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INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR NEUTRAL SENTIMENT HIGHEST IN MORE THAN A YEAR - AAII
Neutral sentiment among individual investors about the short-term outlook for stocks rose in the latest American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey. With this, both optimism and pessimism were lower.
Meanwhile, just over two-thirds of investors surveyed said that the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged at its recent meeting was "the right move".
AAII reported that neutral sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, advanced 6.5 percentage points to 31.3% (highest reading since 34% on January 16, 2025). Neutral sentiment is below its historical average of 31.5% for the 81st time in 83 weeks.
Bullish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, declined 4.7 percentage points to 39.7%. Bullish sentiment is above its historical average of 37.5% for the 10th consecutive week.
Bearish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, dipped 1.8 percentage points to 29.0%. Bearish sentiment is below its historical average of 31.0% for the seventh time in 10 weeks.
The bull-bear spread lost 2.9 percentage points to 10.7% from 13.6% last week. The spread is above its historical average of 6.5% for the 10th straight week.
In this week's special question, AAII asked its members for their opinion on the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged at its recent meeting.
Here is AAII's graphic showing how they responded:
(Terence Gabriel)
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