Stefan Gratzer, director general de JPMorgan y jefe de gestión de patrimonio institucional para Suiza, dijo que los cambios de política prometidos en materia de impuestos, criptomonedas y desregulación podrían afectar a los bancos durante los primeros dos años del gobierno de Trump. Gratzer añadió que sería crucial ver cómo se desarrolló la política de Trump sobre las criptomonedas.
Según el funcionario de JPMorgan, las políticas pro-criptomonedas de Trump eran completamente nuevas y nadie sabía lo que significaban. Sin embargo, Gratzer insistió en que el optimismo generado en torno a la desregulación y los recortes de impuestos prometidos por Trump desbloquearía ganancias en una economía ya floreciente. Señaló que muchos esperaban que la desregulación de las criptomonedas de Trump, entre sus otras promesas, acelerara el crecimiento económico, justo cuando la Reserva Federal se inclinaba hacia una "postura de dinero fácil".
Los primeros dos años del segundo mandato de Donald Trump podrían tener "bastante impacto" si se realizan cambios en las políticas en materia de impuestos, desregulación y criptomonedas, según Stefan Gratzer, director gerente de JP Morgan Private Bank https://t.co/d4cTQoD6qw
- Bloomberg Crypto (@crypto) 10 de noviembre de 2024
JPMorgan’s Gratzer noted that Trump’s support in the Senate and the House could see his pro-crypto policy changes pass in the next two years. He continued to explain that a deregulated crypto market was likely to drive new business for U.S. lenders. Gratzer’s comments suggested that Trump’s comeback was set to have profound implications for sustainable investing. Historically, a surge in crypto prices dovetailed with monetary policy easing, making money borrowing cheaper.
Mike Mayo, analyst at Wells Fargo, also noted that Trump’s policies could be a regulatory game changer for the banking industry. Reduced regulatory risks could help banks by driving loan growth, investment bank revenues, and a more pro-growth attitude that could eventually improve banks’ bottom line.
As markets continued to react to Trump’s reelection, bank stocks and crypto were among the biggest beneficiaries as Bitcoin broke above the 80K mark, according to CoinGecko’s recent data.
A Quartz report also showed that JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup shares surged 8%, Wells Fargo stock gained 12%, Bank of America climbed 7%, Morgan Stanley shares increased by 9%, and Goldman Sachs added 10% in the wake of Trump’s win.
Notably, the ripple effects of Trump’s policies would be felt globally as economies closely tied to the U.S. trade policy brace to bear the brunt.
According to Reuters, Europe’s banks were likely to face a significant challenge in closing the gap on their U.S. rivals like JPMorgan Chase as Wall Street awaited a new era of Trump’s deregulation. U.S. banks had soared in value and stolen market share in investment banking as lenders in Britain and the Eurozone struggled with weak economies and low profitability.
David Materazzi, the CEO of Galileo FX, highlighted that deregulation and tax cuts in the U.S. contrasted with Europe’s strict oversight and low-interest-rate grinds. He said that U.S. banks could optimize capital and ramp up loan volumes in ways that their European counterparts could not match if U.S. banks received the expected policy support. Michael Schulman, chief investment officer at Running Point Capital Advisors, asserted that European banks would be competing with ‘one hand tied behind their backs.’
However, Reuters reported that the pace of any deregulation would be determined by the new regulators and key policymakers that President-elect Trump had yet to nominate.