Se espera que Bitcoin alcance su punto máximo a principios de 2025, seguido de una caída del 30% a mediados de año. Las altcoins pueden enfrentar correcciones más pronunciadas de hasta el 60% durante el verano. Se espera que para finales de 2025 el mercado se recupere y las principales criptomonedas alcancen nuevos máximos.
VanEck destaca los signos clave de un pico del mercado y una posible corrección. Las altas tasas de financiación en los futuros Bitcoin , que se mantienen por encima del 10% durante tres meses, podrían indicar que el mercado se está sobrecalentando. De manera similar, si muchos poseedores Bitcoin tienen más del 70% de ganancias no realizadas, puede indicar entusiasmo en el mercado y una probable caída de precios en el futuro.
VanEck señala más señales de un pico del mercado. Si la relación MVRV supera 5, podría significar que Bitcoin está sobrevaluado. Una caída en las cuotas de mercado de Bitcoin por debajo del 40% podría mostrar que los inversores están favoreciendo las altcoins más riesgosas, lo que indica el fin de una corrida alcista.
Por último, cuando inversores inexpertos invierten en activos especulativos, podría significar que una burbuja en el mercado está más cerca.
VanEck 🤝10 predicciones criptográficas para 2025
Predicción #1: El mercado alcista de las criptomonedas alcanza un pico a mediano plazo en el primer trimestre y establece nuevos máximos en el cuarto trimestre. Proyectamos que Bitcoin tendrá un valor de alrededor de $180,000, Ethereum se negociará por encima de $6,000, Solana superará los $500 y Sui superará los $10.
- VanEck (@vaneck_us) 13 de diciembre de 2024
Bitcoin’s acceptance could increase the crypto market, especially in the U.S., VanEck predicts that governments and institutions might start holding Bitcoin reserves.
Donald Trump is poised to lead Bitcoin-friendly policies in the United States when he assumes the office of the president. States like Texas, Florida, and Pennsylvania are already showing interest in exploring Bitcoin investments.
The shift toward Bitcoin isn’t just in the U.S. Countries like Russia and Canada are also exploring Bitcoin reserves to protect against unstable fiat currencies. Vancouver has even approved a Bitcoin reserve to guard against inflation and market changes, showing growing global trust in Bitcoin’s value.
Stablecoins, digital currencies backed by assets like the U.S. dollar, are set to drive significant growth in the crypto market. VanEck predicts that daily stablecoin settlement volumes will increase from $100 billion to $300 billion by the end of 2025.
This surge will encourage the broader adoption of blockchain technology in payments and financial services, making it a key component of the global financial system.
Institutional interest in Bitcoin is also accelerating, with major players like ARK Invest projecting its value could surpass $1 million by 2030. Financial giants such as Morgan Stanley and Bank of America are steadily increasing their exposure to Bitcoin, also signaling its transition into mainstream investment portfolios.
This growing adoption highlights Bitcoin’s potential as a long-term asset for both individual and institutional investors.
By 2025, the U.S. is expected to become the leader in Bitcoin mining, with lower energy costs and favorable government policies. Bitcoin’s use in the financial world will grow with the development of Layer-2 solutions which will make transactions faster and support decentralized apps (dApps). Additionally, tokenized securities, which are digital versions of traditional assets like stocks and bonds, will become more popular, reaching an estimated $50 billion in value.
As the crypto space evolves, AI-powered agents will change how decentralized finance (DeFi) and gaming work, further integrating Bitcoin into digital platforms.
By 2025, it’s expected that 100,000 BTC will be locked in Layer-2 solutions, showing how important Bitcoin will become in the wider blockchain ecosystem.
VanEck’s 2025 crypto prediction is bullish, with Bitcoin and Ethereum expected to hit new highs. Institutional adoption, government Bitcoin reserves, stablecoins, and AI tech signal growing integration into the global financial system.
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