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GLOBAL MARKETS-Trade hopes feed risk appetite, boosting stocks and bitcoin

ReutersMay 9, 2025 11:42 AM
  • World stocks near 6-week highs on trade optimism
  • U.S. deal with UK is first since Trump's tariff pause
  • U.S. officials to meet with Chinese negotiators on Saturday
  • Bitcoin leaps to highest since January; Brent crude up almost 2%
  • Chip shares rise in Japan, Taiwan; China stocks struggle

By Nell Mackenzie

- World stocks hovered near their highest levels in six weeks on Friday after a U.S. trade deal with Britain fueled guarded optimism for progress in tariff talks with other countries.

India on Friday offered to slash its tariff gap with the U.S. to less than 4% from nearly 13% now, in exchange for an exemption from President Donald Trump's "current and potential" tariff hikes, Reuters reports, as both nations move fast to clinch a deal.

MSCI's broadest index of world shares .MIWD00000PUS gained 0.14%, and remains above levels seen before Trump's 'Liberation Day' global tariff announcements. Germany's Dax stock index hit a record high .GDAXI, while U.S. stock futures pointed to firm gains on Wall Street ESc1, NQc1

"The deal between the U.S. and UK was more style over substance," said Kyle Rodda, a senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com.

The "general terms" agreement leaves in place a 10% tariff on goods imported from the UK but lowers prohibitive U.S. duties on UK car exports. Britain agreed to lower its tariffs to 1.8% from 5.1% and provide greater access to U.S. goods.

"However, it feeds the narrative that the U.S. is looking to bang out rapid-fire trade deals and reduce tariffs - at the margins - and other trade barriers," Rodda said.

Trump pushed back against seeing the UK deal as a template for other negotiations, perhaps, including those due Saturday when U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and chief trade negotiator Jamieson Greer will meet China's economic tsar He Lifeng in Switzerland.

European stock markets were broadly higher, with the pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX up 0.5%.

An investor rush from safe assets such as government bonds into riskier ones such as stocks might mean markets are getting ahead of themselves on optimism, said James Rossiter, head of global macro strategy at TD Securities.

"The trade deal isn't really a trade deal. It's an agreement on a few narrow topics. Still, it shows there is a degree of movement and that some tariffs could be mitigated," said Rossiter. Even so, he added, "tariffs are not going away."

Reaction to the UK trade agreement and the optimistic trade figures that emerged yesterday from China have pushed markets higher temporarily, but "the fundamentals behind what markets are seeing are not as robust," said Rossiter.

Outflows from U.S. stocks continued for a fourth straight week in the week to Wednesday, BofA Global Research said in a note on Friday, while investors bought international stocks, led by inflows to Europe.

Safe haven German Bund prices fell on Friday, driving yields 6 basis points higher to 2.58%, as investors dropped their bonds for assets with higher returns DE10YT=RR.

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields were up 1.3 bps at 4.39% US10YT=RR.

Bitcoin soared to the highest since January, when it hit record highs BTC=.

Brent crude LCOc1 added almost 2% to $64 per barrel, following Thursday's 2.8% rally. U.S. crude CLc1 rallied 2% to $61.17 per barrel, also building on the previous day's surge.

Standard Chartered's Geoffrey Kendrick no longer sees risk sentiment as the main driver for bitcoin.

"It is now all about flows, and flows are coming in many forms," said Kendrick, the bank's global head of digital assets research, pointing to an influx of cash into bitcoin ETFs, as well as buying by so-called whales.

Shares of crypto exchange Coinbase Global COIN.O rose over 5% on Thursday after it announced $2.9 bln deal to buy crypto option exchange Deribit. Shares fell on Friday morning 1.1% after a lower first quarter profit report.

The U.S. dollar index =USD, which measures the currency against six major peers, edged away yesterday's one-month peak and was last down around 0.3%.

The euro EUR=EBS rose from one-month troughs and was last trading 0.2% firmer at $1.1251, and sterling GBP=D3 gained 0.3% to $1.3281.

Mainland China blue chips .CSI300 closed down 0.2%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI ended 0.4% higher. Japan's Nikkei .N225 soared 1.6% and Taiwan's equity benchmark .TWII advanced 1.8%, with technology shares the strongest performing sector.

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