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Brazil's industrial output beats expectations in January

ReutersMar 6, 2026 1:05 PM

- Industrial production in Brazil rose more than expected in January from December, government statistics agency IBGE said on Friday, despite high interest rates weighing on Latin America's largest economy.

  • Production rose 1.8% in January, IBGE said.

  • The median estimate in a Reuters poll projected a 0.7% increase.

  • The result marked the sharpest climb since June 2024, following a strong decline the previous month.

  • Output was up in all four main categories surveyed in January, according to IBGE.

  • Compared to a year earlier, production in January grew 0.2%, while economists had expected a 0.7% drop.

    TIGHT FINANCIAL CONDITIONS

  • While January's rebound partly offsets the weak end to the fourth quarter of 2025, the outlook remains cautious, warned Pantheon Macroeconomics' chief Latin America economist Andres Abadia.

  • "Interest rate cuts this year, fiscal support ahead of elections, and potential gains from the EU-Mercosur agreement likely will provide some tailwinds, but investment weakness and political uncertainty keep risks tilted to the downside," he said.

  • Brazil's central bank has maintained interest rates near a two‑decade high of 15% in a bid to tame persistent inflation, signaling it could start easing in March.

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