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Marathon Petroleum Q3 profit misses estimates

ReutersNov 4, 2025 11:42 AM


Overview

  • Marathon Petroleum Q3 net income rises to $1.4 bln, adjusted EPS misses analyst expectations

  • Company reports $3.2 bln adjusted EBITDA, driven by strong Refining & Marketing execution

  • Company returns $926 mln to shareholders, announces 10% quarterly dividend increase


Outlook

  • Marathon Petroleum expects Q4 refining operating costs of $5.80 per barrel

  • Company projects Q4 distribution costs at $1.575 bln

  • Marathon Petroleum forecasts Q4 refining planned turnaround costs of $420 mln


Result Drivers

  • REFINING & MARKETING - Higher crack spreads and efficient operations drove strong cash generation in Q3

  • MIDSTREAM GROWTH - Midstream segment growth driven by higher rates, throughputs, and recent acquisitions

  • RENEWABLE DIESEL CHALLENGES - Segment faced negative EBITDA despite increased utilization due to weaker margins


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$3.01

$3.14 (16 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

$4.51

Q3 Net Income

$1.40 bln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 11 "strong buy" or "buy", 9 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the oil & gas refining and marketing peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Marathon Petroleum Corp is $195.00, about 0.4% above its November 3 closing price of $195.79

  • The stock recently traded at 16 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 17 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nPn3v0FpBa

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