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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks gain, US yields drop as markets weigh likely Fed rate cut

ReutersDec 3, 2025 9:19 PM
  • Wall Street stocks finish higher
  • Dollar drops again as investors bet on dovish Fed under Hassett
  • Brent crude settles higher
  • Spot gold hovers around $4,200 per ounce

By Chibuike Oguh

- Global shares rose while U.S. Treasury yields fell after weak economic data solidified expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.

Wall Street's main indexes finished higher, with energy, financials and industrials stocks topping gains while technology and utilities shares were the main drag.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 0.86%, the S&P 500 .SPX edged up 0.30% and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC fell 0.17%.

The European STOXX 600 .STOXX index rose 0.13%, with London's FTSE index .FTSE finishing down 0.10% and Germany's DAX DAX.O gained 0.59%. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS rose 0.40%.

"We are expecting to see a continued rebound because the companies that have been the leaders up until the summer seem to have paused and they're bouncing off support levels, and so it still looks very productive and positive for the rest of the year," said Tom Plumb, chief executive and portfolio manager at Plumb Funds in Madison, Wisconsin.

Data showed that U.S. private employment decreased by 32,000 jobs last month compared to an estimate of growth of 10,000 jobs, according to economists polled by Reuters.

TREASURY YIELDS FALL

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR fell 2.9 basis points to 4.059%. The 2-year note US2YT=RR yield, which typically moves in step with Fed expectations, fell 3 basis points to 3.489%.

Markets are pricing in an 89% probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate cut at the Fed's next meeting, according to the CME's FedWatch tool.

"The consensus is that the Fed is going to lower the interest rate next week and I don't see any reason to question that at this point," Plumb added.

President Donald Trump said he would announce his pick to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed chair early in 2026. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett has emerged as the frontrunner.

In currency markets, the euro hit a six-week high against the dollar, boosted by data showing an expansion in euro-zone business activity. The single currency was last up 0.39% at $1.1668. EUR=

The U.S. dollar index was headed for a ninth straight session of declines against major currencies, weighed down by rate cut expectations. The index =USD fell 0.42% to 98.89.

Against the Japanese yen JPY=, the dollar weakened 0.4% to 155.23.

Oil prices rose as markets weighed faltering Russia-Ukraine peace hopes. An end to the war would probably lead to sanctions changes and ultimately more Russian oil in global markets.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 rose 0.35% to settle at $62.67 a barrel, with U.S. crude CLc1 rising 0.53% to $58.95 per barrel. O/R

Spot gold XAU= was flat at $4,207.59 an ounce.

Bitcoin BTC=, which has crashed by almost a third since early October, gained 1.75% to $93,225.56.

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