Overview
Canada precious metals miner's Q4 revenue rose sharply yr/yr, driven by higher silver prices
Q4 EPS increased significantly, reflecting improved profitability
Company ended Q4 with strong operating cash flow and robust cash position
Outlook
Aya sees 2026 total production between 6.2 mln and 6.8 mln oz AgEq
Company expects Zgounder Silver Mine 2026 output of 5.2 mln to 5.8 mln oz Ag at $21.50/oz AgEq cash cost
Aya plans 2026 Boumadine pyrite reclaim production of about 1.0 mln oz AgEq at $10/oz AgEq cash cost
Result Drivers
HIGHER SILVER PRICES - Q4 revenue growth was driven by a 47% quarter-over-quarter increase in average net realized silver equivalent price to $58.39/oz
INCREASED PRODUCTION VOLUMES - Consolidated silver equivalent ounces sold rose 282% yr/yr in Q4, supported by the ramp-up at Zgounder and initial contributions from Boumadine
ZGOUNDER RAMP-UP - Successful ramp-up and transition to steady-state operations at Zgounder boosted throughput and recoveries, supporting higher production and sales
Company press release: ID:nGNX3hDhMJ
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q4 Revenue | Meet | $75 mln | $75 mln (1 Analyst) |
Q4 EPS |
| $0.12 |
|
Q4 Operating Cash Flow |
| $34 mln |
|
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 10 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the non-gold precious metals & minerals peer group is "buy"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Aya Gold & Silver Inc is C$32.50, about 69.3% above its March 30 closing price of C$19.20
The stock recently traded at 12 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 24 three months ago
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