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INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR OPTIMISM EDGES HIGHER - AAII
Optimism among individual investors over the short-term outlook for U.S. stocks rose in the latest American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey, while pessimism and neutral sentiment both declined.
AAII reported that bullish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, edged up 0.3 percentage points to 44.6%. Bullish sentiment is above its historical average of 37.5% for the second time in five weeks.
Bearish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, dipped 0.2 percentage points to 30.6%. It is below its historical average of 31.0% for the second time in 46 weeks.
Neutral sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, slipped 0.1 percentage points to 24.8%. It is below its historical average of 31.5% for the 73nd time in 75 weeks.
With these changes, the bull-bear spread increased 0.5 percentage points to +14.0%, its highest reading since January 23. It is above its historical average of 6.5% for the sixth time in 45 weeks.
In this week's special question AAII asked its members how they think the average consumer is faring relative to one year ago.
To this, 56.5% replied worse, 24.8% said about the same, 16.2% responded with better and 2.2% were not sure or had no opinion.
(Karen Brettell)
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