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Capstone Copper beats Q3 revenue estimates, reiterates 2025 copper production forecast

ReutersOct 30, 2025 8:25 PM


Overview

  • Capstone Copper Q3 2025 revenue beats analyst expectations, reaching record high

  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 sets record, driven by increased sulphide copper production

  • Company announces joint venture partnership at Santo Domingo, enhancing project returns


Outlook

  • Capstone reiterates 2025 copper production guidance, trending towards lower half of 220-255kt range

  • Capstone expects 2025 cash costs to trend towards upper half of $2.20-$2.50/lb range


Result Drivers

  • SULPHIDE PRODUCTION - Increased sulphide copper production at Mantoverde and Mantos Blancos drove record adjusted EBITDA

  • COST REDUCTION - Lower C1 cash costs due to higher production volumes and favorable by-product credits

  • MV OPTIMIZED PROJECT - Sanctioning of Mantoverde Optimized project expected to increase production and extend mine life


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

Beat

$598.40 mln

$555.80 mln (6 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted Net Income

Beat

$49.40 mln

$47.20 mln (2 Analysts)

Q3 Net Income

$262.50 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBITDA

Beat

$249.20 mln

$223.10 mln (7 Analysts)

Q3 Cash Flow from Op. Activities

$231.20 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 15 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the specialty mining & metals peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Capstone Copper Corp is C$14.50, about 15% above its October 29 closing price of C$12.33

Press Release: ID:nBwbfhmV4a

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