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Pepe Price Forecast: PEPE holds gains as on-chain, derivatives data support recovery

FXStreetFeb 16, 2026 8:05 AM
  • Pepe price steadies at $0.0000048 on Monday after recovering over 16% in the previous week.
  • On-chain and derivatives data indicate further recovery, as whale accumulation rises alongside long bets among traders.
  • The technical outlook highlights potential upside to the immediate resistance at $0.0000052.

Pepe (PEPE) is stabilizing at $0.0000048 at the time of writing on Monday, after recovering over 16% in the previous week. Supporting on-chain and derivatives data hint at further upside, with whale accumulation rising alongside long bets. The technical outlook suggests that PEPE could test its immediate resistance at $0.0000052 if bullish momentum persists.

On-chain and derivatives data show a bullish bias 

Santiment’s Supply Distribution data supports a bullish outlook for PEPE, as whales are buying the frog-theme based memecoin at recent price dips.

The metric indicates that whales holding between 100,000 and 1 million (red line), 1 million and 10 million (yellow line), and 10 million and 100 million tokens (blue line) have accumulated a total of 11.82 billion PEPE tokens since February 11.

Pepe supply distribution chart. Source: Santiment

Santiment data indicate that the Pepe ecosystem’s trading volume (the aggregate trading volume generated by all exchange applications on the chain) reached 905.99 million on Sunday, the highest level since mid-January, and steadied at 744.80 million on Monday. This volume rise indicates a surge in traders’ interest and liquidity in Pepe, boosting its bullish outlook.

PEPE trading volume chart. Source: Santiment

On the derivatives side, Coinglass’s long-to-short ratio for PEPE stands at $1.13 on Monday, nearing the highest level over a month. This ratio, being above one, indicates that traders are betting on the PEPE price to rally. 

Pepe long-to-short ratio chart. Source: Coinglass

Pepe Price Forecast: PEPE momentum indicators show early signs of recovery

Pepe price rose more than 16% in the previous week, closed above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.0000046 on Saturday and declined the next day. At the time of writing on Monday, PEPE is trading at around the 50-day EMA at $0.0000046.

If PEPE continues its recovery, it could extend the advance toward the immediate resistance at $0.0000052, its 100-day EMA. A close above this could extend the rally toward the 200-day EMA at $0.0000065.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 52, above the neutral level of 50, indicating early signs of bullish momentum gaining traction. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on Saturday, further supporting the recovery thesis.

PEPE/USDT daily chart

However, if PEPE faces a correction, it could extend the decline toward the February 6 low at $0.0000031.

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.

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