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Alamos Gold's Q3 revenue and adjusted EPS miss estimates

ReutersOct 29, 2025 9:25 PM


Overview

  • Alamos Gold Q3 revenue and adjusted EPS missed analyst expectations

  • Produced 141,700 ounces of gold, slightly below guidance due to Magino mill downtime

  • Record free cash flow of $130 mln achieved in Q3


Outlook

  • Alamos Gold revises 2025 production guidance down by 6% due to operational challenges

  • Company expects Q4 production to rise 18% and costs to decrease by 5%

  • Alamos Gold updates 2025 capital guidance to $539-$599 mln, reflecting Lynn Lake timeline changes


Result Drivers

  • PRODUCTION INCREASE - Gold production rose 3% to 141,700 ounces, driven by stronger performances from Mulatos and Island Gold

  • MARGIN EXPANSION - Margin expansion contributed to record free cash flow of $130 mln, supported by higher gold prices and lower costs


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

Miss

$462.30 mln

$493.60 mln (3 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$0.37

$0.42 (7 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted Net Income

Miss

$155.5 mln

$158.50 mln (2 Analysts)

Q3 Net Income

$276.3 mln

Q3 Basic EPS

$0.66

Q3 Free Cash Flow

$130.3 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 10 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the gold peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Alamos Gold Inc is C$60.67, about 27.5% above its October 28 closing price of C$43.97

Press Release: ID:nGNXlkCv9

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