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PRECIOUS-Gold falls as strong US jobs data dims rate-cut prospects

ReutersNov 21, 2025 2:15 AM

- Gold prices slipped on Friday and were on track for a weekly fall, as a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will refrain from cutting rates at its December meeting.

FUNDAMENTALS

Spot gold XAU= was down 0.2% at $4,062.79 per ounce, as of 0157 GMT. Bullion has lost 0.3% so far this week. U.S. gold futures GCcv1 for December delivery edged 0.2% higher to $4,068.10 per ounce.

The closely watched U.S. Labor Department report, delayed by the federal government shutdown, showed that September nonfarm payrolls increased by 119,000, more than double the estimated increase of 50,000.

Traders now see nearly a 39% chance for a Fed rate cut next month, down from 60% earlier this month.

Gold, a non-yielding asset, tends to do well in low-interest-rate environments. FEDWATCH

The dollar .DXY was on track on Friday for its strongest weekly performance in more than a month, as investors wagered the Fed is unlikely to cut rates next month. A stronger dollar makes greenback-priced gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. USD/

Minutes from the Fed's October meeting released on Wednesday showed it cut interest rates even as policymakers cautioned that doing so could risk entrenched inflation and a loss of public trust in the U.S. central bank.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee repeated on Thursday he is "uneasy" about frontloading interest-rate cuts, particularly with progress on inflation towards the Fed's 2% goal looking to have stalled and starting to go the wrong way.

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack warned on Thursday that cutting rates further right now carries a wide range of risks for the economy. Fed Governor Lisa Cook sees a risk of outsized asset price declines.

SPDR Gold Trust GLD, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.41% to 1,039.43 tons in the previous session from 1,043.72 tons on Wednesday.

Elsewhere, spot silver XAG= slipped 0.4% to $50.39 per ounce, platinum XPT= climbed 0.4% to $1,517.95, and palladium XPD= added 0.3% to $1,381.22.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT)

0700

UK Retail Sales MM, YY Oct

0700

UK Retail Sales Ex-Fuel MM Oct

0745

France Business Climate Mfg, Overall Nov

0815

France HCOB Mfg, Svcs, Comp Flash PMIs Nov

0830

Germany HCOB Mfg, Svcs, Comp Flash PMIs Nov

0900

EU HCOB Mfg, Svcs, Comp Flash PMIs Nov

0930

UK Flash Mfg, Svcs, Comp PMIs Nov

1445

US S&P Global Mfg, Svcs, Comp PMIs Flash Nov

1500

US U Mich Sentiment Final Nov

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