TradingKey - CrowdStrike released its earnings for the second quarter of the fiscal 2026 on August 27th after the bell, and the stock is dipping 4%.
Overall, the earnings are not bad. We have double-beat on both top and bottom lines. Also, the annual recurring revenue (ARR) continues to grow at above 20%.
We also saw a margin improvement. Compared with 1Q26, when the adjusted EBIT margin 18.2%, in the most recent quarter the margin inched up to 21.8%, aligning with the level of margins before the 2024 outage. This means the company is gradually recovering from the negative consequences caused by the accident last year.
Also, the customer retention rate remains high at almost 97%, assuring that very few customers are switching to other competitors.
What spooked investors was that the company forecasted Q3 revenue of $1.208–$1.218 billion, which fell short of the consensus estimate of $1.228 billion. Despite the fact that the downwards revision was small, it was enough for the stock to go down post-market.
In terms of AI initiatives, the success of Falcon Flex, with $774 million in total account value added (up 31% sequentially), was tied to AI-powered modules like Next-Gen SIEM, Cloud, and Identity protection, showcasing strong demand for AI-enhanced offerings.
Also, with the strong balance sheet they are having, CrowdStrike is now pursuing a strategy of enhancing its AI capabilities by investing and acquiring other firms. The deal of taking over Onum fits perfectly into this narrative – a company that transforms raw data into high-fidelity intelligence, making the data processing way more efficient to detect cybersecurity threats, powering the AI capabilities of the CrowdStrike’s Falcon product.
The more conservative guidance for the next quarter, combined with the high valuation weights heavy on the stock. However, the recent AI-related moves position the company’s product at the forefront, and this will probably pay off in the future.
TradingKey - CrowdStrike will release its earnings for the second quarter of the fiscal 2025 on August 27th after the bell.
Overall, CRWD stock has been outperforming the broad market by being up 20% since the beginning of the year, however after July it has been in a constant decline.
Investors would pay close attention not just to revenue and earnings but also to the health of the annual recurring revenue (ARR), the modules per user and the cash conversion. Last quarter ARR rose 22% to USD 4.44 billion, thus maintaining this level of growth would be important.
What’s also important is the outlook for the coming quarters and the full-year guidance, which is $4.74-$4.81 for revenue and $3.44-$3.56 for EPS. Any revision of these numbers would directly translate to stock price volatility.
The July 2024 global IT outage, caused by a faulty CrowdStrike software update, continues to impact the company in financial and reputational ways. The major incident can still result in litigation against the company (causing excessive legal expenses), customer churn, and margin headwinds.
Currently, the traditional SaaS companies are facing more criticism from investors, firstly because the valuations are not low at all, and secondly there is the major disruptive factor of AI. With the increasing introduction of AI-driven solutions that can replicate the functions of the SaaS firms, we can potentially see the SaaS firms (CrowdStrike is also one) facing big pressure to innovate and integrate AI into their product, and by not doing so, they risk becoming irrelevant. On the positive note, CrowdStrike has the strongest balance sheet among cybersecurity players, allowing them to invest aggressively in AI capabilities. During the call, we expect the management to respond to these concerns and provide updates to the current company’s initiatives in that area.