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Indonesian Rupiah: BI holds rates to back IDR – BNY
Geoff Yu writes that Bank Indonesia (BI) kept its benchmark rate at 5.75% for a second month in Acting Governor Destry Damayanti’s first decision.
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
US 10-year Treasury yield tumbles as Treasury steps in to calm bond market
The US 10-year Treasury yield declines sharply on Wednesday, trading at 4.651% at the time of writing after reaching an intraday high of 4.712%.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
United Kingdom: Energy-driven upside risks – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Sam Cartwright notes United Kingdom (UK) headline inflation rose to 2.9% year-on-year in July, driven mainly by higher household energy bills.
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
Thai Baht: Higher commodities threaten Baht stability – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analysts note that the Bank of Thailand (BoT) is expected to keep its policy rate at 1.0%, seeing it as sufficiently accommodative. USD/THB has consolidated in a 32.90–33.30 range, with rising global commodity prices and foreign outflows posing downside risks for the Baht.
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
Bank of England: Rate hold baseline with conflict risks – Societe Generale
Sam Cartwright at Societe Generale argues recent easing in United Kingdom (UK) services inflation and labour market loosening support the Bank of England’s wait-and-see stance. The baseline view is Bank Rate stays at 3.75% through 2026 to restrain underlying inflation.
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
South Korean Won: Growth-driven recovery offers policy lesson – ING
Chris Turner at ING explains that Korea’s earlier massive portfolio outflows and a weaker Korean Won (KRW) pushed USD/KRW to 1560 in June, despite a large current account surplus.
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
Fed Minutes expected to shed light on the depth of FOMC hawkish split
The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will release the Minutes of the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
Chinese Yuan: Policy support eyed as growth slows – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay, Dr. Henry Hao and Moses Lim note that China’s July data showed weaker Industrial Production and Retail Sales, underscoring fading momentum at the start of Q3.
USD/CNH
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
Indonesian Rupiah: Stability-focused BI stance – UOB
UOB economist Enrico Tanuwidjaja notes that Bank Indonesia (BI) kept the BI Rate at 5.75% in August, prioritizing Rupiah and macro-financial stability over growth.
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
US Treasury doubles some long-dated debt buybacks to support liquidity
The United States (US) Department of the Treasury (US Treasury) announced on Wednesday that it will double the size of some of its buyback operations aimed at supporting liquidity in the longer-dated Treasury securities market.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
United Kingdom: Constrained backdrop and BoE risks – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Sam Cartwright argues that a new UK Prime Minister has not altered the constrained fiscal backdrop, limiting ambitions on housebuilding, social care, investment and defence.
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
China: Policy support and structural shifts – HSBC
HSBC strategists review July data and the latest China Politburo guidance. Retail sales and Fixed Asset Investment softened, while Industrial Production and exports were supported by AI-related and green technology demand.
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
Canada: EU protectionist shift challenges diversification – NBC
National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) Angelo Katsoras argues that Canada’s push to diversify exports away from the United States (US) toward the European Union (EU) faces growing obstacles as EU industrial policy turns more protectionist.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
US Dollar: Fed minutes watched as rate doubts grow – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke says markets will scrutinize the latest Fed minutes for clues on how close policymakers remain to another rate hike after weaker US labour and inflation data reduced expectations for a hike by year-end.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
Indonesian Rupiah: Policy continuity supports currency – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts Galvin Chia and Kunal Kundu note that Bank Indonesia kept the BI rate at 5.75%, with deposit and lending facility rates unchanged, reinforcing Rupiah stability and inflation control.
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
British Pound: Carry appeal keeps Sterling resilient as BoE stays on hold – ING
ING’s Chris Turner, citing UK economist James Smith, notes that July United Kingdom (UK) Consumer Price Index (CPI) had limited impact on EUR/GBP, with benign food inflation and only a modest uptick in the Bank of England’s core services measure to 3.8%.
GBP/USD
EUR/GBP
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
United Kingdom: Upside risks building for inflation – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Chief United Kingdom (UK) Economist Sanjay Raja notes that UK inflation data for July broadly matched expectations, with headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising and core CPI steady.
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
Japanese Yen: BoJ’s hawkish pivot reshapes outlook against US Dollar - Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered strategists have revised its Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate outlook, bringing forward its expected 25bps hike from October to September and raising its terminal rate forecast to 1.75% from 1.50% previously.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
WTI holds ground around $84.50 as supply risks increase due to US-Iran peace uncertainty
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price moves sideways after three days of gains, trading around $84.50 per barrel during the European hours on Wednesday.
WTI
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
Euro: Extends rebound as yields stabilize against US Dollar - Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that EUR/USD has extended its rebound towards 1.1600 as European yields remain elevated while US Treasury yields stabilize after the recent spike.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Aug 19
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