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FACTBOX-Citi downgrades short-term gold, silver price forecasts

ReutersOct 28, 2025 8:10 AM

- Citi on Monday cut its short-term gold and silver price targets, lowering zero-to-three month gold price forecast to $3,800 per ounce from $4,000 and its silver forecast to $42 per ounce from $55, citing shifts in global market conditions.

The cuts follow trade negotiations led by U.S. President Donald Trump with countries including Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and Cambodia, alongside potential talks with Brazil, India, and Taiwan while China's President Xi Jinping has signaled openness to discussions, reducing market uncertainty, Citi said.

The bank said that changes in price momentum, the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, and lower inflation expectations could weigh on gold prices in the near term.

Gold prices have surged 51% year-to-date amid geopolitical uncertainty, rate-cut expectations, and central bank buying. They hit a record high of $4,381.21 per ounce on October 20 but have retreated 10% since then. GOL/

"The litany of worries that are driving gold higher may eventually need to become the base case to sustain this bull run through 2026," Citi said, adding that the medium-to-long term case to allocate towards gold as a hedge against possible geopolitical and economic concerns remains strong.

Following is a list of analysts' latest forecasts for 2025 and 2026 gold prices (in $ per ounce):

Brokerage/Agency

Annual Price Forecasts

Price Targets

Forecast as of

2025

2026

Citi Research

$3,400

$3,250

Lowers 0-3 month price target to $3,800

October 28, 2025

JP Morgan

$3,468

$4,753

Expects prices reaching an average of $5,055/oz by 4Q26

October 23, 2025

HSBC

$3,455

$4,600

$4,600 per ounce by year-end 2025

October 17, 2025

ANZ

$3,494

$4,445

$4,400 by year-end and $4,600 by June 2026

October 16, 2025

Bank of America

$3,352

$4,438

2026 gold outlook raised to $5,000

October 13, 2025

Societe Generale

-

-

$5,000 by the end of 2026

October 13, 2025

Standard Chartered

-

$4,488

October 13, 2025

Goldman Sachs

$3,400

$4,525

$4,900 by December 2026

October 7, 2025

Commerzbank*

$4,000

-

$4,200 by the end of next year

October 7, 2025

Deutsche Bank

$3,291

$4,000

$4,300 by Q4-2026

September 17, 2025

UBS

-

-

Decline in real rates, potentially into negative territory, could push gold towards $4,700

October 16, 2025

*end-of-period forecasts

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.

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