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Ultrapar Participacoes SA

UGP

3.890USD

+0.050+1.30%
Market hours ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
4.16BMarket Cap
8.09P/E TTM

Ultrapar Participacoes SA

3.890

+0.050+1.30%

TradingKey Stock Score

Overall Financial Health

Valuation Dimensions

Earnings Forecast

Price Momentum

Institutional Confidence

Risk Assessment

Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score

Overall Financial Health

Valuation Dimensions

Earnings Forecast

Price Momentum

Institutional Confidence

Risk Assessment

Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-12

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively healthy. Its valuation is considered fairly valued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Buy. Despite a weak stock market performance, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
44 / 118
Overall Ranking
212 / 4724
Industry
Oil & Gas

Support & Resistance

No Data

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 7 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
4.043
Target Price
+5.30%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Company Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Ultrapar Participacoes SA is a Brazil-based company primarily engaged in the automotive fuel retail. The Company operates in five segments: Gas distribution (Ultragaz), which distributes liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to residential, commercial and industrial consumers in the South, Southeast and Northeast regions of Brazil; Fuel distribution (Ipiranga), which operates the distribution and marketing of gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, natural gas for vehicles and lubricants, as well as provides related activities across the Brazilian territory; Chemicals (Oxiteno), which produces ethylene oxide, as well as its primary derivatives and fatty alcohols; Storage (Ultracargo), which operates liquid bulk terminals, primarily in the Southeast and Northeast regions of Brazil, and Drugstores (Extrafarma), which trades pharmaceutical, hygiene and beauty products through its drugstore chain in the states of Para and Piaui, among others.
High Profit Growth
The company's net income leads the industry, with the latest annual income totaling USD 25.72.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 32.55%.
Stable Dividend
The company has regularly paid dividends over the past 5 years, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 32.55%.
Fairly Valued
The company’s latest PB is 1.39, at a medium 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 63.86M shares, decreasing 14.79% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by James Simons
Star Investor James Simons holds 2.41M shares of this stock.
Lower Market Activity
The company has less investor interest, with a 20-day turnover ratio of -0.02.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-12

The company's current financial score is 7.11, which is lower than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 7.26. Its financial status is stable, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 5.68B, representing a year-over-year decrease of 7.50%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year decrease of 34.93%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.11
Change
0

Financials

6.80

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents

Total assets

Total liabilities

Free cash flow

No Data

Quality of Earnings

6.13

Operational Efficiency

7.66

Growth Potential

8.42

Shareholder Returns

6.52

Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-12

The company’s current valuation score is 7.60, which is higher than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 5.97. Its current P/E ratio is 7.30, which is 53.21% below the recent high of 11.18 and -8.62% above the recent low of 7.92.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
1.20
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E

P/B

P/S

P/CF

Industry Ranking 44/118
No Data

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-12

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 7.33, which is lower than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 7.53. The average price target for Ultrapar Participacoes SA is 4.00, with a high of 4.80 and a low of 3.46.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.57
Change
0

Support & Resistance

No Data

Analyst Rating

Based on 7 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
4.043
Target Price
+5.30%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

27
Total
7
Median
8
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
UGP
7
Exxon Mobil Corp
XOM
26
Phillips 66
PSX
21
Valero Energy Corp
VLO
20
Marathon Petroleum Corp
MPC
19
BP PLC
BP
19
1
2
3
...
6

Financial Forecasting

EPS

Revenue

Net Profit

EBIT

No Data

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-12

The company’s current price momentum score is 9.33, which is higher than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 7.98. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 3.59 and the support level at 3.14, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
9.33
Change
0.11

Support & Resistance

No Data

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(1)
Neutral(3)
Buy(2)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
0.037
Buy
RSI(14)
68.282
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
73.728
Neutral
ATR(14)
0.115
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
76.950
Neutral
Williams %R
11.475
Overbought
TRIX(12,20)
0.834
Sell
StochRSI(14)
56.677
Buy
Moving Average
Sell(0)
Neutral(0)
Buy(6)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
3.796
Buy
MA10
3.742
Buy
MA20
3.545
Buy
MA50
3.267
Buy
MA100
3.168
Buy
MA200
3.021
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-12

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 3.00, which is lower than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 7.02. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 5.94%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 1.27%. The largest institutional shareholder is James Simons, holding a total of 2.41M shares, representing 0.23% of shares outstanding, with 30.46% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
3.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

No Data

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
Bizma Investimentos Ltda
14.08M
--
Polunin Capital Partners Limited
8.68M
--
Parametric Portfolio Associates LLC
3.08M
+60.78%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
3.44M
-12.10%
American Century Investment Management, Inc.
1.89M
+6.54%
Renaissance Technologies LLC
Star Investors
2.15M
-38.76%
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
1.33M
-60.90%
Aperio Group, LLC
1.47M
+11.53%
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
1.07M
-21.97%
Two Sigma Investments, LP
2.56M
-15.58%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-12

The U.S. Dollar Index is currently in a neutral state, which has a neutral effect on the Oil & Gas export-driven industry. The Dollar Index (DXY) measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies, including the euro, yen, pound sterling, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. The company’s current risk assessment score is 4.54, which is higher than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 4.41. The company's beta value is 1.10. This indicates that the stock tends to outperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences larger declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
4.83
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
1.12
VaR
+4.52%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+35.19%
240-Day Volatility
+41.70%
Return
Best Daily Return
60 days
+7.56%
120 days
+8.36%
5 years
+12.79%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-5.59%
120 days
-7.23%
5 years
-49.27%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+2.06
120 days
+1.12
5 years
+0.06
Risk Assessment
Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+35.19%
3 years
+59.56%
5 years
+59.56%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.04
3 years
+0.31
5 years
-0.02
Skewness
240 days
+0.28
3 years
+0.15
5 years
-3.14
Volatility
Realised Volatility
240 days
+41.70%
5 years
+45.01%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+2.81%
5 years
+3.23%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+192.65%
240 days
+192.65%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+36.70%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+33.74%
Liquidity
Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+0.19%
120 days
+0.19%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-1.50%
60 days
+23.12%
120 days
+27.08%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
UGP
5.94 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
Northern Oil and Gas Inc
NOG
7.11 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Murphy USA Inc
Murphy USA Inc
MUSA
7.03 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
APA Corp (US)
APA Corp (US)
APA
6.97 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Texas Pacific Land Corp
Texas Pacific Land Corp
TPL
6.93 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
California Resources Corp
California Resources Corp
CRC
6.90 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
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