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PRECIOUS-Gold poised for weekly fall as bets fade for big Fed rate cut

ReutersAug 15, 2025 1:43 AM

- Gold was subdued on Friday and was heading for a weekly fall, as hotter than expected U.S. inflation data dented expectations for a super sized 50 basis point U.S. interest rate cut in September.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Spot gold XAU= was down 0.1% at $3,333.58 per ounce, as of 0120 GMT. Bullion has fallen 1.9% for the week. U.S. gold futures GCcv1 for December delivery eased 0.1% to $3,378.90.

* The Labor Department reported the U.S. producer price index (PPI) rose 3.3% year-on-year in July, beating forecasts of 2.5% while weekly jobless claims were lower than expected at 224,000 versus 228,000 forecast.

* This comes after data on Tuesday showed that U.S. consumer prices increased marginally in July, increasing chances of a Federal Reserve rate cut next month.

* While Thursday's hot PPI data did not dent chances of a Fed rate cut in September, it hurt the case for the Fed to resume cutting rates with a 50 bp reduction.

* St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem on Thursday said a half-point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting is not warranted, a day after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said it was possible.

* Non-yielding gold thrives in a low-interest-rate environment.

* Investors will next focus on whether Fed Chair Jerome Powell offers any fresh clues on policy at the U.S. central bank's annual economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, next week.

* On the geopolitical front, investors are tempering expectations that Friday's summit between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will deliver a significant breakthrough on the war in Ukraine despite some hopeful sign.

* SPDR Gold Trust GLD, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.30% to 961.35 metric tons on Thursday from 964.22 tons on Wednesday. GOL/ETF

* Elsewhere, spot silver XAG= rose 0.2% to $37.89 per ounce, platinum XPT= fell 0.3% to $1,351.78 and palladium XPD= slipped 0.4% to $1,140.69.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT)

0200

China Urban Investment (YTD)YY, Retail Sales YY July

0200

China Unemp Rate Urban Area July

1000

EU Reserve Assets Total July

1230

US Import Prices YY, Retail Sales MM July

1315

US Industrial Production MM July

1400

US U Mich Sentiment Prelim August

Reuters Terminal users can see related news and prices by clicking on the codes in brackets:
All precious metals headlines GOL
Precious metals market reports GOL/
European gold prices GOLD/EU1GOLD/EU20#PREC
London Bullion Market Association LBMA01
New York Comex gold 0#GC: and silver 0#SI:
New York platinum 0#PL: and palladium 0#PA:
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