
Oct 28 (Reuters) - Citi on Monday cut its short-term gold and silver price targets, lowering zero-to-three month gold price forecast to $3,800 per ounce from $4,000 and its silver forecast to $42 per ounce from $55, citing shifts in global market conditions.
The cuts follow trade negotiations led by U.S. President Donald Trump with countries including Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and Cambodia, alongside potential talks with Brazil, India, and Taiwan while China's President Xi Jinping has signaled openness to discussions, reducing market uncertainty, Citi said.
The bank said that changes in price momentum, the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, and lower inflation expectations could weigh on gold prices in the near term.
Gold prices have surged 51% year-to-date amid geopolitical uncertainty, rate-cut expectations, and central bank buying. They hit a record high of $4,381.21 per ounce on October 20 but have retreated 10% since then. GOL/
"The litany of worries that are driving gold higher may eventually need to become the base case to sustain this bull run through 2026," Citi said, adding that the medium-to-long term case to allocate towards gold as a hedge against possible geopolitical and economic concerns remains strong.
Following is a list of analysts' latest forecasts for 2025 and 2026 gold prices (in $ per ounce):
Brokerage/Agency | Annual Price Forecasts | Price Targets | Forecast as of | |
| 2025 | 2026 |
|
|
Citi Research | $3,400 | $3,250 | Lowers 0-3 month price target to $3,800 | October 28, 2025 |
JP Morgan | $3,468 | $4,753 | Expects prices reaching an average of $5,055/oz by 4Q26 | October 23, 2025 |
HSBC | $3,455 | $4,600 | $4,600 per ounce by year-end 2025 | October 17, 2025 |
ANZ | $3,494 | $4,445 | $4,400 by year-end and $4,600 by June 2026 | October 16, 2025 |
Bank of America | $3,352 | $4,438 | 2026 gold outlook raised to $5,000 | October 13, 2025 |
Societe Generale | - | - | $5,000 by the end of 2026 | October 13, 2025 |
Standard Chartered | - | $4,488 |
| October 13, 2025 |
Goldman Sachs | $3,400 | $4,525 | $4,900 by December 2026 | October 7, 2025 |
Commerzbank* | $4,000 | - | $4,200 by the end of next year | October 7, 2025 |
Deutsche Bank | $3,291 | $4,000 | $4,300 by Q4-2026 | September 17, 2025 |
UBS | -
| - | Decline in real rates, potentially into negative territory, could push gold towards $4,700 | October 16, 2025 |
*end-of-period forecasts