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US CPC Says El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Alert System Not Active As ENSO-Neutral Conditions Present

ReutersMay 15, 2025 12:53 PM

- U.S. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE'S CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC):

  • SAYS EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) ALERT SYSTEM STATUS IS CURRENTLY “NOT ACTIVE” AS ENSO-NEUTRAL CONDITIONS ARE PRESENT

  • SAYS ENSO-NEUTRAL IS FAVORED TO PERSIST THROUGH SUMMER 2025 WITH CHANCES REACHING 74% DURING JUNE-AUGUST, AND REMAINING ABOVE 50% THROUGH AUGUST-OCTOBER 2025

  • SAYS ENSO-NEUTRAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE PRESENT FOR MUCH OF SEASONAL OUTLOOK LEADS, AND ARE HIGHLY LIKELY FOR THE FIRST LEAD, JUNE-JULY-AUGUST 2025

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