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GLOBAL MARKETS-Japan leads Asian markets after strong JGB sale

ReutersDec 4, 2025 6:53 AM
  • Fed expected to cut rates amid weak economic data
  • U.S. dollar rebounds from five-week low
  • Japanese stocks lead gains, Nikkei up 2% as Fanuc soars

By Gregor Stuart Hunter

- Japanese stocks led gains for Asian markets on Thursday as an auction of government bonds drew strong demand from investors, while the U.S. dollar recovered from a five-week low.

The Nikkei 225 .N225 rose 2.2%, led by a near-12% gain for industrial robot manufacturer Fanuc Corp 6954.T, while MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was trading flat, weighed down by declines in Korea and New Zealand.

In early European trade, pan-region futures STXEc1 were up 0.6%, German DAX futures FDXc1 were up 0.6%, and FTSE futures FFIc1 were up 0.31%.

Tokyo's latest debt sale drew the strongest demand in more than six years, helping to steady investor nerves after a selloff that has pushed yields on super-long-dated bonds to record highs and spilled over into global fixed income markets earlier this week. Bond yields rise when prices fall.

"The 30-year JGB auction was unexpectedly strong," said Shoki Omori, chief desk strategist for rates and FX at Mizuho in Tokyo. "The extent of prior selling appears to have imparted a sense of valuation cheapness, thereby encouraging demand."

But follow-through for longer maturities "remains fragile, and sentiment will require multiple solid auctions to improve," he added. The yield on the 30-year Japanese government bond was last down 4.0 basis points at 3.38%.

The dollar was last up 0.1% at 155.32 against the yen, with the Japanese currency recovering some ground after Reuters reported the Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates in December with the government expected to tolerate such a decision, citing three government sources familiar with the deliberations.

S&P 500 e-mini futures ESc1 were little changed as momentum from U.S. markets overnight petered out in Asia, after weaker-than-expected economic data cemented expectations the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its meeting next week.

Stocks on Wall Street advanced on Wednesday led by small-cap companies, as the Russell 2000 index jumped 1.9% and the benchmark S&P 500 .SPX rose for a second day. The gains came after U.S. private payrolls data posted their biggest drop in more than two-and-a-half years.

Meanwhile, a separate survey from the Institute for Supply Management showed its measure of services sector employment contracted in November, with the subindex of prices paid falling to a seven-month low.

"That move aligns with our view that the recent uptick in supercore inflation is likely to subside, paving the way for a resumption of disinflation in 2026," said ANZ economist Henry Russell on a podcast.

"We remain of the view that it is appropriate for the Fed to continue to cut interest rates to respond to downside labour market risks," he said, adding the bank expects a 25-basis-point cut at next week's meeting and further easing next year.

Fed funds futures are pricing an implied 89% probability of a 25-basis-point cut at the U.S. central bank's next meeting on December 10, compared to a 83.4% chance a week ago, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

The U.S. dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was last up 0.1% at 98.99, snapping a nine-day losing streak after touching its lowest level since October 29.

The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond was last up 2.7 basis points at 4.083%, after the Financial Times reported on Wednesday bond investors had expressed concerns to the U.S. Treasury that Kevin Hassett, a candidate to become the next Federal Reserve chair next year, could aggressively cut interest rates to align with President Donald Trump's preferences, citing several people familiar with the conversations.

The Chinese yuan edged 0.1% lower to 7.064 yuan against the U.S. dollar in offshore trading in Hong Kong CNH= after hitting its strongest level against the greenback in more than a year on Wednesday.

The Australian dollar strengthened 0.1% after official data showed Australian household spending surged by the most in almost two years in October, while the country's goods trade surplus widened by more than expected as exports of gold climbed for a second month.

Precious metals cooled after a recent hot streak. Gold XAU= was last down 0.6% at $4,179.91 per ounce, while silver XAG= was trading 2.2% lower at $57.28 per ounce, after hitting a record high of $58.98 on Wednesday.

Brent crude LCOc1 was last up 0.4% at $62.94.

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