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EMERGING MARKETS-Asian FX slips as Fed jitters, upcoming rate decisions keep investors wary

ReutersFeb 19, 2026 5:02 AM
  • S.Korean won, Malaysian ringgit lead regional losses
  • BI and BSP rate decisions due later in the day
  • South Korean shares climb to a record high

By Rajasik Mukherjee

- Asian currencies slipped on Thursday, led by the South Korean won and Malaysian ringgit, as a mildly hawkish interpretation of the U.S. Federal Reserve minutes and upcoming rate decisions in Indonesia and the Philippines kept investors cautious.

Trading volumes improved as most Asian markets reopened after the holidays, although China and Taiwan remained closed.

Overnight, investors assessed minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which indicated policymakers were in no rush to cut interest rates, with several members open to further hikes if inflation remains persistent.

"(FOMC minutes) raised the prospect that rates may not be cut as much as previously thought ... If this becomes a trend, that's a big reason to be bullish on the US dollar and bearish on Asia FX," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial analyst at Capital.com.

MSCI's emerging market currency index .MIEM00000CUS shed 0.2%, touching its lowest level since February 11.

The South Korean won KRW=KFTC weakened 0.5% to a one‑week low, while the Malaysian ringgit MYR= fell 0.4%, also touching its weakest level in a week.

"The Korean won and Indonesian rupiah are leading losses as carry trades unwind and persistent capital outflows amplify downside pressure," said Glenn Yin, director of research at AC Capital Market.

In line with the broader weakness across Asian currencies, the Indonesian rupiah IDR= declined 0.3%, hitting its lowest point since January 21.

Investors will be looking at Bank Indonesia's interest rate decision, due later in the day, where the central bank is broadly expected to hold rates steady for a fifth consecutive meeting.

"For BI, the tone of the statement will be important given the continued mixed views among participants emerging from the FOMC minutes and recent Indonesia-related macroeconomic headlines," said Lavanya Venkateswaran, senior ASEAN economist at OCBC Bank.

The Philippine central bank is also due to deliver its policy decision later in the day, with markets expecting a 25-basis-point rate reduction. The Philippine peso PHP= was flat ahead of the meeting.

Most regional stock markets were trading in the green, with the MSCI gauge of emerging Asian equities .MIMS00000PUS rising 0.6%, hitting its highest level in nearly a week.

South Korean stocks .KS11 led regional gains, rising 2.7% to a record high, supported by strong advances in index heavyweights.

Thai stocks .SETI climbed more than 1% to hit their highest point since early November 2024, while stocks in Singapore .STI gained as much as 1.2% to touch a one-week high.

"Equities are benefiting from renewed risk appetite as investors focus on resilient earnings and structural growth themes like AI, even as currencies soften," AC Capital's Glenn said.

Malaysian stocks .KLSE rose 0.5% while stocks in Jakarta .JKSE gained 0.4%.

HIGHLIGHTS:

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Two-thirds of Japan firms concerned about PM Takaichi's fiscal discipline

ECB President Lagarde plans to quit before Macron's term ends, FT reports

Asia stock indexes and currencies at 0354 GMT

COUNTRY

FX RIC

FX DAILY %

FX YTD %

INDEX

STOCKS DAILY %

STOCKS YTD %

Japan

JPY=

-0.10

+1.08

.N225

0.71

14.34

China

CNY=CFXS

-

+1.23

.SSEC

-

2.85

India

INR=IN

-

-0.88

.NSEI

0.00

-1.19

Indonesia

IDR=

-0.27

-1.48

.JKSE

0.53

-3.39

Malaysia

MYR=

-0.38

+3.65

.KLSE

0.53

4.19

Philippines

PHP=

-0.08

+1.51

.PSI

0.31

5.98

S.Korea

KRW=KFTC

-0.36

-0.71

.KS11

2.64

34.12

Singapore

SGD=

-0.04

+1.44

.STI

1.00

7.35

Taiwan

TWD=TP

-

-0.25

.TWII

-

16.03

Thailand

THB=TH

0.09

+0.66

.SETI

1.24

17.87

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