years, supported by credible policies and attractive real yields, but year-to-date performance has softened as US Treasury yields rose and EM-US real rate differentials narrowed.
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Denmark: Tax cuts keep inflation below the euro area – Nordea
Nordea economist Jan Størup Nielsen notes that Danish inflation eased slightly in July, with headline consumer prices up 1.7% year-over-year and core inflation steady at 2.3%.
EUR/PLN
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Eurozone: Resilient data but growth risks weigh on Euro – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes Eurozone Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data surprised to the upside, suggesting resilience despite higher energy prices and supply disruptions.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Federal Reserve: Sideways growth and sticky inflation – TD Securities
TD Securities’ US economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir expect US output growth to move sideways in 2026 as the lingering Oil shock and Iran-related risks keep the Federal Reserve on hold through year-end.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Hungarian Forint: Recovery against Euro may resume – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that the Hungarian Forint (HUF) has only partially retraced its post-election gains and is expected to recover if global risk conditions stabilise, with EUR/HUF seen returning towards 350–355 in coming months.
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Norwegian Krone: Rate hike odds slashed after soft inflation – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Norwegian Krone (NOK) is trading mixed as firmer Oil offsets the drag from reduced Norges Bank tightening expectations.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Federal Reserve: September hike odds reassessed – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Bas van Geffen comments that weaker United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and a drop in labour supply have reduced urgency for another Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike, though policy remains data‑dependent.
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Copper: Tariff-driven arbitrage reshapes COMEX-LME spread – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts Michael Haigh and Jeremy Sellem argue that Copper has shifted into a policy-driven trade as Section 232 tariffs reshape the COMEX-LME arbitrage.
Copper
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Norwegian Krone: Policy hold guidance in focus – Nomura
Nomura’s Josie Anderson, George Buckley and Andrzej Szczepaniak expect Norges Bank to keep its policy rate at 4.25% at the August meeting, citing softer underlying inflation and benign domestic data.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
CEE FX: Data-heavy week under global pressure – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights a busy Central and Eastern Europe calendar with Czech inflation, Turkey’s inflation report and key Polish data, including GDP and core inflation.
USD/CZK
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Australian Dollar: Hawkish RBA hold supports carry – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that the Australian Dollar (AUD) remains one of the most attractive G10 currencies thanks to favorable carry and a hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Brent: Iran talks keep risk premium in focus – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight that negotiations between Iran and Oman over a new shipping framework through the Strait of Hormuz remain finely balanced, with Tehran linking any lasting arrangement to broader demands on the US.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Romanian Leu: Rating relief but NBR stays cautious – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky says Romania’s unchanged Baa3 rating at Moody’s and prior Fitch decision should ease pressure after recent ROMGBs underperformance.
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Euro advances against Canadian Dollar as Eurozone Investor Confidence rises in August
EUR/CAD inches higher after three days of losses, trading around 1.6120 during the European hours on Monday. The currency cross is holding its ground, driven primarily by a resilient Euro (EUR) following positive Eurozone economic sentiment.
EUR/CAD
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Japanese Yen: Intervention faces persistent rate gap – HSBC
HSBC Asset Management reviews recent coordinated intervention by Japanese and US authorities to support the Japanese Yen, recalling the sharp carry-trade unwind during the previous episode two years ago.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Equities gain on Oil and Fed repricing – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists report that falling energy prices helped push the S&P 500 and other major equity indices to record highs last week. The rally was reinforced by a renewed AI (Artificial intelligence) trade, with semiconductor stocks posting particularly strong gains.
Brent
SPX500
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
Swedish Krona: Hormuz reopening could lift SEK against NOK - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister analyses NOK/SEK through oil-price sensitivity and rate expectations. He finds the Norwegian Krone reacts more strongly to oil than the Swedish Krona, while Riksbank expectations adjust more to oil shocks than Norges Bank.
USD/NOK
EUR/SEK
Fxstreet
Mon, Aug 10
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