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GLOBAL MARKETS-Oracle knocks stocks as Fed's message drags on dollar

ReutersDec 11, 2025 4:21 AM
  • Oracle shares down 11% after earnings miss; Nasdaq futures fall more than 1%
  • Euro breaks over $1.17 after Fed cut
  • Short-dated Treasuries rally as Fed promises T-bill buying

By Tom Westbrook

- Stocks slid on Thursday after disappointing earnings at U.S. cloud computing giant Oracle sounded a warning for AI profitability, while bonds were firm and the dollar nursed losses after the Federal Reserve cut U.S. interest rates.

Oracle ORCL.N shares tumbled more than 11% after hours, dragging S&P 500 futures ESc1 0.9% lower and Nasdaq 100 futures NQc1 down 1.3% in Asia trade.

AI-related stocks were the biggest losers in Tokyo, as Oracle's profit and revenue outlook missed forecasts and executives flagged higher spending - a sign that infrastructure outlays are not turning into profits as quickly as investors had hoped.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 fell 1% with a 7.5% drop in the AI-exposed SoftBank Group 9984.T dragging on the index. .T

Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI rose just 0.06%, leaving MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS down 0.5%.

Overnight the Fed lowered its benchmark funds rate, as expected, by 25 basis points to 3.5-3.75%.

But Fed Chair Jerome Powell sounded balanced on the outlook at a news conference, easing market nerves about a hawkish message. Wall Street indexes rallied after the rate cut and the S&P 500 .SPX rose about 0.7%.

"I don't think a rate hike is anyone's base case," Powell said.

That left interest rate futures with at least two rate cuts priced in for next year and undercut the dollar, which helped to send the euro through chart resistance and above $1.17.

Bonds caught a further boost as the Fed also announced it would start buying short-term Treasuries as soon as Friday to support liquidity.

Benchmark 10-year yields US10YT=RR fell about three basis points to 4.13% and two-year U.S. yields US2YT=RR are down around four basis points at 3.52%.

Money markets had been volatile in recent weeks, leading to a premium on short-term rates as liquidity was stretched.

"The Fed doesn't have a lot of appetite for that sort of thing to continue because it inhibits the transmission of monetary policy," said ANZ senior rates strategist Jack Chambers.

DOLLAR SLIDES

Oil prices eased following an earlier gain on Thursday after the U.S. seized a sanctioned oil tanker off Venezuela's coast, escalating tensions and raising concern over supply disruption.

Brent LCOc1 and U.S. crude futures CLc1 were down slightly, fetching $62.15 and $58.44 a barrel, respectively.

In foreign exchange markets, the Fed decision and policymakers' median projection for one cut in 2026 and 2027 opened the way for dollar selling.

The yen reversed a recent fall and rose to 155.62 per dollar JPY= in Asia trade on Thursday. The euro EUR= struck a two-month high of $1.1707, enjoying an extra boost from comments by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde that another upgrade in European growth projections was possible.

Sterling GBP=, the Australian dollar AUD= and New Zealand dollar NZD= all made gains before steadying in the Asia session.

"The next big cue will be the November non-farm payrolls release on 16 December and whether a soft number can keep market pricing of two further rate cuts in 2026 intact," analysts at ING said in a note.

"Seasonally, the dollar tends to weaken into year-end and with Fed event risk now out of the way, EUR/USD could have that run-up to 1.1800 after all."

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