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Tillys Inc

TLYS
1.850USD
+0.050+2.78%
Close 12/19, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
56.38MMarket Cap
LossP/E TTM

Tillys Inc

1.850
+0.050+2.78%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Tillys Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-19

Key Insights

Tillys Inc's fundamentals are relatively healthy, and its growth potential is high.Its valuation is considered fairly valued, ranking 38/95 in the Specialty Retailers industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Hold, with the highest price target at 2.25.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to remain stable.The company has been performing strongly in the stock market over the past month, which is supported by its strong fundamentals and technicals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Tillys Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
38 / 95
Overall Ranking
154 / 4582
Industry
Specialty Retailers

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 1 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
2.250
Target Price
+27.84%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Tillys Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Tilly's, Inc. is a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men, young women, boys and girls. The Company’s stores are located in a variety of retail centers, including malls, lifestyle centers, power centers, community centers, outlet centers, and street-front locations. Customers may also shop online, where it features the same assortment of products as is carried in its stores, supplemented by additional online-only styles. The Company operates over 240 stores in 33 states. The Company's third-party brands include adidas, Affliction, Asics, BDG, Billabong, Birkenstock, Brixton, Converse, CVLA, Crocs, Dickies, Dr. Martens, Ed Hardy, edikted, Ethika, Free People, Herschel Supply Co., HHUF, Jansport, Katin, and others. It supplements its third-party merchandise assortment with its own proprietary brands across many of its product categories. It sells merchandise over the Internet through its e-commerce Website, www.tillys.com.
Fairly Valued
The company’s latest PE is -1.63, at a medium 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 22.44M shares, decreasing 8.77% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Invesco
Star Investor Invesco holds 14.94K shares of this stock.
Lower Market Activity
The company has less investor interest, with a 20-day turnover ratio of -0.13.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-19

The current financial score of Tillys Inc is 7.91, ranking 27/95 in the Specialty Retailers industry. Its financial status is stable, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 139.59M, representing a year-over-year decrease of 2.69%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year decrease of 89.07%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.91
Change
0

Financials

7.74

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

10.00

Operational Efficiency

6.73

Growth Potential

7.77

Shareholder Returns

7.31

Tillys Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-19

The current valuation score of Tillys Inc is 7.80, ranking 49/95 in the Specialty Retailers industry. Its current P/E ratio is -1.63, which is -1865.86% below the recent high of 28.85 and -4808.79% above the recent low of -80.19.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.80
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 38/95
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-19

The current earnings forecast score of Tillys Inc is 6.00, ranking 71/95 in the Specialty Retailers industry. The average price target for Tillys Inc is 2.25, with a high of 2.25 and a low of 2.25.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.00
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 1 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
2.250
Target Price
+27.84%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

35
Total
3
Median
6
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Tillys Inc
TLYS
1
Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc
ASO
21
Gap Inc
GAP
20
Ross Stores Inc
ROST
19
Burlington Stores Inc
BURL
18
Boot Barn Holdings Inc
BOOT
15
1
2
3
...
7

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-19

The current price momentum score of Tillys Inc is 8.92, ranking 36/95 in the Specialty Retailers industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 2.22 and the support level at 1.31, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.86
Change
0.06

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(1)
Neutral(3)
Buy(3)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
0.026
Buy
RSI(14)
60.491
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
39.816
Neutral
ATR(14)
0.167
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
6.175
Neutral
Williams %R
31.776
Buy
TRIX(12,20)
1.315
Sell
StochRSI(14)
56.855
Buy
Moving Average
Sell(1)
Neutral(0)
Buy(5)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
1.826
Buy
MA10
1.860
Sell
MA20
1.665
Buy
MA50
1.568
Buy
MA100
1.692
Buy
MA200
1.666
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-19

The current institutional shareholding score of Tillys Inc is 10.00, ranking 1/95 in the Specialty Retailers industry. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 97.34%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 9.26%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 1.08M shares, representing 4.66% of shares outstanding, with 9.50% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
10.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
Pleasant Lake Partners LLC
8.17M
--
Shay Capital LLC
3.42M
+6.88%
Long Focus Capital Management LLC
2.18M
--
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
1.08M
-8.23%
Healthcare Of Ontario Pension Plan
900.00K
--
Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.
968.01K
-7.15%
Renaissance Technologies LLC
Star Investors
787.81K
-5.99%
Nomura Securities Co., Ltd.
850.58K
-54.55%
MUFG Securities EMEA plc
250.00K
--
Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, LLC
498.51K
-1.45%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-19

The current risk assessment score of Tillys Inc is 2.11, ranking 84/95 in the Specialty Retailers industry. The company's beta value is 1.07. This indicates that the stock tends to outperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences larger declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
2.11
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
1.07
VaR
+5.60%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+84.53%
240-Day Volatility
+137.79%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+22.45%
120 days
+22.45%
5 years
+31.19%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-9.83%
120 days
-13.87%
5 years
-24.08%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+0.06
120 days
+1.08
5 years
-0.20

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+84.53%
3 years
+92.61%
5 years
+95.83%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.69
3 years
-0.29
5 years
-0.18
Skewness
240 days
+0.76
3 years
+0.84
5 years
+0.60

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+137.79%
5 years
+76.53%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+11.16%
5 years
+18.09%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+248.64%
240 days
+248.64%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+78.32%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+41.74%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+1.37%
120 days
+1.40%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-12.54%
60 days
+138.72%
120 days
+144.05%

Peer Comparison

Specialty Retailers
Tillys Inc
Tillys Inc
TLYS
7.34 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Rush Enterprises Inc
Rush Enterprises Inc
RUSHA
8.99 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Ross Stores Inc
Ross Stores Inc
ROST
8.56 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Openlane Inc
Openlane Inc
KAR
8.53 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
National Vision Holdings Inc
National Vision Holdings Inc
EYE
8.35 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Arlo Technologies Inc
Arlo Technologies Inc
ARLO
8.32 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more

FAQs

How does TradingKey generate the Stock Score of Tillys Inc?

The TradingKey Stock Score provides a comprehensive assessment of Tillys Inc based on 34 indicators derived from over 100 underlying data points.
These indicators are categorised into six key dimensions: financial health, company profile, earnings forecasts, price momentum, institutional confidence, and risk assessment, collectively providing investors with a thorough analysis of Tillys Inc’s performance and outlook.

How do we generate the financial health score of Tillys Inc?

To generate the financial health score of Tillys Inc, we analyse various key financial indicators across several core dimensions, including financial fundamentals, earnings quality, operational efficiency, growth potential, and shareholder returns.
By integrating these comprehensive data, the financial health score not only reflects Tillys Inc's overall stability, operational efficiency, and growth potential but also captures the investment returns delivered to shareholders. This score aims to support rational decision-making for investors and other stakeholders. A higher score indicates a better financial health of Tillys Inc.

How do we generate the company valuation score of Tillys Inc?

To generate the company valuation score of Tillys Inc, we use several key financial ratios, including P/E, P/B, P/S, and P/CF. These metrics compare Tillys Inc’s market value to its earnings, assets, sales, and cash flow, serving as core indicators for assessing company value.
By analysing these ratios in an all-round manner, the valuation score reflects not only the market’s current perception of Tillys Inc’s value but also its future profitability and growth potential, thereby supporting more informed investment decisions. A higher score indicates a fairer valuation of Tillys Inc.

How do we generate the earnings forecast score of Tillys Inc?

To calculate the earnings forecast score of Tillys Inc, we consider various key indicators such as analyst ratings, financial forecasts, support and resistance levels, and peer comparisons:
Current ratings and price targets directly reflect analysts’ expectations, while the upside space indicates their views on the stock’s growth potential.
Financial metrics like earnings per share (EPS), revenue, net income, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are core measures for assessing profitability.
By analysing the high, median, and low ranges of the target price, we can identify price trends and determine key support and resistance levels.
Comparing these indicators against peers provides context for the stock’s performance and helps anchor more realistic expectations.
These factors together form a comprehensive earnings forecast score that accurately reflects the stock’s expected financial performance and growth potential. A higher score suggests that analysts have a more optimistic outlook on Tillys Inc’s future.

How do we generate the price momentum score of Tillys Inc?

When generating the price momentum score for Tillys Inc, we examine momentum indicators including support and resistance levels as well as volume metrics.
Support levels represent price points where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines, while resistance levels indicate prices where selling pressure may hinder upward movement. By analysing typical price volume alongside total volume, we assess overall market activity and liquidity. These indicators help identify price trends and potential shifts, enabling more accurate predictions of future earnings.
This comprehensive approach can reflect market sentiment and enable rational forecasts of Tillys Inc’s prices. A higher score indicates a more stable short-term price trend for Tillys Inc.

How do we generate the institutional confidence score of Tillys Inc?

To generate the institutional confidence score of Tillys Inc, we analyse both the proportion of shares held by institutions and the number of shares they own. A higher institutional ownership percentage indicates strong confidence of professional investors, which is generally a positive signal about Tillys Inc’s potential. By examining the number of shares held, we gain deeper insight into institutions’ commitment and attitude toward the stock, as institutional investors typically conduct thorough analysis before making investment decisions. Understanding institutional confidence helps us refine earnings forecasts and provides a more reliable perspective on the company’s future performance and market stability. A higher score indicates greater institutional endorsement of Tillys Inc.

How do we generate the risk management score of Tillys Inc?

To assess the risk management score of Tillys Inc, we examine multiple key indicators related to returns, risk, volatility, and liquidity.
The highest and lowest daily returns reflect the potential size of gains and losses, while the Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return performance. On the risk side, we analyse maximum drawdown and the return-to-drawdown ratio to identify extreme loss scenarios. Skewness helps assess the distribution of returns and whether performance may be biased. Volatility indicators—such as realised volatility and standardised true range—reveal price fluctuations. Downside risk-adjusted returns provide insight into potential losses and gains. Lastly, liquidity metrics like average turnover rate and turnover deviation indicate how actively the stock is traded.
These indicators together provide a multi-dimensional understanding of Tillys Inc’s risk-return profile, serving as core factors of the risk management score. A higher score indicates lower risk on the side of Tillys Inc.
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