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GLOBAL MARKETS-Equities rebound after Trump cools China rhetoric but gold at record highs

ReutersOct 13, 2025 3:18 PM
  • U.S. stocks regain some ground lost Friday, European stocks higher
  • Gold at fresh record highs
  • Investors grasp for hope for compromise in US-China trade war
  • U.S. bond market closed for holiday

By Sinéad Carew and Dhara Ranasinghe

- MSCI's global equities gauge regained some ground on Monday after Friday's steep sell-off as U.S. President Donald Trump softened his tone on the U.S.-China trade war, but safe-haven gold hit fresh record highs in a sign that uncertainty remained high.

On Friday Trump had threatened 100% tariffs on China from November 1 in response to China's curbs on exports of rare earth elements. During the weekend, Beijing defended its move as a response to U.S. aggression, but stopped short of imposing new levies on U.S. products. So by Sunday, the U.S. President sounded more conciliatory posting on social media that the U.S. did not want to "hurt" China.

"Friday was a big sell off and today it's a big rally. The Friday sell off was all about Trump threatening 100% tariffs on China. Today Trump is backing away from that," said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at Ingalls & Snyder in New York. "It was a fear trade on Friday and an elation trade today."

On Wall Street at 10:45 a.m. (1445 GMT) the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 480.23 points, or 1.06%, to 45,960.52, the S&P 500 .SPX rose 86.35 points, or 1.31%, to 6,638.49 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC rose 397.43 points, or 1.78%, to 22,599.34.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS rose 7.15 points, or 0.74%, to 979.40.

Ghriskey noted that there were still some signs of skepticism in the market as equity indexes have not erased all of Friday's losses and investors were still buying gold.

"Gold is the fear trade. Even with Trump backing away from the 100% tariffs on China there is fear out there and gold is traditionally the place to hide," he said. Also, BofA commodities analysts said in a note on Monday that they had raised their forecast for gold to $5,000 an ounce for next year from $4,400.

Spot gold <XAU=> rose 2% to $4,097.57 an ounce. U.S. gold futures <GCc1> rose 2.89% to $4,090.80 an ounce.

The pan-European STOXX 600 < .STOXX > index rose 0.33% although France remained in the spotlight with reappointed prime minister Sebastien Lecornu facing pressure to get a budget deal across the line.

In currencies, the dollar index < =USD >, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.26% to 99.31.

The euro < EUR= > was down 0.47% at $ 1.1563 while a gainst the Japanese yen < JPY= >, the dollar strengthened 0.85% to 152.43 .

Japanese markets have had their own problems with the ascension of new LDP leader Sanae Takaichi to prime minister now in doubt, contributing to a sharp rebound in the yen and a 5% dive in Nikkei futures on Friday. Japan's Nikkei .N225 was closed on Monday for a holiday.

For Monday's Columbus Day/Indigenous Peoples’ Day holiday, U.S. bond markets are closed.

Oil prices rose on Monday after hitting five-month lows on Friday, as investors focused on potential talks between the US and Chinese presidents that could ease a trade war between the world's two largest economies. O/R

U.S. crude CLc1 rose 1.77% to $ 59.92 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 rose to $ 63.71 per barrel, up 1.56% on the day.

In the week ahead, investors will be monitoring the earnings season kick-off with major U.S. banks reporting, including JPMorgan JPM.N, Goldman Sachs GS.N, Wells Fargo WFC.N and Citigroup C.N.

S&P 500 companies overall are expected to have increased earnings by 8.8% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to LSEG IBES, and strong results will be needed to justify the market's high valuations.

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.

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