Teleconferência de Resultados do 3º Trimestre de 2026 da Crane Company (CR): Projeção de LPA Elevada com Margens Recordes
A Crane Company reportou forte crescimento no terceiro trimestre fiscal de 2026, impulsionado pela demanda em aeroespacial, defesa e tecnologías de fluxo de processos. As vendas totais subiram 28% e a margem operacional ajustada atingiu recorde de 22,5%. A administração elevou a projeção de LPA ajustado anual para US$ 7,23–US$ 7,38, apoiada por um aumento de 9% na carteira de pedidos orgânica e pelo desempenho superior das aquisições. A empresa prevê encerrar 2027 com sólido momento operacional, mantendo foco na expansão de margens e na disciplina de alocação de capital por meio do Crane Business System.
A Crane Company (CR) reportou um crescimento abrangente em sua teleconferência de resultados do terceiro trimestre fiscal de 2026, impulsionado pela demanda dos setores aeroespacial e de defesa, pela melhoria nos pedidos da divisão de Process Flow Technologies e pelo desempenho acima do planejado das aquisições. A administração elevou a projeção de LPA ajustado para o ano completo e destacou um aumento de 9% na carteira de pedidos (backlog) orgânica e neutra em termos cambiais.
Principais Destaques
- As vendas totais aumentaram 28% na comparação anual, incluindo um crescimento orgânico de 8% e uma contribuição de 21% vinda de quatro aquisições.
- O lucro operacional ajustado subiu 36%, enquanto a margem operacional ajustada expandiu 130 pontos-base, atingindo o recorde de 22,5%, apesar da diluição temporária vinda das aquisições.
- A carteira de pedidos (backlog) orgânica e neutra em relação ao câmbio aumentou 9% na comparação anual. Os pedidos orgânicos subiram 11%, liderados pelo crescimento de 20% nos pedidos da Process Flow Technologies.
- A administração elevou sua projeção de LPA ajustado para o ano completo de 2026 em US$ 0,35 no ponto médio, para US$ 7,23–US$ 7,38.
- As vendas da divisão Aerospace & Advanced Technologies aumentaram 27%, para US$ 344 milhões, com crescimento orgânico das vendas de 9,5% e margem ajustada do segmento atingindo 26,3%.
- As vendas da divisão Process Flow Technologies subiram 29%, para US$ 413 milhões. As vendas orgânicas cresceram 6,2%, enquanto a margem ajustada do segmento atingiu o recorde de 24%.
Principais Dados Financeiros
| Métrica | Resultado do 3º trimestre de 2026 | Variação ou contexto |
|---|---|---|
| Crescimento das vendas totais | 28% | Inclui crescimento orgânico de 8% e crescimento por aquisições de 21% |
| Crescimento do lucro operacional ajustado | 36% | Sustentado pelo crescimento orgânico, aquisições, produtividade e relação preço-custo favorável |
| Margem operacional ajustada | 22,5% | Nível recorde; alta de 130 pontos-base na comparação anual |
| Carteira de pedidos (backlog) orgânica e neutra em termos cambiais | — | Alta de 9% na comparação anual |
| Pedidos orgânicos | — | Alta de 11% na comparação anual |
| Amortização de dívida | US$ 170 milhões | Concluída durante o trimestre |
| Alavancagem líquida pro forma | 1,1x | A administração afirmou que o balanço patrimonial dá suporte a novas operações de M&A |
| Projeção de LPA ajustado para o ano completo | US$ 7,23–US$ 7,38 | Ponto médio elevado em US$ 0,35 |
A empresa excluiu os benefícios não recorrentes de recuperação de tarifas dos resultados ajustados para separá-los das tendências operacionais subjacentes.
Desempenho Operacional e dos Negócios
Aerospace & Advanced Technologies
A divisão Aerospace & Advanced Technologies gerou US$ 344 milhões em vendas, uma alta de 27% na comparação anual. As vendas orgânicas aumentaram 9,5%.
A carteira de pedidos do segmento se aproximou de US$ 1,3 bilhão, registrando alta de 9% em base orgânica e de 20% incluindo o impacto das aquisições. O crescimento foi sustentado pela aceleração do fornecimento comercial para equipamentos originais (OEM) e pela demanda abrangente no setor de defesa. Excluindo o provisionamento inicial do ano anterior, as vendas totais de pós-venda subiram 11%, enquanto a divisão comercial orgânica de pós-venda cresceu na faixa alta de um dígito (high-single-digit).
A margem ajustada do segmento atingiu 26,3%, uma alta de 100 pontos-base. A administração informou que o resultado foi alcançado apesar do maior mix de vendas de equipamentos originais e da diluição esperada decorrente das aquisições.
As oportunidades em defesa continuaram concentradas em defesa antimísseis, radares, conversão de energia avançada e capacitações espaciais. A Crane participa de aproximadamente 15 programas de mísseis, com uma base de receita estimada em cerca de US$ 35 milhões em 2026. A administração espera que essa atividade cresça de 40% a 50% em 2027, com grande parte dessa demanda já refletida no backlog. A empresa também vê potencial para expandir o negócio para quatro a seis vezes a base atual ao longo do restante da década.
Process Flow Technologies
A divisão Process Flow Technologies reportou vendas de US$ 413 milhões, alta de 29%. As vendas orgânicas aumentaram 6,2%, enquanto as aquisições contribuíram com quase 24 pontos percentuais desse crescimento.
A carteira de pedidos orgânica e neutra em relação ao câmbio aumentou 8% na comparação anual e 2% em relação ao trimestre anterior. Os pedidos subiram 20% no ano contra ano e 8% na comparação trimestral. A margem ajustada do segmento expandiu 80 pontos-base, atingindo o recorde de 24%.
A demanda melhorou nos mercados de criogenia, energia, água e efluentes, farmacêutico, nuclear e industrial geral. A criogenia se beneficiou da infraestrutura para lançamentos espaciais e de testes ambientais aeroespaciais. A demanda por energia foi impulsionada pelos investimentos em turbinas a gás natural de ciclo combinado nos EUA, enquanto a atividade farmacêutica refletiu a expansão de capacidade e projetos de reabastecimento nacional (reshoring) nos EUA.
A demanda do setor químico permaneceu estável. A administração enfatizou que a Process Flow Technologies está agora menos dependente da recuperação química, com a exposição ao setor químico reduzida de aproximadamente 30% historicamente para cerca de 20%. Água e efluentes representam cerca de 15% do portfólio, indústria geral cerca de 20%, e energia a gás e nuclear combinadas respondem por cerca de 15%.
Geograficamente, a administração descreveu os EUA como o mercado mais forte, a Europa como amplamente estável e o Oriente Médio em recuperação após a fraqueza apresentada no primeiro semestre.
Portfólio e Aquisições
As aquisições recentes continuaram a superar as expectativas iniciais da Crane para receita, margens e lucros. A administração agora espera que as aquisições contribuam com aproximadamente US$ 0,30 por ação para o lucro ajustado de 2026, ante uma estimativa anterior de US$ 0,20 por ação. A expectativa é que suas margens operacionais se expandam em mais de 500 pontos-base em 2026.
A Crane também espera atingir sua meta de retorno sobre o capital investido (ROIC) de 10% cerca de 18 meses antes do planejado originalmente.
A aquisição pendente da Trillium pumps visa fortalecer a posição da Crane no segmento de água e efluentes. O desinvestimento planejado da unidade de Building Services & Utilities conclui a saída da empresa do mercado de construção não residencial. A administração afirmou que não está considerando novos desinvestimentos relevantes no momento, ressaltando que o portfólio é revisado anualmente.
Projeções da Administração (Guidance)
| Item da projeção | Perspectiva da administração |
|---|---|
| LPA ajustado para 2026 | US$ 7,23–US$ 7,38 |
| Crescimento orgânico das vendas de Aerospace & Advanced Technologies | Ligeiramente acima da meta de longo prazo de 7%–9% |
| Alavancagem operacional de Aerospace & Advanced Technologies | 35%–40% |
| Crescimento orgânico das vendas de Process Flow Technologies | Crescimento na faixa baixa de um dígito para o ano completo de 2026 |
| Margem da Process Flow Technologies | Expansão contínua; expectativa para o 4º trimestre semelhante ao 3º |
| Despesas corporativas | US$ 80–US$ 85 milhões para 2026 |
| Despesas não operacionais líquidas | Aproximadamente US$ 58 milhões para 2026 |
| Alíquota efetiva de imposto | Aproximadamente 23% para 2026 |
| Contribuição das aquisições para o LPA | Aproximadamente US$ 0,30 por ação em 2026 |
A administração espera que a Crane entre em 2027 com uma carteira de pedidos recorde e um forte momento em ambos os segmentos operacionais. A empresa planeja detalhar sua estratégia, oportunidades de crescimento e perspectivas de longo prazo em um Investor Day agendado para 9 de fevereiro em Nova York.
Riscos e Pontos de Atenção
- As aquisições recentes permanecem temporariamente dilutivas para as margens reportadas, embora seu desempenho e a evolução das margens estejam à frente do planejado.
- Os mercados do setor químico permanecem estáveis. A administração não espera uma recuperação total impulsionada pelos setores de construção e bens duráveis ao menos na primeira metade de 2027.
- A expectativa é que a Europa permaneça estável até 2027, enquanto os mercados químicos nos EUA e no Oriente Médio apresentam uma atividade de projetos mais favorável.
- A Trillium opera com margem inferior à média consolidada da Crane, e o desinvestimento da Building Services & Utilities retirará um negócio com receita anual estimada em cerca de US$ 160 milhões. A administração espera que a Trillium compense uma parcela substancial do impacto resultante, a depender do cronograma de fechamento da transação.
- A exposição ao Oriente Médio representa menos de 5% do consolidado da empresa. Os atrasos nos embarques ocorridos anteriormente já se normalizaram em grande parte, embora os custos de frete sigam elevados.
Destaques da Sessão de Perguntas e Respostas com Analistas
A administração afirmou que o potencial de valorização de um grande negócio adquirido é agora maior do que o previsto inicialmente. O objetivo anterior de cinco anos de elevar o EBITDA de US$ 60 milhões para US$ 150 milhões deve ser atingido antes do prazo, com a gestão prevendo também um crescimento e margens superiores ao final do período de cinco anos.
Sobre a alocação de capital, a Crane declarou que avalia aquisições por meio do Crane Business System. A empresa permanece aberta tanto a oportunidades de melhoria operacional quanto a ativos já bem geridos e de alto crescimento, desde que fortaleçam o portfólio e gerem valor para o acionista no horizonte de três a cinco anos.
Em relação às margens da Process Flow Technologies, a administração atribuiu a forte rentabilidade incremental à política de preços, produtividade e a uma mudança no mix em direção a negócios de maior crescimento e margens mais elevadas. A alavancagem operacional orgânica ficou ligeiramente acima de 40% no trimestre, e a gestão reiterou a meta de alavancagem ao longo do ciclo entre 35% e 40%.
A administração espera que o desinvestimento da Building Services & Utilities e a aquisição da Trillium sejam concluídos por volta do final do primeiro trimestre. Como nenhuma das transações impactará um ano cheio, a Crane prevê que a Trillium compense uma parcela significativa da diluição de lucros decorrente do desinvestimento ao longo do ano.
Transcrição Completa da Teleconferência de Resultados
Transcrição completa da teleconferência de resultados
Comentários da administração
Operator
Welcome to the Crane Company Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I'd like to now turn the call over to Allison Poliniak, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Allison Ann Poliniak-Cusic
Thank you, Stephanie, and good day, everyone. Welcome to our third quarter 2026 Earnings Release Conference Call. I'm Allison Poliniak, Vice President of Investor Relations. On our call this morning, we have Alex Alcala, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Rich Maue, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; along with Jason Feldman, Senior Vice President, Treasury and Tax who's on for Q&A.
We will start up our call with a few prepared remarks, Alex and Rich, after which we will respond to questions. And just a reminder, the comments we make on this call will include some forward-looking statements. We refer you to the cautionary language at the bottom of our earnings release and also in our annual report, 10-K and subsequent filings pertaining to forward-looking statements.
Also during the call, we will be using some non-GAAP numbers, which are reconciled to the comparable GAAP numbers and tables at the end of our press release and accompanying slide presentation, both of which are available on our website at craneco.com in the Investor Relations section. Now let me turn the call over to Alex.
Alejandro Alcala
Thank you, Allison, and good morning, everyone. Crane delivered another quarter of record performance, reflecting the strength of our portfolio, broad-based demand across our end markets, exceptional execution throughout the company and the continued success of our acquisition strategy.
Demand remains very strong across Aerospace and Advanced Technologies Momentum continues to build within process for technologies, and our recent acquisitions are performing well ahead of expectations. Together, these drivers resulted in an 8% core sales growth. Strong operating leverage, record margins, record earnings and a record backlog while reinforcing our confidence in the outlook for both 2026 and 2027.
Of note, order activity was particularly strong in process both technologies, where core orders increased 20% year-over-year and 8% sequentially. This combined with exceptional strength and resilience across the aerospace and Advanced Technologies, total company backlog increased 9% year-over-year providing strong visibility as we close out the year and enter 2027.
Execution continues to be a key differentiator, adjusted operating margin expanded 130 basis points to a record 22.5% despite the temporary dilutive impact of our recent acquisitions. These results demonstrate our ability to translate growth into meaningful earnings expansion while continuing to invest for the future.
Our acquisitions continue to significantly exceed expectations. Revenue growth, margin expansion and earnings contribution are all ahead of plan. And we now expect to achieve our 10% ROIC hurdle approximately 18 months earlier than originally anticipated. We expect these acquisitions to contribute approximately $0.30 per share to 2026 earnings up from our previous expectation of $0.20 per share, with operating margins expanding more than 500 basis points this year.
These incredible results reinforce our confidence in the Crane business system and our ability to create substantial shareholder value through disciplined capital deployment. We are equally excited about the opportunities ahead including the pending acquisition of [ Trillium ] pumps. Given our strong year-to-date performance, record backlog levels and confidence in both our core and acquired businesses, we are raising our full year adjusted EPS outlook by $0.35 at the midpoint to a range of $7.23 to $7.38 per share.
Turning to Aerospace & Advanced Technologies. This segment continues to perform exceptionally well. Demand remains robust across commercial aerospace, defense and space, supported by a record backlog and a growing pipeline of opportunities. Commercial aerospace remains healthy with solid OE demand and continued strength in aftermarket.
On the defense side, investment remained very strong as customers continue to prioritize missile defense, radar, advanced power inversion and space-based capabilities. All areas where we continue to invest and win. Strong execution and continued program wins are providing increasing visibility into the future growth.
As a result, we continue to expect 2026 core growth modestly above the high end of our long-term 7% to 9% growth framework, leveraging that growth between 35% and 40%. The team continues to execute at a very high level, and we remain highly confident in the long-term growth opportunities across the segment.
Process [indiscernible] Technologies also delivered an outstanding quarter. The business returned to core growth while delivering record profitability. Core sales increased 6%. Orders grew 20%, and adjusted operating margins expanded despite the dilutive impact of recent acquisitions. More importantly, the transformation of the portfolio continues to gain momentum.
Growth was broad-based across cryogenics power, wastewater nuclear and general industrial markets. We secured additional wins in cryogenics, supporting the growing space launch market. New pharmaceutical orders related to GEO P1 capacity expansion and further wins in wastewater and power.
For the full year, our outlook has improved. Driven by solid core growth in the second half. We now expect low single-digit core growth full year and continued margin expansion. We also continue to enhance the quality of our portfolio through disciplined capital allocation.
The announced acquisition of Trillium pumps strengthens our position in the attractive water and wastewater market. while the announced divestiture of our Building Services & Utilities business further sharpen the strategic focus of the segment. Before moving on, I want to recognize and thank the outstanding Basin team.
For nearly 120 years, this business has been an important part of Crane, built by incredibly talented people who consistently deliver results the right way. We are grateful for the many contributions and proud of what they have accomplished. As they begin this next chapter, I'm confident they have a bright future ahead.
Together, these actions continue to reposition PFT around highly engineered mission-critical technologies, serving attractive growth markets, including pharmaceuticals, water and wastewater, power Progenics and nuclear. Importantly, we are not finished. We continue to see attractive opportunities to further strengthen the portfolio and remain confident in our ability to outperform the markets we serve over the long term.
To summarize, Crane is performing at a very high level. Our businesses are executing exceptionally well. Our end markets remain attractive. Our acquisitions are exceeding expectations. Our portfolio continues to become stronger and more resilient.
We will enter 2027 with record backlog, strong momentum across both segments increasing earnings power and significant strategic flexibility. As we look toward 2027, our confidence continues to grow. Over the summer, we completed strategy reviews across all our businesses, and those we reinforce our long-term growth framework.
In particular, 4 themes stand out. First, Aerospace and Advanced Technologies remains exceptionally well positioned. Strong aerospace and defense demand, combined with the benefits of years of investment in differentiated technologies, creating a resilient portfolio gives us confidence in the segment's ability to deliver attractive growth for many years to come.
Second, the transformation of the process flow technologies portfolio is gaining momentum. While the benefits are increasingly visible in our results today, we believe we are still in the early innings of our value creation journey as we continue to reshape the portfolio around higher growth, higher margin and less cyclical markets.
Third, our acquisition strategy continues to create meaningful value. We have significant capacity to deploy capital, a robust pipeline of opportunities and a proven ability to integrate businesses and accelerate earnings, margins and returns.
And last, but most important, we have an incredible intangible asset, the Crane Business System. The combination of world-class processes and a high-performance culture built on focus, intensity and accountability, continues to differentiate Crane and drive sustainable value creation.
pimply put, our businesses are performing very well. Our portfolio is stronger, it has ever been, and we continue to see significant opportunities to create value through both organic and inorganic growth.
Before turning it over to Rich, I'm pleased to announce that we will host our next Investor Day on February 9 in New York City. We look forward to sharing more about our strategy, growth opportunities and long-term outlook at that event.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Rich.
Richard Maue
Thank you, Alex. Another outstanding quarter with certainly more to come. Alex, as you just said, the Crane business system, this machine that we have and this unique culture is what enables us to consistently deliver the results that we do quarter after quarter. .
And it reminded me of the Academy Award-winning movie Fletch during an iconic scene, where Chevy Chase was impersonating Gordon Liddy, an airplane mechanic supervisor. During that scene, I was reflecting on our well oiled machines and I thought about full or coaching to our leadership teams and even how we talk with our investors when Fletch pro claims, it's so simple maybe you need to refresh your course.
It's all ball bearings nowadays guys. Now you just prepare that [indiscernible] valve with that 3 in 1 oil and some gas pads and I'm going to need about 10 courts of any freeze preferably prior. No, no make that Quaker Stan, and we'll just keep delivering top quartile results quarter after quarter.
And with that in mind, let me start off with total company results. Total sales were up 28% in the quarter compared to last year with 8% core growth, reflecting broad-based strength across both process flow technologies and aerospace and advanced technologies. Sales from our 4 acquisitions contributed 21% growth in the quarter, once again outperforming our expectations.
Adjusted operating profit increased 36%, reflecting the impact of the higher core sales contributions from the acquisitions, productivity and favorable pricing net of inflation, another outstanding result. And total core FX neutral backlog was up 9% compared to the prior year, reflecting strength at both Aerospace and Advanced Technologies and Process flow technologies.
Core orders increased 11% year-over-year, with continued strength in Aerospace & Advanced Technologies, up 2% as expected. And when excluding a multiyear order received in the same period last year, we're up in the mid-teens and process flow technologies up an exceptional 20%.
We generated strong free cash flow in the quarter and repaid $170 million of debt, resulting in pro forma net leverage today at 1.1x a very strong balance sheet that positions us well for further M&A. Before discussing segment performance, I wanted to remind everyone that our adjusted results exclude the benefit from [indiscernible] tariff recoveries recorded during the quarter.
Once again, in our view, it's important to isolate these onetime benefits from the true underlying operating trends in the business. A few more details on the segments of the quarter here. Starting with Aerospace and Advanced Technologies.
Sales of $344 million increased 27% in the quarter, with core sales up 9.5%. Our record backlog of nearly $1.3 billion increased 9% on a core basis and increased 20%, including the impact of the DRC acquisition. Once again, demand remains very strong across our highly diverse portfolio.
Top line strength in our core business was driven by the commercial OE ramp as well as ongoing broad-based strength within the defense market. Total aftermarket remained strong, bolstered by military and when isolating prior year initial provisioning was up 11%, with core commercial aftermarket up at a high single-digit rate, exactly what we expected.
Adjusted segment margin was exceptional at 26.3% ahead of our core leverage expectations and up 100 basis points year-over-year. That performance is notable given the higher OE sales and expected dilution from the drug acquisition and it speaks to the resiliency of our margin profile, irrespective of any changes in OE aftermarket mix.
Drug continued to outperform our expectations, and our core A&E business delivered another very strong quarter. Taken all together, we remain very confident in our full year segment sales outlook and continue to expect full year core sales growth slightly ahead of our 7% to 9% algorithm.
The diversity of the overall AAT portfolio supports the durability of that 7% to 9% regardless of periodic changes in the sales composition, whether that be in OE versus aftermarket or commercial versus military. Moving on to Process Flow Technologies.
In Q3, we delivered sales of $413 million, up 29% compared to a year ago with core sales up 6.2%, and the acquisitions of [ Panametrics ] were topotecan adding nearly 24 points of growth. Demand improved significantly in the quarter. Compared to the prior year, core FX-neutral backlog of PFT increased 8% on a sequential basis was up 2% and core FX-neutral orders were up 20% year-over-year and up 8% sequentially.
Adjusted operating margin was a record 24% and was 80 basis points above the prior year. And like AAT, results were above our expectations, given better performance across both our core businesses and each of our 3 acquired businesses. In summary, another outstanding quarter.
Moving to the nonoperational items below the segments. Corporate expense for the quarter was $20 million as expected. And for the full year, we expect to be within our previously guided $80 million to $85 million range.
Net nonoperating expense in the quarter was $14 million and we continue to estimate full year 2026 net nonoperating expense of approximately $58 million.
And lastly, we continue to estimate our tax rate for the year to approximate 23%. And taking all of this into account, our performance to date as well as the risks and opportunities we see ahead.
As Alex mentioned, we are raising our adjusted full year guidance by $0.35 to a range of $7.23 to $7.38. Overall, again, an outstanding year-to-date and momentum continues to build. And with that, operator, we are now ready to take the questions.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] And we'll take our first question from Jeff Sprague with Vertical Research.
Perguntas e respostas
Jeffrey Sprague
On TSI, Alex, obviously, very, very encouraging. Is the endpoint now much higher on this than you thought also, obviously, you're ahead of schedule on what you wanted to do. But as the upside were even bigger than you thought maybe you could kind of frame that relative to how you initially bridged the deal shortly after you closed it.
Jason Feldman
Yes. Thank you, Jeff. So yes, the upside is higher. I think we have that 5-year mark, where we're going to go from $60 million EBITDA to $150 million in 5 years. Now we think that's going to be quicker than that. And then when we look at the 5-year mark, the growth is going to be higher and the margins are going to be higher as well. So outside to that 5-year reference point for sure.
Jeffrey Sprague
And then one of the other sort of interesting things here, and I don't know if it's how you plan to approach all deals. But a lot of companies that are doing deals, right, seem to be allergic to trying to fix stuff.
They just want to pay for growth. Not saying that everything you'll be looking to buy is a fixer upward. But both PSI and Trillium, right? They seem to win good assets, maybe not run the way they should be an opportunity to kind of run it through your business system. As you look at the M&A pipeline, is there a lot of that sort of asset opportunity out there? .
Alejandro Alcala
Yes, Jeff. So every -- yes, that's a good observation. I think we do look at deals from the lens of CBS. So we obviously would see more opportunity than the seller.
But you feel is different. There's other deals. You may remember, Optech, which we also did earlier this year, a smaller deal we don't talk a lot about, but that was a high-growth business, very well run, and we're just adding contributing to it.
So I think we're open to a combination of circumstances, certainly not opposed to turnarounds or improvements like what we've been doing. It's all about where we see shareholder value creation and a combination of a path to improving the portfolio when we're hitting that 3-, 5-year mark.
Operator
We'll take our next question from Matt Summerville with D.A. Davidson.
Matt Summerville
I was wondering if you could maybe comment, you've sold the business up in Canada. You're in the process of selling the U.K. business -- are there more consequential portfolio actions still to be had specific to PFT?
And I'm also curious, sort of tangential to that, given that I would assume that transaction in isolation is going to be dilutive. Maybe comment on that and maybe how much Trillium can backfill relative to that dilution .
Alejandro Alcala
Yes. Thanks, Matt. So there is no more substantial divestitures that we're looking at right now. We evaluate the portfolio every year and our thinking could change.
But if you recall, like you mentioned, we divested that Crane Supply in Canada exposure to nonresidential construction. This business in BSU primary exposure is also nonresidential.
So this completes our exit of that market, a very well run business operated by a great team, but not really aligned to the markets that we're trying to expand into. As far as the accretion dilution, I'll let Rich answer that.
Richard Maue
Yes. Matt, yes, I think the way to think about the BSU business, right, we did -- this is a business that does roughly $160 million will be the outlook this year in revenue, and they're essentially at fleet margin.
So when you look at that and compare to Trillium, Trillium is $115 million in revenue with below fleet margin. So there will be some dilution to your point, obviously, the timing and the amount -- the timing of the close and the amount will coincide, right?
So we're currently thinking that, that will close sometime near the end of the first quarter. So if you tried to create a model around that, it's not a full year impact, but we would expect to offset a good portion of that with Trillium in the year. If that helps.
Matt Summerville
Perfect. And then maybe if you could just provide a little bit more end market and geographic color specific to in the context of that 20% year-on-year improvement you saw in organic order activity.
Alejandro Alcala
Yes, Matt. So it's looking quite positive from our perspective for PFT. I think a number of end markets that are seeing the growth, which is a positive from our perspective, makes us confidence on sustainability. .
We -- where we've seen the tailwind, those markets where we've been focused on over the last few years and increasing our exposure cryogenics, which is driven by space launch, water, wastewater, primarily U.S.-based business, where it's been resilient pharma, which our backlog is growing, and we expect increased investment in particular in the U.S. power as well.
So all these markets and of note, Chemical continues to be flat, where in the past, we've depended on chemical recovery to boost our growth -- that's not the case anymore in PST. So that chemical recovery is all upside still. We expect to drive growth without depending on that, and that will be additive to it.
I think regionally, U.S. continues to be the best market overall. Europe pretty flat. I think Middle East has recovered from the first half and continues to be solid, and then we have much less exposure in the rest of the world.
Operator
We'll take our next question from Nathan Jones with Stifel.
Nathan Jones
Maybe a follow up maybe a follow-up around the chemical market there. I would imagine it's probably the tale of a couple of different regions with capacity still coming out of Europe and maybe capacity improvements in the U.S. .
Maybe you could talk about chemical in a little bit more detail from a regional perspective and your outlook for a recovery there is -- I mean, if Europe just gets to being kind of a flat chemical market or something like that and stops going down, can the U.S. add growth to that, just how you view the shape of a recovery there?
Jason Feldman
Yes, Nathan. So Yes. I think you stated in Europe, we expect to continue to be flat even going to next year. I think the 2 markets that are the most interesting for us is the U.S. and Middle East. I think the U.S., as I mentioned in the last call, is held up pretty well.
As you know, when oil prices are high, there's a feedstock advantage on natural gas. So even when there's capacity globally, it makes sense for chemical companies to invest in the U.S. So we see some sporadic project activity.
Middle East also recovering. I think a full recovery that you'll notice in the P&L will come -- it's usually driven by construction, residential construction, durable goods, which I'm not expecting, not counting on at least in the first half of '27, we'll see after that.
But again, very pleased with the transformation of the portfolio that we're much less dependent on that recovery to drive growth.
Richard Maue
Maybe just to add, if you recall, our chemical exposure is mainly in the U.S., right? So maybe 70% of our chemical exposure is U.S.-based.
Nathan Jones
I'm going to try and pin you down a little bit more on PSI. The 5-year target was $150 million said you're going to get that quicker than that now. Do you have a new target for the 5-year number that's over that $150 million?
Alejandro Alcala
Yes. I mean I think -- it will grow in the 4% to 6% range and be leveraging that 35%, 40% after the 3-year mark.
Operator
We'll take our next question from Myles Walton with Wolfe Research.
Myles Walton
I'm curious if -- if I can on something off here, as were the acquisitions of PFT about 100 basis points dilutive to the reported margins, just backing into it based on -- you talked about up 500 basis points this year for the acquisitions. And then if that's the case, the 300 basis points of core margin expansion on 6% core growth, could you just maybe help us understand how you got that kind of operating leverage in the core business.
Richard Maue
Yes. I mean, in the quarter, look, it was -- I think you you're correct. Our performance from a margin point of view was exceptional. The leverage on the core business. And if I just -- I'll give both in the aerospace Advanced Technologies sector.
We were just above the high end of our 35% to 40%. So I think low 40s in terms of operating leverage there. And it's a combination of everything, right?
We just continue to execute really well from a price cost point of view, a productivity point of view and so forth, even in the face of any changes in mix. So like I said, the durability and resiliency of our Aerospace & Advanced Technologies part of the portfolio.
We're going to see that kind of performance irrespective of the composition of revenues. On the PFT side, we're already accretive in that zone today with the deals as we're exiting the year. Our core leverage in the quarter was just -- I think it was just north of 40%, something like that. So fairly solid.
Alejandro Alcala
Myles, just to add to that. We've continued to invest in PFT through the cycle. So there's no incremental cost increase that we'll see. So our leverage is pretty strong.
As we continue to mix more into these higher growth market. That's also where we are more profitable. So we see this bit of a flywheel effect where the growth is in our higher-margin businesses.
So the incremental leverage will be very solid in PST as we continue to drive growth.
Myles Walton
Got it. And just a clarification, if I could. The margin is up 500 basis points. That's for the full year. So you're saying you're already above that level here in the third and fourth quarter. Is that right? In terms of the PSI acquisition.
Richard Maue
Yes. In the second half of the -- yes, in the second half, just mathematically, I think we have to be there. .
Myles Walton
Yes, great. And then -- so then this PFT performance from a margin perspective, we should think about this as being reasonably sustainable at these levels?
Richard Maue
Yes. Yes. Again, it gets back to our core leverage rate in that 35% to 40% range through cycles. And we expect Q4 to be very, very similar. .
Operator
We'll take our next question from Dan DiCicco with BMO Capital Markets.
Daniel DiCicco
You mentioned PFT wins throughout the quarter. I think power, cryogenics wastewater. Could you provide some color on what you're seeing there?
Alejandro Alcala
Yes. If you think about those markets, Dan, cryogenic, the 2 main markets are space launch, on the rocket itself but on the launch pads and those build-outs continue.
So we're seeing good traction there. And then the second biggest market is just general aerospace in the factories with environmental testing to aerospace ramp-up continues. We see that demands and the teams are doing an exceptional job.
When you think about power again, our power business is mainly U.S.-based and the expansion on natural gas combined cycle turbines. That's where we see the momentum. And pharma -- similar in the U.S., the reshoring activity of funnels are increasing. So capacity expansion in the U.S., those type of project wins. Those are some highlights then. Always we expect to continue those markets to continue to '27.
Operator
And we'll take our next question from Ronald Epstein with Bank of America.
Unknown Analyst
This is Andrew Steiner on for Ron. I just wanted to ask a quick one on the missile demand and the broader domestic munitions ramp with several primes securing ops over the past few months.
Can you talk about how the process towards getting under contract for these programs has looked from your end so far?
Alejandro Alcala
Yes, I'll comment, and then I'll let Rich comment just we said, we're in about 15 missile programs. I think our jump-off point this year is around $35 million, mostly or different type of product power products and microwave products. And we expect next year to grow 40%, 50%.
A lot of that demand is already in the backlog. And then the projections for -- after that, 4 to 6x growth of the 35 base. And I think is where these contracts come into play, securing a bit more growth next year, but also securing that continued expansion growth through the rest of the decade. Do you have anything?
Richard Maue
I would just -- I would echo that, but just say that the demand signals that we're getting just continue to increase. We continue to see a lot of activity, a lot of RFQ work and so forth to the point that you made, we're seeing a lot of that. It's not slowed. It's increased.
Unknown Analyst
Can you just comment on what the process with these UPS actually looks like from the view of a subcontractor?
Alejandro Alcala
You broke up a little bit. Can you repeat?
Unknown Analyst
Yes. I was just looking to see if you guys could provide some color on what the UCA contracting process has looked like a view of a contract?
Alejandro Alcala
Yes, I think you asked -- I don't know if everybody heard, but we're seeing to break up how the contract processing looks for that missile demand. So we get RFP requests for tranches of multiyear opportunities for the different programs.
And we provide those updated quotes. And then we align with the customer to cure and then get a contract in a purchase order. So it's all happening at different times and different programs for different tranches for different periods of year that's on an ongoing basis. Hope that helps.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] I'd like to now announce Justin Ages with CJS Securities.
Justin Ages
Given the ongoing repositioning that you guys have done in PFT, can you give us an update on what the relative contribution of each of the end markets is you used to say like nuclear, 5%. Anything like that so we can see what the current contributions are?
Alejandro Alcala
Yes. I'll give you a quick snapshot. So I think starting with chemical, right? In the past, it's been like 30%. Now we have it close to 20% in chemical, water wastewater is around 15%; general industrial, up 20%.
And then our Power business, combined with -- when I say power, it's gas and nuclear -- it's like 15% with [indiscernible] I think those are the main ones of them.
Justin Ages
Great. And then given lingering conflict in the Middle East. Can you just remind us what your current exposure there is?
Alejandro Alcala
So exposure is mainly in PST and it's less than 5% overall. So what we -- we don't see really any material impact this year going forward. We saw some delays in shipments earlier in the year that's somewhat normalized. There's plenty of activity -- so not really a headwind that we expect.
Richard Maue
I'd say maybe tangentially, it's just the freight costs being higher and things like that, that we've been able to more than offset.
Operator
Thank you. This concludes the question-and-answer portion of today's call. I would like to now turn the call back to Alex Alcala for closing remarks.
Alejandro Alcala
Thank you for your questions and continued interest in Crane. We have significant momentum across the company, a record backlog and substantial opportunities ahead.
Most importantly, we have a proven team, a proven system. We remain highly confident in creating future and our ability to create long-term shareholder value. Thank you, and have a great day.
Operator
Thank you. This concludes today's Crane Company Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Please disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful day.
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