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MFA 파이낸셜 2026년 3분기 실적발표 컨퍼런스 콜: 장부가치 하락, 배당 가능 이익 개선

Nov 4, 2026 8:08 PM
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MFA 파이낸셜은 2026년 3분기 금리 상승과 모기지 스프레드 확대의 영향으로 약 1억 5,300만 달러의 순시가평가 손실이 발생하여, GAAP 순손실 1억 1,170만 달러를 기록했다. GAAP 장부가치는 전분기 대비 12.5% 감소한 주당 11.12달러, 경제적 장부가치는 13.3% 하락한 주당 11.44달러를 나타냈다. 경영진은 분기 말 이후 경제적 장부가치가 약 5% 회복된 것으로 추정하고 있다.

주당 분배가능 이익은 0.26달러로 증가했으나, 경영진은 만기를 앞둔 고정금리 스왑의 종료와 금리 및 스프레드 변동성이 향후 이익 경로의 변동성을 높일 것으로 예상하고 있다. 경영진은 신규 투자가 10%대 중후반의 자기자본이익률(ROE)을 창출할 것으로 전망하며, 배당금 유지를 확약하지 않은 채 시장 상황을 고려해 매 분기 검토할 예정이다. 또한, 2027년 6월 말 크레이그 넛슨 CEO가 퇴임하고 브라이언 울프손이 7월 1일 자로 취임할 예정이다.

AI 생성 요약

핵심 요약

  • MFA 파이낸셜(MFA Financial)은 금리 상승과 모기지 스프레드 확대에 따라 약 1억 5,300만 달러의 순시가평가 손실이 발생하면서 2026년 3분기 GAAP 순손실 1억 1,170만 달러(기본 보통주 1주당 1.19달러)를 기록했다고 발표했다.
  • GAAP 주당 장부가치는 전분기 대비 12.5% 감소한 11.12달러를 기록했고, 경제적 주당 장부가치는 13.3% 하락한 11.44달러를 나타냈다. 경영진은 분기 말 이후 경제적 장부가치가 약 5% 회복한 것으로 추정했다.
  • 주당 분배가능 이익은 2분기 0.12달러에서 0.26달러로 증가했다. 실현 신용 손실 차감 전 분배가능 이익은 주당 0.44달러였으며, 비일회성 이익 0.05달러를 제외하면 약 0.39달러였다.
  • 실현 신용 손실은 1,890만 달러로 감소했다. 기존 다가구 주택 포트폴리오의 미상환 원금 잔액은 3억 달러 미만으로 감소했으며, 경영진은 신용 손실이 현재 수준에서 의미 있게 완화될 것으로 전망했다.
  • MFA는 수익률이 높은 자산에 자본 집행을 지속했다. 3분기 중 인수된 대출의 평균 표면금리는 7.8%였으며, 경영진은 현재의 투자건들이 10%대 중후반의 자기자본이익률(ROE)을 창출할 수 있을 것이라고 밝혔다.
  • 1.4% 금리의 고정금리 지급 스왑 약 13억 달러 규모가 2027년 1분기 말까지 만기 도래한다. 해당 스왑은 현재 분기당 주당 약 0.08달러의 분배가능 이익에 기여하고 있다.

주요 재무 데이터

지표2026년 3분기변동 내용 및 설명
GAAP 순손실1억 1,170만 달러기본 보통주 1주당 1.19달러
GAAP 장부가치주당 11.12달러2분기 대비 약 12.5% 감소
경제적 장부가치주당 11.44달러2분기 대비 약 13.3% 감소
분기 총 경제적 수익률-10.6%보통주 주당 배당금 0.36달러 포함
순시가평가 손실약 1억 5,300만 달러공정가치 자산, 부채 및 헤지 반영
TBA 달러롤 수익을 포함한 순이자이익6,340만 달러2분기 6,020만 달러에서 증가
분배가능 이익2,640만 달러주당 0.26달러(2분기 0.12달러에서 증가)
실현 신용 손실 전 분배가능 이익4,530만 달러주당 0.44달러
손실 차감 전 조정 분배가능 이익주당 약 0.39달러비일회성 이익 0.05달러 제외. 전분기 대비 11% 증가, 전년 동기 대비 30% 증가
실현 신용 손실1,890만 달러2분기 대비 감소
일반관리비(G&A)2,360만 달러성과급 미지급 비용 조정에 따른 이익 반영
포트폴리오 60일 이상 연체율6.7%6월 30일 기준 7.0%에서 개선

사업 및 영업 실적

비적격 대출(Non-QM)은 거의 60억 달러에 달하며 MFA의 가장 큰 자산군 지위를 유지했다. 회사는 3분기 중 평균 표면금리 7%, 담보인정비율(LTV) 70% 수준의 비적격 대출을 4억 8,000만 달러 이상 인수했다. 분기 말 직후 MFA는 25번째 비적격 대출 자산유동화를 완료하여 3억 6,000만 달러 상당의 채권을 매각했다.

MFA는 2024년 부실채권(NPL) 유동화 증권을 조기 상환하고 평균 6%의 표면금리로 3억 7,900만 달러 규모의 신규 채권을 발행했다. 이 거래를 통해 신규 투자를 위한 현금 및 자금 조달 여력 4,000만 달러가 확보되었다.

정부기관 보증 주택담보증권(Agency MBS) 포트폴리오는 전체 투자 포트폴리오의 3분의 1에 가까운 약 40억 달러를 기록했다. MFA는 저쿠폰 증권을 고쿠폰 지정 풀(specified pool)로 교체 매매했으며, 4억 7,800만 달러 규모의 TBA 포지션 이월(roll)을 지속했다. 경영진은 현재의 Agency MBS 스프레드가 10%대 중후반의 자기자본이익률(ROE)을 뒷받침할 수 있다고 밝혔다.

리마 원(Lima One)은 해당 분기 동안 단기 전환 대출 2억 1,400만 달러와 30년 만기 임대 대출 7,400만 달러 등 총 2억 8,800만 달러를 신규 취급했다. 이 중 9,500만 달러의 임대 대출을 매각해 240만 달러의 매각 이익을 기록했다.

리마 원은 2024년 봄 영업을 중단했던 다가구 주택 대출 취급을 재개했다. 초기 대출 규모는 약 500만 달러였다. 회사는 이 다가구 주택 대출을 재무제표에 보유하기보다는 매각 목적으로 취급할 계획이다.

기존 다가구 주택 익스포저는 지속적으로 감소했다. 잔여 원금은 3억 달러 미만으로 하락했고 공정가치는 2억 6,300만 달러였으며, 연체 잔액은 7,100만 달러로 감소했다.

MFA는 경영진 승계 계획도 밝혔다. 크레이그 넛슨(Craig Knutson) CEO는 2027년 6월 말 퇴임할 예정이며, 브라이언 울프손(Bryan Wulfsohn)이 2027년 7월 1일 자로 사장 겸 CEO로 취임한다. 앤드루 칼(Andrew Kal)은 2027년 1월 1일 최고투자책임자(CIO)로 합류할 예정이다.

경영진 전망

경영진은 부실화된 기존 다가구 주택 대출 정리 작업이 마무리됨에 따라 실현 신용 손실이 의미 있게 완화될 것으로 예상하고 있다. 경영진은 관련 손실 대부분이 이미 분배가능 이익에 반영되었으며, 2027년으로 접어들면서 다가구 주택 신용 문제가 대부분 해결된 것으로 평가하고 있다고 설명했다.

회사는 현재 수준의 신규 투자가 10%대 중후반의 자기자본이익률(ROE)을 창출할 것으로 예상하고 있다. 이익 성장 속도는 시장 변동성, 금리, 자산 집행 및 MFA의 비효율적 자본 재활용 능력에 좌우될 것이다.

경영진은 리마 원의 재개된 다가구 주택 대출 규모가 1억 달러를 넘어설 수 있다고 밝혔으나, 시기와 규모를 예측하기는 여전히 어렵다고 강조했다.

이사회는 장기 이익 전망, 과세 대상 소득, 유동성, 시장 상황 등을 바탕으로 보통주 배당금을 분기별로 지속 검토할 예정이다. 경영진은 현재의 분기당 주당 0.36달러 배당금 유지를 확약하지 않았다.

리스크 및 주요 관찰 사항

급격한 금리 상승과 모기지 스프레드 확대가 3분기 장부가치 감소의 대부분을 이끌었다. 해당 분기 동안 2년 만기 미 국채 수익률은 70bp 이상 상승해 4.89%를 기록했고, 10년 만기 미 국채 수익률은 거의 85bp 상승해 5.29%를 기록했다.

MFA는 포트폴리오의 듀레이션 갭을 약 1년 수준으로 헤지하고 있으나, 국채 수익률 상승, 모기지 스프레드 확대, 국채 수익률 대비 스왑 금리의 낮은 상승 폭 등이 복합적으로 작용해 장부가치에 압박을 가했다고 경영진은 밝혔다.

1.4% 금리의 고정금리 지급 스왑 약 13억 달러의 만기 도래는 이미 알고 있는 수익성 악화 요인이다. 해당 스왑은 분기별 분배가능 이익에 주당 약 0.08달러를 기여하며, 2027년 1분기 말까지 만기 도래할 예정이다.

신용 리스크는 여전히 축소 중인 기존 다가구 주택 포트폴리오에 집중되어 있다. 경영진은 또한 리마 원의 신축 대출을 주택 가격 추가 하락에 가장 민감한 주거용 부문으로 지목했으나, 차주가 프로젝트를 포기하는 현상은 관찰되지 않았다고 설명했다.

애널리스트 Q&A 주요 내용

  • 기초 수익성: 경영진은 비일회성 이익 0.05달러를 제외할 경우 실현 신용 손실 전 분배가능 이익이 주당 약 0.39달러라고 밝혔다. 투자자들은 곧 만기되는 스왑의 주당 0.08달러 기여분도 감안해야 한다.
  • 순이자 스프레드: 공시된 스프레드는 1.63%로 개선되었다. 경영진은 만기 예정인 스왑으로 인해 보고되는 캐리 수익이 줄어들겠지만, 수익률이 더 높은 신규 투자가 스프레드를 지지할 것으로 예상하고 있다.
  • 자산유동화 시장 여건: MFA는 3분기 중 스프레드 확대를 관찰했으나 이후 시장이 안정화되고 일부 영역에서는 축소되었다고 설명했다. 경영진은 유동화 시장을 여전히 깊이 있고 탄력적인 시장으로 보고 있다.
  • 주거용 신용 리스크: MFA는 대출 심사 시 현저한 주택 가격 상승을 가정하지 않는다. 경영진은 주택 가격 보합 또는 소폭 하락이 비적격 대출(Non-QM) 신용 실적에 미치는 영향은 제한적일 것이나, 리마 원의 신축 대출은 하락 폭이 깊어질 경우 더 민감하게 반응할 것이라고 밝혔다.
  • 자사주 매입: 자사주 매입 활동은 MFA가 보통주 매입 자금을 조달하기 위해 발행해 온 우선주의 가격 여건으로 인해 제약을 받았다. 경영진은 보통주가 장부가치 대비 대폭 할인되어 거래되고 있지만, 유동성, 사업 규모 및 신규 투자 기회와 비교해 자사주 매입의 균형을 맞추고 있다고 밝혔다.

실적발표 콘퍼런스콜 전문


전체 실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 녹취록

경영진 발표

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the MFA Financial Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Hal Schwartz, General Counsel. Thank you. You may begin.

Harold Schwartz

Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. The information discussed on this conference call today may contain or refer to forward-looking statements regarding MFA Financial, Inc. which reflect management's beliefs, expectations and assumptions as to MFA's future performance and operations. When you use statements that are not historical in nature, including those containing words such as will, believe, expect, anticipate, estimate, should, could, would or similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements.

All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. These types of statements are subject to various known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, including those described in MFA's annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, and other reports that it may file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

These risks, uncertainties and other factors could cause MFA's actual results to differ materially from those projected implied in any forward-looking statements it makes. For additional information regarding MFA's use of forward-looking statements, please see the relevant disclosure in the press release announcing MFA's third quarter 2026 financial results. Thank you for your time.

I would now like to turn the call over to MFA's CEO, Craig Knutson.

Craig Knutson

Thank you, Hal. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for MFA Financial's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. With me today are Bryan Wulfsohn, our President and Chief Investment Officer; Mike Roper, our Chief Financial Officer; and other members of our senior management team.

Before I get to the quarter, I'd like to say a few words about the announcement that we made on October 8. As you sure saw, I plan to retire from my role as Chief Executive Officer at the end of June next year and Bryan will become President and CEO on July 1, 2027. Bryan will also join our Board on January 1 of next year, and I expect to remain on the board after I retire, so I'm not going to disappear. This transition is the result of a deliberate succession process on which I have been working with our Board since early 2023.

Bryan has run our residential whole loan portfolio since we began buying loans in 2014 and since late 2024 has overseen Lima One and our Agency MBS and BPL portfolios. Bryan has played an active and central role in shaping both the MFA of today and the strategy that guides us. I've worked with him for over 20 years, both at MFA and previously, and I can't think of anyone better suited to lead the company than Bryan.

We also announced that Andrew Kal will join us on January 1 as Chief Investment Officer. I've known Andrew for over 15 years, and he brings over 25 years of mortgage finance experience, most recently as Head of Residential Lending at Starwood Capital. Andrew's arrival will let Bryan spend the first half of next year preparing to step into the CEO role while our investment team gains the benefit of another very experienced leader with deep expertise in our target assets. Bryan will say more about this in a few minutes.

It's been a privilege to work at MFA for the last 18.5 years and to lead the company for the last 9. I'm sure I'll have more to say on that topic in the coming months. But for now, there's plenty of work to do. So let me turn to the quarter. The third quarter was a difficult 1 for rates, particularly in September. During the quarter, the market began to come to terms with a more hawkish Fed as inflation remains sticky and the economy and payroll stayed strong.

In September, the Fed raised the Fed funds rate by 25 basis points their first increase since 2023, and the accompanying message made clear that more increases will likely follow. Although the Fed left rates unchanged at their meeting last week, market expectations are overwhelmingly anticipating a hike at the December meeting. Treasury yields moved sharply higher in the third quarter. The 2-year yield rose over 70 basis points during the quarter from $4.17 to $4.89. The 10-year rose almost 85 basis points from 4.46% to $5.29, the highest level in 2 decades.

The last time the 10-year closed this high was in 2007. Most of that move came in September and much of it in the final week. Oil prices climbed with continued tension with Iran, rate volatility spiked with the Move index rising from the high 70s at the start of September to above 110 at month end, its largest 1-week jump since April of last year. Against that backdrop, credit spreads were relatively resilient, but mortgage spreads were not.

Agency MBS underperformed meaningfully in September. Non-QM securitization spreads, which tightened into mid-September widened back out to about 140 to 150 basis points on AAAs by quarter end. Mortgage rates rose above 7.25%, up about 50 basis points in September alone. We felt the impact of these moves our portfolio carries interest rate risk that we hedge to an approximate 1-year duration gap, but the combination of a sharp increase in rates, wider mortgage spreads and swap rates that rose less than treasuries collectively worked against us. It is worth noting that most of the book value decline was due to unrealized losses from marks.

Mike will walk through the drivers in more detail. While book value was disappointing, we continue to make progress on the operating priorities we laid out for you over the past year. First, we continue to work through our legacy credit book. realized credit losses improved from the second quarter, as we said they would. Our overall portfolio 60-plus day delinquency rate improved again to 6.7% and our legacy multifamily portfolio shrank to under $300 million UPB and $263 million fair value.

With a clear path to resolution on most of the remaining multifamily loans, and most of these losses already reflected in DE, we believe our multifamily credit issues are largely behind us, particularly as we look forward to 2027. Second, the earnings power of the portfolio continued to improve. Distributable earnings rose to $0.26 per share from $0.12 in the second quarter and DE prior to realized credit losses was $0.44 per share.

Third, we kept our expense base tight. G&A for the quarter was $23.6 million, well below the $33 million quarterly average of 2024. Fourth, we continued issuing in the securitization market. We issued a new $447 million NPL securitization in September after calling our 2024 NPL deal, unlocking an additional $40 million of capital and issued a non-QM deal shortly after quarter end.

As we have discussed previously, the securitization markets are remarkably deep and resilient even in the face of general fixed income market volatility. None of this makes the third quarter book value decline easier to accept, and we still have more work to do. We need to finish resolving the legacy credit book and turn improving earnings power into consistent results. But the same market that hurt us in the third quarter has also created opportunity.

Loans that we acquired in Q3 carried an average coupon of 7.8%, and we expect returns on new investments today will produce mid- to high-teen ROEs. We will remain disciplined, but we will continue to put capital to work in this attractive investment environment. I'd like to turn the call over to Mike now to discuss our financial results.

Michael Roper

Thanks, Craig, and good morning, everyone. At September 30, GAAP book value was $11.12 per share and economic book value was $11.44 per share, down approximately 12.5% and 13.3%, respectively, from the end of the second quarter. MSA again paid a common dividend of $0.36 and delivered a quarterly total economic return of negative 10.6%. For the third quarter, we reported a GAAP net loss of $111.7 million or $1.19 per basic common share.

The loss was driven by net mark-to-market declines of approximately $153 million across our various fair value assets, liabilities and hedges as rates rose sharply and mortgage spreads widened, particularly in late September. Net interest income, including TBA dollar roll income was $63.4 million, up from $60.2 million in the second quarter. Our G&A expenses declined $23.6 million, attributable primarily to nonrecurring depreciation expenses in the second quarter and a nonrecurring benefit from a true-up of incentive compensation accruals in the third quarter.

Moving to distributable earnings. DE for the quarter was $26.4 million or $0.26 per share, up from $0.12 per share in the second quarter. Realized credit losses on fair value loans declined to $18.9 million consistent with the expectations we shared last quarter. DE prior to realized credit losses was $45.3 million or $0.44 per share. That figure includes approximately $0.05 per share of nonrecurring benefits related to a refund of disputed servicing costs and a reduction of incentive compensation accruals in the third quarter.

Excluding those items, DE prior to realized credit losses was approximately $0.39 per share, an increase of 11% from last quarter and 30% from the third quarter of 2025. This marks the third straight quarter of significant growth in the underlying earnings power of our portfolio and reflects the progress of the strategic initiatives that we shared a year ago. In light of the significant market volatility over the last few months, we also want to provide an update on how we're thinking about the path of our distributable earnings from here.

Earlier this year, we shared our expectations for elevated credit losses in 2026 and as we work to resolve our legacy multifamily portfolio. This has played out largely as we expected. While these resolutions have been a drag on our -- many of our most troubled legacy multifamily loans have now been resolved or charged off, and we continue to expect realized credit losses to moderate meaningfully from here.

As we look past the near-term, the recent move in rates and spreads has added significantly more variability to the longer-term outlook for RDE. We also have some known headwinds with approximately $1.3 billion of 1.4% pay fixed interest rate swaps that mature at the end of the year and into the first quarter of next year. These swaps contribute approximately $0.08 per share per quarter to our DE today.

We have meaningful options to offset this loss carry and to continue to grow the portfolio's earnings power with new investments coming on of returns in the mid- to high teens, the continued recycling of unproductive capital and a balance sheet capable of supporting significantly more leverage. How quickly this build will depend in part on how volatility, rates and markets evolve.

As always, our Board will continue to evaluate the dividend each quarter, taking into account our long-term earnings outlook, taxable income, market conditions and other factors.

Finally, subsequent to quarter end, we estimate that our economic book value has increased by approximately 5% since the end of September, driven by a rally in interest rates. I'd now like to turn the call over to Bryan , who will discuss our investment portfolio and Lima ONE.

Bryan Wulfsohn

Thanks, Mike. Before I get into the portfolio, I want to add a few words to what Craig said about our announcement last month. I'm honored that the Board has asked me to lead MFA, and I'm grateful to Craig who has been a mentor and partner to me for more than 2 decades. We have a long runway to make this a smooth handoff next summer. I'm also very glad Andrew Kal is joining us in January. I've known Andrew for over 15 years. He has built and run residential lending businesses, and he knows the non-QM business purpose and broader residential credit markets from both sides of the table.

As CIO, Andrew will lead our investment activities alongside the team that has been with us through many cycles. Andrew adds experience, expertise and relationships to our investment team, and we look forward to working with him.

Now to the quarter. Despite a very volatile September, we continue to add assets, securitize loans, reduce our legacy credit exposure and make improvements at Lima One. I'll touch on each. Starting with NonQM, which remains our largest asset class at nearly $6 billion. We acquired over $480 million of loans during the quarter with an average coupon of 7% and an LTV of 70%.

These were sourced through a select group of long-standing origination partners. Just after quarter end, we issued our 25th non-QM securitization, successfully selling $360 million of bonds and locking in nonrecourse nonmark-to-market financing on the underlying loans. We also remain pleased with the performance of our seasoned RPL and NPL loans, which, as a reminder, were loans originated pre-GFC that were acquired at discounts to par between 2014 and 2019. The default rate in that portfolio fell to another all-time low during Q3.

In September, we called our 2024 NPL securitization and issued $379 million of new bonds with an average coupon of 6%. That transaction unlocked $40 million in cash and financing capacity that we can utilize to make new investments. Turning to our agency book. which comprises nearly 1/3 of our investment portfolio at roughly $4 billion. Though we did not sell any bonds due to volatile market conditions, we were active during the quarter rotating lower coupon securities into higher coupon spec pools.

We also continued to roll our $478 million TBA position. Agency spreads widened in September as rate volatility spiked, which hurt book value this quarter. But at current spreads, we believe agencies offer mid- to high-teens ROEs and remain an attractive liquid complement to our credit assets.

At Lima One, origination volume was $288 million in the third quarter, including $214 million of short-term transitional loans and $74 million of 30-year rental loans. Although these figures were a slight drop from Q2 and we have not and will not compromise the underwriting improvements we've made over the past 2 years in order to grow volume. We sold $95 million of rental loans during the quarter, generating $2.4 million of gain on sale income.

And we're pleased to announce that last week, Lima originated and distributed its first multifamily loans since the spring of 2024. This was the culmination of months of hard work by an entirely new underwriting regime. As with Lima's 30-year rental production, our business plan for multifamily will be originated to sell.

Finally, we continue to wind down our legacy assets, our multifamily loan book fell below $300 million of remaining principal and the delinquent bucket fell to $71 million. As Mike noted, credit losses came in below the second quarter, and we expect them to moderate meaningfully from here. Across our entire loan portfolio, 60-plus delinquencies improved to 6.7% from 7% at June 30.

Overall, while the rate environment made for a difficult quarter for book value we were able to add assets at attractive levels. Lima continued to perform well, and our problem asset book continues to shrink. And with that, I'll turn the call over to the operator for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Bose George with KBW.

질의응답

Unknown Analyst

This is Frank on for Bose. Just want to touch on Lima One. You guys mentioned earlier in the year, returning to the multifamily business like can you discuss maybe the pace there and how you're envisioning multifamily being a bigger part of the book going forward?

Bryan Wulfsohn

Yes. So we just originated our first loans last week. Those amounted to around -- somewhere around $5 million in loans. In terms of the expectation going forward and how big it could be, it's hard to really forecast out exactly we think it might be next year. But we think it's possible that, that asset could easily be above $100 million of originations, and we'll see where it goes from there.

Unknown Analyst

Great. That's very helpful. And then just on the dividend. How are you thinking about the current dividend and the current run rate going ahead? You mentioned some headwinds with some swaps turning off on.

Craig Knutson

Sure. So our Board obviously sets our dividend policy taking into account a number of factors, including our longer-term earnings outlook, taxable income, liquidity, peer group dividend policy and other factors. There's no question that the operating environment is more challenging today than it was in August when we held our second quarter earnings call. but considerable uncertainty remains, not the least of which will be the market response to the midterm election results, which obviously we don't know yet.

Our Board will take all of this into consideration when setting dividend policy. For our part, we're focused on the long-term earnings power of the portfolio and prudently deploying capital to make that happen.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Melissa Lobo with UBS.

Unknown Analyst

Just looking at net interest spread, which improved to 1.63 this quarter. How should we think about the trajectory from here as the portfolio is repricing and particularly the volatility in the securitization market?

Michael Roper

Sure. So this is Mike. I'm happy to answer the first part of that question, and maybe I'll ask Bryan to respond to your question on securitization market. That number can be pretty sticky, right? For GAAP purposes, you don't get to rerack your assets or liabilities or hedges. The spread is sort of locked in at the time you purchase an asset. I think over the last several quarters, we've seen a bit of a shift, which is really driven in part by the increased allocation to Agency MBS, which is a higher leverage, lower spread product.

In terms of the outlook for spread though, as I think Craig said in his prepared remarks, the assets we're adding today are in the high -- mid- to high teens, which certainly should help that number as we move forward. From a financial reporting perspective, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we have these swaps, which are rolling off, which really are not doing much economically given the extremely short duration left in them. However, that decrease in carry will have an adverse impact on the reported spread, notwithstanding the fact that there isn't that big of an impact economically.

Bryan Wulfsohn

And as it relates to securitization markets, we did see widening in Q3. However, the first month of the quarter and recently, we've seen stabilization and some tightening -- so we do think that, that market is very deep, and assets also move wider in terms of spreads when securitization markets, spreads are moving wider as well. So we believe that sort of the NIM, the spread is still able to be maintained there.

Unknown Analyst

Okay. Great. And then on residential credit, seeing the delinquencies improved this quarter. although non-QM very modestly higher. As you look forward, how are you thinking about credit performance if home prices stay flat to modestly lower? And where in the residential portfolio, would you expect to see the most sensitivity?

Bryan Wulfsohn

Mean we -- when we buy assets and originate assets, we don't assume much in the way of HPA growth. So we take a conservative approach when we're looking at projections of home prices as they factor into our credit decisions. So flat home prices are moderately down. We do tend to see right? Like if you were to think about where the pressure could be on the new construction on the Lima side, if things were to go down further, right? You're worried about people potentially walking away from projects, but we haven't seen that at all.

We've seen improvement in that business even in the face of sort of moderating home prices. And on the NonQM side, you look at historical losses we've had there, it's been 0. So we've been sort of wrong to the good, I guess, for the benefit of our portfolio. If we see some flat to moderate, see a basis point or 2 of loss in that portfolio, we're -- it's very minor. We're not concerned there.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Jason Weaver with Jones Trading.

Jason Weaver

First of all, congrats to Craig and Bryan on their transition. And it's nice to see the pre-loss number clear the dividend for this quarter. And I wanted to clarify something on that during your prepared remarks that I might have jumbled in my mind. I think you alluded to a run rate of near $0.39 or is that misconstrued?

Michael Roper

It's -- yes, this is Mike. Thanks for the question. We had this quarter sort of nonrecurring benefit from 2 items that amounted to about $0.05. So if you were to kind of strip those out, it's $0.39. Obviously, if you think about sort of the run rate of that number, I also mentioned in my prepared remarks that we have some swaps that are expiring that contributed about $0.08 this quarter. So I think you got to sort of add those 2 together as the portfolio sits today to construct a run rate.

Jason Weaver

Understood. And then on capital priority, it looks like you bought back about 1 million shares in the first half, and it looks like this quarter, you held off a bit and held more liquidity Help me understand how you're weighing the repurchase against keeping dry powder and what would tilt that back towards buying?

Bryan Wulfsohn

Sure. So we announced this quarter last year, a program to effectively swap preferred for common -- so we've been issuing preferred by the ATM for each of the last several quarters and using those proceeds to buy back common. The preferred market has kind of moved away a little bit from levels that we deem to be accretive in terms of where we want to issue that capital which is why the overall volume there was down this quarter. It's really driven by the constraint of how much preferred we can sell at levels we're comfortable selling it more so than a desire to buy back common.

As far as the overall desire to buy back common versus other uses or preserving liquidity, obviously, the stock is very cheap right now and trading at a material discount to book. And we think it's a compelling opportunity there. At the same time, we're focused on maintaining the scale of the business as well as looking at longer-term returns from the assets that are currently yielding in the mid- to high teens today.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, there are no other questions at this time. I'll turn the floor back to Mr. Knutson for final comments.

Craig Knutson

All right. Thanks, everyone, for joining our call today, and we'll look forward to speaking with you in February.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

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