Home Bancorp (HBCP) Q3 2025 Earnings Transcript

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DATE

Thursday, Oct. 16, 2025 at 2:00 p.m. ET

CALL PARTICIPANTS

• Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer — John W. Bordelon
• Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer — David T. Kirkley

TAKEAWAYS

• Net Income -- $12.4 million, representing a $1.6 million or 14.8% increase sequentially, and a 31% increase from the previous year.
• Earnings Per Share (EPS) -- $1.59, up $0.14 quarter over quarter and $0.41 year over year.
• Net Interest Margin (NIM) -- Expanded to 4.10%, growing for the sixth straight quarter, with a 6-basis-point sequential increase.
• Return on Assets -- Increased by 10 basis points sequentially to 1.41%.
• Efficiency Ratio -- Improved to below 60% due to revenue increasing at twice the pace of expenses in recent years.
• Loan Balances -- Decreased by $58 million in the quarter because of higher payoffs and paydowns, including $45 million from eight long-term clients selling businesses or property.
• Deposit Growth -- Grew at a 9% annualized rate in the quarter, with 17% growth over the last nine quarters; core deposits showed notable strength, including positive trends in Texas.
• Loan-to-Deposit Ratio -- Now at 91%, down from previous levels, providing greater funding flexibility.
• Nonperforming Assets -- Increased by $5.5 million to $30.9 million, or 0.88% of total assets, primarily from five downgraded relationships.
• Net Charge-Offs -- Totaled $376,000 for the quarter, primarily related to smaller C&I loans; year-to-date charge-offs remain very low at four basis points of total loans.
• Provision Expense -- Negative $229,000 for the quarter, attributed to loan balance declines, partially offset by net charge-offs.
• Allowance for Loan Loss Ratio -- Stable from the prior quarter at 1.21%, with management expressing continued confidence in reserves.
• Cost of Interest-Bearing Liabilities -- Decreased by two basis points to 2.69% sequentially, as strong deposit growth enabled repayment of more expensive FHLB advances.
• Average Yield on New Loan Originations -- 7.35% for the quarter, supporting rising NIM as older, lower-yielding loans reprice upward.
• Noninterest-Bearing Deposits -- Represent 27% of total deposits, increasing by $5 million in the quarter and $69 million year-to-date (or 9.4%).
• Short-Term FHLB Advances -- Declined by $75 million in the quarter and $137 million year-to-date, reducing funding costs.
• Guidance -- Management now expects 2025 loan growth to be 1%-2%, down from an earlier 4%-6% expectation.
• Noninterest Income -- Reported at $3.7 million for the quarter, with guidance of $3.6 million to $3.8 million for the coming quarters.
• Noninterest Expense -- Totaled $22.5 million, increasing by $124,000 sequentially; projected within $22.5 million to $23 million per quarter for the next two quarters.
• Tangible Book Value per Share Growth -- Adjusted for AOCI, increased at a 9.5% annualized rate since 2019.
• Dividend Growth -- Dividends per share have increased by 36% since 2019.
• Share Repurchases -- 17% of outstanding shares have been repurchased since 2019.

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RISKS

• Nonperforming assets increased by $5.5 million, primarily due to five downgraded relationships, including a $5.1 million land development loan and a $1.2 million acquired CRE loan placed temporarily on nonaccrual status.
• Loan balances declined by $58 million mainly from elevated payoffs and paydowns, reflecting potential headwinds for near-term loan growth.
• Management reduced loan growth guidance for 2025 to 1%-2%, citing ongoing borrower hesitancy and reliance on expectations for rate cuts delaying project financings.

SUMMARY

Home Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBCP) reported sequential and year-over-year gains in net income, EPS, and net interest margin, reflecting favorable core operating trends. Deposit growth outpaced loans, lowering the loan-to-deposit ratio and enhancing balance sheet flexibility. Management described the asset quality impact from higher nonperforming assets as concentrated in a small number of credits, with no material losses expected due to strong collateral positions. Operating cost discipline was maintained, with efficiency improvements and stable allowance coverage. Capital management continued to support shareholder returns through increased dividends and share buybacks.

• Chief Financial Officer David Kirkley indicated that "we have a great opportunity to keep NIM at least flat and grow a couple of basis points quarter over quarter" despite anticipated rate cuts, driven by repricing opportunities and room to decrease deposit costs.
• Net charge-offs year-to-date declined by $58,000 compared to the same period last year, reinforcing consistent credit performance.
• Management stated that 41% of loans (excluding floating rate loans repricing in three months) may reprice over the next three years, with a blended rate of 5.7%, potentially increasing asset yields as lower-yielding securities roll off.
• Chairman and CEO John Bordelon emphasized ongoing M&A interest, noting that "M&A activity nationwide has accelerated, and we continue to look for the right opportunity to leverage our acquisition experience."

INDUSTRY GLOSSARY

• Net Interest Margin (NIM): The ratio of net interest income to average earning assets, indicating core banking profitability from lending and deposit activities.
• Efficiency Ratio: Noninterest expense as a percentage of revenue, measuring cost effectiveness in banking operations.
• Loan-to-Deposit Ratio: Total loans divided by total deposits, reflecting funding structure and liquidity management.
• Nonperforming Assets (NPAs): Loans or assets that are not generating expected payments, typically due to borrower default or delinquency.
• Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses (ALLL): Balance sheet reserve to absorb losses from uncollectible loans, based on management assessment of credit risk.
• FHLB Advances: Borrowings from the Federal Home Loan Bank system, used by banks for liquidity and funding support.
• CDs: Certificates of deposit, time deposits with fixed terms and interest rates, used for funding by banks.
• CRE Loan: Commercial real estate loan, a credit facility secured by income-producing property.

Full Conference Call Transcript

John Bordelon: Thanks, David. Good morning, and thank you for joining our earnings call today. We appreciate your interest in Home Bank as we discuss our results, expectations for the future and our approach to creating long-term shareholder value. Yesterday afternoon, we reported third quarter net income of $12.4 million or $1.59 per share, up $0.14 per share from the second quarter and $0.41 from a year ago. Net interest margin expanded for the sixth consecutive quarter to 4.10% and our return on assets increased by 10 basis points to 1.41%. Home Bank's efficiency ratio also improved in the third quarter and is now back down below 60%.

We've been able to grow revenue significantly faster than expenses over the last couple of years with revenues increasing twice as fast as expenses. Loans decreased by $58 million in the third quarter as we saw payoffs and paydowns that were $52 million higher than average paydowns over the last 6 quarters. This was driven by a number of long-term customers selling their businesses or property. I think it's worth mentioning that we're not losing them to other banks. 8 customers alone that sold their businesses or property in the third quarter made up $45 million of the decline.

In almost every case, Home Bank remains these customers' primary banking relationship, which bodes well for the future, but challenges our near-term growth. Customers are always waiting for lower rates before they move ahead with their projects that require financing. We have a lot of great conversations going on but the media coverage over the last 10 months has convinced many that big rate cuts are coming. So people are choosing to remain on the sidelines until there is more clarity on rates. While we are hopeful that we'd see 4% to 6% loan growth this year, we're now expecting more moderate growth of 1% to 2% in 2025.

We've always maintained loan structure discipline and have prioritized risk-adjusted returns over growth, and we don't intend to abandon our principles now. On a high note, deposits increased 9% annualized in the third quarter with good growth and relatively low-cost money market accounts. Thanks to a concerted effort and a focus on building franchise value, we've increased deposits by 17% in the last 9 quarters versus loans, which also grew a respectable 8%. Most of this increase has been in core deposits and includes good growth in Texas, which we entered back in 2022. Our loan-to-deposit ratio is now 91%, which positions us well for when loan growth picks up.

Nonperforming loans have increased in 2025, but our charge-offs remain very low. We don't expect for that to change due to low loan to values, our conservative underwriting standards and proactive credit management. As a reminder, you can see on Slide 16, our net charge-offs have averaged about 6 basis points over the last 6-plus years. M&A activity nationwide has accelerated, and we continue to look for the right opportunity to leverage our acquisition experience. We are confident in Home Bank's future and our ability to meet our high standards. Our senior leadership team has 981 years of cumulative experience for an average of 26.6 years, and we have a track record of outperformance in all economic climates.

With that, I will turn it back over to David, our Chief Financial Officer.

David Kirkley: Thanks, John. Slide 5 in our investor presentation has a summary of the last 6 quarters. Net income totaled $12.4 million, a 9% increase from the prior quarter and a 31% increase from a year ago. Net interest income increased $754,000 quarter-over-quarter as NIM increased 6 basis points to 4.10%. Yield on loans increased 3 basis points quarter-over-quarter as a contractual rate on new loan originations was 7.35%, which continues to support an expanding NIM as lower yielding loans reprice. Slides 14 and 17 provide additional details on cash flows from our loan and investment securities portfolio, and we think we can continue to increase asset yields even if there are rate cuts.

Excluding floating rate loans repricing in the next 3 months, 41% of loans with a blended rate of 5.7% are expected to reprice or refinance over the next 3 years. Over that same time period, half of our investment portfolio is projected to be paid off with a roll-off yield of 2.56%, which is well below current available yields of approximately 4%. Slides 15 and 16 of our investor presentation provides some additional detail on credit. We had $376,000 in net charge-offs in the quarter related to smaller C&I loans. Year-to-date, our net charge-offs totaled $743,000, which is a very low 4 basis points to total loans and $58,000 less than our prior year.

Third quarter nonperforming assets increased $5.5 million to $30.9 million or 88 basis points of total assets. The increase was primarily due to the downgrade of 5 relationships and partially offset by paydowns. The largest was a $5.1 million relationship with 2 separate land development loans in Houston. We feel between the loan to value on these properties and the guarantor strength that there will be no material losses on this relationship. The second largest was a $1.2 million acquired CRE loan that was placed on nonaccrual status in September that was made current as of 9/30. Once again, we believe we are well collateralized on this loan as well as other loans classified as nonaccrual and/or substandard.

We had a negative $229,000 provision expense during the quarter as a result of loan balance declines, which was partially offset by a $376,000 of net charge-offs. We feel very confident in reserves as our allowance for loan loss ratio was stable from the second quarter at 1.21%. The cost of interest-bearing liabilities decreased 2 basis points to 2.69% as continued strong deposit growth allowed us to pay down more expensive short-term advances. Interest-bearing deposit cost increased 5 basis points in Q3 due to changes in the deposit mix, where we will see decreases when we get some additional Fed rate cuts.

The cost of CDs declined 1 basis point to 3.85%, even as balances increased $15 million during the quarter. We are keeping CD terms short with 77% of our CD portfolio maturing in the next 6 months and 97% within a year. So we will have the opportunity to react quickly when rates decline. Noninterest-bearing deposits, which represent 27% of total deposits increased $5 million in Q3 and $69 million or 9.4% year-to-date. Our overall cost of deposits in Q3 was an attractive 1.88%. This was an increase of 4 basis points quarter-over-quarter, but once again, we were able to pay off FHLB advances and reduce our total cost of interest-bearing liabilities by 2 basis points.

Short-term advances from the FHLB declined $75 million quarter-to-date and $137 million year-to-date. Slide 22 of the presentation has some additional details on noninterest income and expenses. Third quarter noninterest income was $3.7 million, which was in line with expectations. We expect noninterest income to be between $3.6 million and $3.8 million over the next several quarters. Noninterest expenses increased by $124,000 to $22.5 million and was in line with expectations. Noninterest expense is expected to be between $22.5 million and $23 million per quarter for the next 2 quarters. Slides 23 and 24 summarize the impact our capital management strategy has had on Home Bank.

Since 2019, we grew tangible book value per share adjusted for AOCI at a 9.5% annualized growth rate. Over the same period, we also increased EPS at 11.2% annualized growth rate. We increased our dividends per share by 36% and repurchased 17% of our shares outstanding and we've done this while maintaining robust capital ratios. This positions us to be successful in varying economic environments and to take advantage of any opportunities as they arise. With that, operator, please open the line for Q&A.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Joe Yanchunis from Raymond James.

Joseph Yanchunis: So I thought we could start with the NIM here. So how should we think about the NIM trajectory, particularly as we think about the board curve and your increased asset sensitivity? And at what point do you think the NIM peaks?

David Kirkley: All right. So the increased asset sensitivity is more so due to the cash on hand on our balance sheet. So that's increasing the sensitivity as cash reprices daily. I would say as far as NIM, I think we have a great opportunity to keep NIM at least flat and grow a couple of basis points quarter-over-quarter. We have highlighted that we have a lot of loans within investment securities repricing, and we still think we have room to reprice upwards. And also with Fed rate cuts, we did lower some of our deposit rates. And we think we -- as the Fed continues to cut, we have the opportunity to lower deposit rates even further.

And that has the ability to offset the reduction in loan yield due to Fed rate cuts as adjustable rate loans reprice downward. So I think we're really well positioned to continue to keep NIM at least flat to increase a couple of basis points.

Joseph Yanchunis: I appreciate that. And your updated 2025 loan growth guide implies a pretty big step-up in 4Q loan growth. What levels of payoffs and paydowns are implied in this guide? And how does the loan pipeline currently compare to recent history? Just to probably get a sense on the jumping off point as we get into 2026.

John Bordelon: Sure. Third quarter was beginning of the decline of new loan originations. We see a little healthier portfolio coming forth in the fourth quarter. Maybe not all of that gets closed in the fourth quarter, but -- so it is a little healthier than what we had in third quarter originations. So those numbers were down probably about -- the exact amount, but probably about $30-something million in the quarter from prior quarters. So we do think we'll see some pick up. Hopefully, we can pick up all that $36 million and be more normalized in the fourth quarter. But I think definitely, if we get a couple more rate cuts, first quarter should be very strong.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Feddie Strickland from Hovde Group.

Feddie Strickland: I appreciate the commentary in the release that you don't expect losses on the credits that migrated to nonaccrual this quarter. You gave some more color on the call. So it sounds like we shouldn't necessarily see charge-offs from that. But I'm just curious, as you work through some of these credits, could we start to see the direction of nonperformers reverse and maybe start to see those come down some?

John Bordelon: Yes. I think if you -- as we look at it, there's no, I guess, similarity in what's starting to have problems. It's just some one-offs here or there. We have one of our classified that called us this week and said they're going to be paying us off by the end of the month. So we would hope, but the worst part about NPAs is sometimes it takes them a little bit longer to fix themselves.

What we're happy about is we're not seeing a lot of them going in the bankruptcy, which really takes anywhere a little bit faster in Texas, but slower in Louisiana in some cases up to a year to be able to move on that. So we're working through them. One of our problem assets that we had from a couple of years ago, we finally are getting out of bankruptcy, and we'll be able to take those properties back and begin the process of selling them. So it's kind of a longer-term situation when you have the bankruptcies. But fortunately, most of ours are not in bankruptcy.

So hopefully, they can either sell or upgrade their business and be able to start paying as agreed.

Feddie Strickland: Appreciate that. And just shifting gears to deposits. Can you talk about the level of deposit competition you're seeing today versus maybe a quarter ago? And how are you thinking about deposit betas on the way down if we do get rate cuts?

David Kirkley: So our deposit betas are going to be a little bit, I would say, less than peers. We will continue to see our deposit betas increase from where they are over time. And I think they're going to be a little bit less than peers is because we didn't raise our deposit rates as much as some of our competitors didn't have overall lower cost of funds to start off with. So that's going to give us less room to go down, but we still have room to adjust as yields come down.

As far as competition goes, I would say there are a couple, count on one hand, banks that are kind of out of the norm of our peer grouping. They pop up here and there. And I would say mostly in the Texas market, 1 or 2 banks in Louisiana have some outlying pricing. But overall, we're able to retain most customers, we are able to offer competitive rates, and I don't feel like the pricing is as fierce as it has been in the past.

I feel like banks are -- some of our competitors in the market, they are very quick to lower their deposit costs and looking to lower their liability cost, and that bodes well for us given our NIM position and our desire to continue to increase our liquidity.

John Bordelon: Also adding to that with the 91% loan-to-deposit ratio, it should be a little bit easier for us to lower our deposit costs. We were -- when we were at 98%, we were very much kind of in the lead as far as the price of CDs and such. So I think a little bit of that pressure will be taken off.

Operator: This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to John for closing remarks. Sir, please go ahead.

John Bordelon: Thank you. Once again, thank you all today for joining us. We look forward to speaking to you in many days and weeks ahead. Thank you for your interest in Home Bancorp. Have a great day.

Operator: The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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