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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks recover from AI-led bruising; US inflation softens

ReutersDec 18, 2025 2:20 PM
  • Stocks edge up in cautious trade, focus on tech
  • BoE cuts rates, ECB stays put
  • US CPI report for November softer than expected

By Amanda Cooper

- Global shares rose on Thursday after benign U.S. inflation data, on the heels of a tech-sector selloff on renewed concerns over AI spending, as investors digested a series of central bank decisions underscoring diverging monetary policies worldwide.

U.S. consumer prices increased less than expected in the year to November, initially denting the dollar but lifting equities futures on hopes of U.S. rate cuts next year.

Sterling GBP= bounced after the Bank of England cut interest rates but signalled limited scope for further easing.

The European Central Bank kept euro zone rates unchanged as expected and struck a more upbeat tone on the economy, which has proved resilient despite tariff shocks.

The Bank of Japan is expected to hike rates on Friday, though traders remain uncertain about the pace of tightening in 2026.

STOCKS GET DATA-DRIVEN BOOST

European shares rose broadly, pushing the STOXX 600 .STOXX up 0.3%, while U.S. stock futures ESc1, NQc1 gained 0.7%-1.4%, hinting at respite after Wednesday's tech-led selloff.

The U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% year-on-year in November, the Labor Department said, below economists' forecast of 3.1%.

However, the moderation may be technical, and affordability concerns persist, partly blamed on import tariffs.

"Some people will dismiss this report as being more unreliable than usual, but ignore it at your own risk. Other indicators like rent costs and used car prices are consistent with the narrative that the old drivers of inflation aren’t the sources of current inflation," said Brian Jacobsen, chief economic strategist at Annex Wealth Management.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, seen as a candidate to be next Fed chair, said the central bank had room to cut rates given signs of labour market weakness.

U.S. President Donald Trump said late on Wednesday the next Fed chair would be someone who believed in lowering rates "by a lot." The Fed has signalled only one rate cut next year.

BOE CUTS, ECB HOLDS

Sterling GBP= rose 0.4% to $1.343 after the BoE cut rates by 25 basis points in a narrower vote than expected.

"Clearly, there's enough people (on the rate-setting committee) thinking: 'actually, I don't want to jump on this too soon. I would rather hang around and wait to see if it's turning into a trend,'" Chris Beauchamp, chief markets analyst at IG Markets, said.

"I think the rationale is there probably, but it needs some patience to give you that green light. And I suppose you've only got the amber light at the moment," he said.

The euro EUR= was last up 0.12% at $1.1752, as ECB President Christine Lagarde began her press conference.

Treasuries firmed, with two-year yields US2YT=RR down 2 basis points at 3.464% and 10-year yields US10YT=RR off 1.8 bps at 4.133%.

Oil prices rose for a second day as Trump’s blockade of Venezuelan exports remained in place and reports emerged of possible new U.S. sanctions on Russian oil. O/R

U.S. crude CLc1 rose 0.6% to $56.12 a barrel, while Brent crude LCOc1 rose 0.4% to $59.93 a barrel. O/R

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