** Xero XRO.AX falls as much as 1.2% to A$160.240; marks biggest intraday pct loss since September 3
** Morningstar trims fair value estimate by 2% to A$100, citing material overvaluation
** Says Melio's buyout won't materially improve co's conversion or retention of customers
** Notes sizable drop in stock price after announcement of acquisition of U.S. fintech firm Melio Payments
** Says Xero nearing market saturation in Australia, New Zealand as evidenced by fast-deteriorating returns on sales, marketing spending there
** Stock rated "buy" on avg; median PT is A$205, per data compiled by LSEG
** YTD, XRO falls 4%