EUROPE GAS-European gas prices soar on Middle East conflict
By Susanna Twidale
LONDON, March 2 (Reuters) - Benchmark Dutch and British wholesale gas prices soared on Monday morning, after Iran and Israel stepped up attacks in the Middle East and on the suspension of many energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.
Most tanker owners, oil majors and trading houses have suspended crude oil, fuel and liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipments via the Strait of Hormuz, trade sources said, after Tehran warned ships against moving through the waterway.
Europe has increased imports of LNG over the past few years as it seeks to phase out Russian gas following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Around 20% of the world’s LNG transits through the Strait of Hormuz and a prolonged suspension or full closure would increase global competition for other sources of the gas, driving up prices internationally.
"Disruptions to LNG flows would reignite competition between Asia and Europe for available cargoes," said Massimo Di Odoardo, vice president, gas and LNG research at Wood Mackenzie.
The Dutch front-month contract at the TTF hub, seen as a benchmark price for Europe TFMBMc1, was up 7.44 euros at 39.40 euros per megawatt hour (MWh), or around $13.54 /mmBtu, by 1131 GMT, ICE data showed.
Benchmark Asian LNG prices jumped almost 39% on Monday morning with the S&P Global Energy Japan-Korea-Marker (JKM), widely used as an Asian LNG benchmark, at $15.068 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), Platts data showed.
"If LNG/gas markets start to price in an extended period of losses to Qatari LNG supply, TTF could potentially spike to 80-100 euros/MWh ($28-35/mmBtu)," Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING, said.
The British April contract NGLNMJ6 was up 21.49 pence at 100.60 pence per therm, ICE data showed.
Europe is also relying on LNG imports to help fill its gas storage sites which have been depleted over the winter and are currently around 30% full, the latest data from Gas Infrastructure Europe showed.
In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract CFI2Zc1 was down 0.49 euro at 69.80 euros a metric ton.
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