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Ultrapar Participacoes SA

UGP
3.915USD
-0.025-0.63%
Market hours ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
4.19BMarket Cap
8.14P/E TTM

Ultrapar Participacoes SA

3.915
-0.025-0.63%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Ultrapar Participacoes SA

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-30

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively healthy. Its valuation is considered fairly valued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Hold. Despite an average stock market performance, the company shows strong technicals. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Ultrapar Participacoes SA's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
61 / 123
Overall Ranking
190 / 4621
Industry
Oil & Gas

Support & Resistance

No Data

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 7 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
4.500
Target Price
+16.88%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Ultrapar Participacoes SA Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Ultrapar Participacoes SA is a Brazil-based company primarily engaged in the automotive fuel retail. The Company operates in five segments: Gas distribution (Ultragaz), which distributes liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to residential, commercial and industrial consumers in the South, Southeast and Northeast regions of Brazil; Fuel distribution (Ipiranga), which operates the distribution and marketing of gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, natural gas for vehicles and lubricants, as well as provides related activities across the Brazilian territory; Chemicals (Oxiteno), which produces ethylene oxide, as well as its primary derivatives and fatty alcohols; Storage (Ultracargo), which operates liquid bulk terminals, primarily in the Southeast and Northeast regions of Brazil, and Drugstores (Extrafarma), which trades pharmaceutical, hygiene and beauty products through its drugstore chain in the states of Para and Piaui, among others.
High Profit Growth
The company's net income leads the industry, with the latest annual income totaling USD 24.77B.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 32.55%.
Stable Dividend
The company has regularly paid dividends over the past 5 years, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 32.55%.
Fairly Valued
The company’s latest PB is 1.42, at a medium 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 55.77M shares, decreasing 19.20% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Steven Cohen
Star Investor Steven Cohen holds 595.03K shares of this stock.
Lower Market Activity
The company has less investor interest, with a 20-day turnover ratio of -0.02.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-30

The company's current financial score is 5.75, which is lower than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 7.21. Its financial status is stable, and its operating efficiency is low. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 6.01B, representing a year-over-year decrease of 3.09%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year decrease of 133.08%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
5.75
Change
0

Financials

7.44

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
No Data

Quality of Earnings

5.82

Operational Efficiency

5.35

Growth Potential

5.19

Shareholder Returns

4.95

Ultrapar Participacoes SA's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-30

The company’s current valuation score is 8.75, which is higher than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 7.44. Its current P/E ratio is 8.36, which is 102.54% below the recent high of 16.92 and 33.84% above the recent low of 5.53.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.75
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 61/123
No Data

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-30

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 6.57, which is lower than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 7.38. The average price target for Ultrapar Participacoes SA is 4.50, with a high of 4.90 and a low of 4.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.57
Change
0

Support & Resistance

No Data

Analyst Rating

Based on 7 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
4.500
Target Price
+16.88%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

26
Total
7
Median
9
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
UGP
7
Exxon Mobil Corp
XOM
27
Phillips 66
PSX
21
Valero Energy Corp
VLO
20
BP PLC
BP
20
Marathon Petroleum Corp
MPC
19
1
2
3
4
5

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
No Data

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-30

The company’s current price momentum score is 8.77, which is higher than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 6.95. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 4.13 and the support level at 3.71, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.13
Change
1.64

Support & Resistance

No Data

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(1)
Neutral(3)
Buy(2)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
-0.011
Neutral
RSI(14)
54.568
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
80.732
Buy
ATR(14)
0.099
Low Volatility
CCI(14)
53.593
Neutral
Williams %R
17.305
Overbought
TRIX(12,20)
-0.032
Sell
StochRSI(14)
100.000
Buy
Moving Average
Sell(0)
Neutral(0)
Buy(6)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
3.898
Buy
MA10
3.864
Buy
MA20
3.886
Buy
MA50
3.823
Buy
MA100
3.471
Buy
MA200
3.211
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-30

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 3.00, which is lower than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 5.60. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 5.21%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 12.20%. The largest institutional shareholder is James Simons, holding a total of 2.41M shares, representing 0.23% of shares outstanding, with 30.46% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
3.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

No Data

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
Bizma Investimentos Ltda
14.08M
--
Parametric Portfolio Associates LLC
3.94M
+27.89%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
3.60M
+4.57%
American Century Investment Management, Inc.
2.70M
+42.44%
Renaissance Technologies LLC
Star Investors
2.41M
+12.22%
Bessemer Trust Company, N.A. (US)
1.73M
--
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
2.28M
+71.67%
Aperio Group, LLC
1.91M
+30.40%
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
1.88M
+75.17%
Two Sigma Investments, LP
1.78M
-30.71%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-30

The company’s current risk assessment score is 6.97, which is higher than the Oil & Gas industry's average of 6.36. The company's beta value is 1.08. This indicates that the stock tends to outperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences larger declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.97
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
1.08
VaR
+4.40%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+28.49%
240-Day Volatility
+41.32%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+7.56%
120 days
+8.36%
5 years
+12.79%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-5.59%
120 days
-5.59%
5 years
-49.27%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+2.73
120 days
+1.86
5 years
+0.01

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+28.49%
3 years
+59.56%
5 years
+59.56%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
+0.35
3 years
+0.41
5 years
-0.02
Skewness
240 days
+0.24
3 years
+0.17
5 years
-3.20

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+41.32%
5 years
+44.55%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+2.74%
5 years
+3.11%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+354.53%
240 days
+354.53%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+35.43%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+32.60%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+0.19%
120 days
+0.19%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-1.50%
60 days
+23.12%
120 days
+27.08%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
UGP
6.82 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Permian Resources Corp
Permian Resources Corp
PR
8.44 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Valero Energy Corp
Valero Energy Corp
VLO
8.38 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Marathon Petroleum Corp
Marathon Petroleum Corp
MPC
8.27 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Gulfport Energy Corp
Gulfport Energy Corp
GPOR
8.11 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
INR
8.10 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
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