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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks and dollar slip in Asia, China data a mixed bag

ReutersJan 19, 2026 2:36 AM
  • China economy grows 4.5%, retail soft but industry solid
  • S&P 500, EU futures fall, Nikkei leads Asia lower
  • Dollar slips on yen and Swiss franc, as euro steadies
  • EU leaders consider response to latest Trump tariff threat

By Wayne Cole

- Stock markets slid in Asia on Monday after President Donald Trump threatened to slap extra tariffs on eight European nations until the U.S. is allowed to buy Greenland, pushing the dollar down against the safe-haven yen and Swiss franc.

Gold and silver both jumped to all-time highs, while oil flatlined on concerns about what an all-out trade war between the U.S. and Europe could mean for global growth and demand.

A holiday in U.S. equity and bond markets made for thin trading and likely contributed to a 0.8% drop in S&P 500 futures ESc1, and a 1.1% fall in Nasdaq futures NQc1.

For Europe, EUROSTOXX 50 futures STXEc1 and DAX futures FDXc1 both shed 1.3%, while FTSE futures FFIc1 lost 0.6%. Japan's Nikkei .N225 fell 1.4%, and MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS dipped 0.3%.

Trump said he would impose additional 10% import levies from February 1 on goods from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland and Britain, rising to 25% on June 1 if no deal is reached.

Major European Union states decried the tariff threats over Greenland as blackmail, and France proposed responding with a range of previously untested economic countermeasures.

The EU's options include a package of its own tariffs on 93 billion euros ($108 billion) of U.S. imports that was suspended for six months in early August and measures under an Anti-Coercion Instrument that could hit U.S. services trade or investments.

Analysts at Deutsche Bank noted European countries owned $8 trillion of U.S. bonds and equities, almost twice as much as the rest of the world combined, and might consider bringing some of that money back home.

"With the U.S. net international investment position at record negative extremes, the mutual interdependence of European-U.S. financial markets has never been higher," said George Saravelos, Deutsche's global head of FX research.

"It is a weaponization of capital rather than trade flows that would by far be the most disruptive to markets."

It should also make for a fraught few days at Davos as leaders from around the world gather at the World Economic Forum, including a large U.S. group led by Trump himself.

DOLLAR NOT SO SAFE HAVEN

Chinese blue chips .CSI300 bucked the trend and rose 0.4% as data showed annual economic growth slowed to 4.5% in the December quarter, but still topped forecasts.

Industrial output also beat the market thanks to strength in exports, but a miss in retail sales underlined the continued weakness of domestic demand.

The Bank of Japan meets on Friday and, while no rate hike is expected this time, policymakers could flag a tightening as soon as April.

One added wrinkle is domestic politics given Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is expected to soon dissolve parliament to allow for an election in February.

Delayed data on U.S. core inflation and consumption for November are due on Thursday and will refine investor expectations for when the Federal Reserve might cut again.

A run of solid economic news at home has seen markets largely give up on an easing before June, with April priced at 65% for no change. 0#USDIRPR

Earnings season continues as banks are joined by a more diverse set of companies, including Netflix NFLX.O, Johnson & Johnson JNJ.N, General Electric GE.N and Intel INTC.O.

In currency markets, the euro recovered from an early dip to rise 0.2% to $1.1620 EUR=EBS, while sterling clawed its way back up to $1.3387 GBP=D3.

The dollar eased 0.4% against the Swiss franc to 0.7991 francs CHF=EBS, and 0.2% against the yen to 157.77 JPY=EBS.

The cash Treasury market was shut, but 10-year futures firmed 1 tick TYc1. The 30-year contract USc1 actually fell 6 ticks as the risk of European selling loomed large.

Gold proved more of a safe harbour, rising 1.7% to $4,673 an ounce XAU=, while silver XAG= climbed 3% to $94.0. GOL/

Oil prices were flat, amid lingering concerns about a potential U.S. strike on Iran as a U.S. Navy aircraft carrier group was expected to arrive in the Persian Gulf this week. O/R

Brent LCOc1 was little changed at $64.19 a barrel, while U.S. crude CLc1 rose 0.1% to $59.52 per barrel.

($1 = 0.8611 euros)

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