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GRAINS-Wheat eases after rally, Russia-Ukraine war limits downside

ReutersDec 23, 2025 1:49 AM

- Chicago wheat ticked lower on Tuesday, falling for the first time in four sessions, although losses were limited by concerns that an escalation in the Russia–Ukraine war could disrupt supplies.

Soybeans ticked higher, while corn was flat.

FUNDAMENTALS

The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) Wv1 fell 0.1% to $5.15 a bushel by 0134 GMT. Soybeans Sv1 added 0.1% to $10.65-3/4 a bushel, while corn Cv1 was flat at $4.47 a bushel.

Reports of more Russian strikes on Ukrainian port infrastructure rekindled concerns about war risks to Black Sea grain trade, encouraging investors to cover short positions after an eight-week low last week.

Russian forces hit port and energy infrastructure in Ukraine's Odesa region, sparking a fire that burned 30 containers of flour and vegetable oil at the port of Pivdennyi, a senior Ukrainian official said on Monday.

Russia has increased attacks on the Odesa region on the Black Sea coast in recent weeks, disrupting Ukraine's grain export logistics.

Expectations of a record soybean harvest in Brazil are keeping a lid on prices.

Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production is expected to reach 180.4 million metric tons, agribusiness consultancy AgRural said on Monday, raising its forecast from the 178.5 million tons estimated in November.

Russia cut wheat area amid falling profits. The country's overall wheat area is expected to fall to 26.3 million hectares from 26.9 million hectares, while the average wheat yield will edge down to 3.2 tons per hectare from 3.3 tons, the Sovecon consultancy said on Monday.

MARKET NEWS

Most major stock indexes were higher at the start of a holiday-shortened week on Monday, with shares of Nvidia NVDA.O rising, while the yen strengthened against the U.S. dollar after Japanese officials warned against "one-sided and sharp" currency moves. MKTS/GLOB

DATA/EVENTS (GMT)

0500 Japan Chain Store Sales YY Nov

1330 US Durable Goods Oct

1330 US GDP Advance Q3

1415 US Industrial Production MM Nov

1500 US Consumer Confidence Dec

1500 US New Home Sales-Units Oct

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