TradingKey - AppLovin (APP) released its Q2 2025 fiscal results after Wednesday’s market close, with actual performance and Q3 revenue guidance significantly exceeding Wall Street’s average estimates, driven by its AI advertising engine model AXON.
AppLovin’s robust advertising business propelled total sales to a 77% year-over-year surge in Q2. Following its exit from self-operated gaming, the company reported $1.018 billion in adjusted EBITDA, up 99% YoY with an 81% margin—far surpassing market forecasts and powerfully demonstrating the scalability benefits of AI-driven automation replacing manual operations.
The AXON 2.0 platform, built on deep learning and reinforcement learning architecture, enables real-time closed-loop optimization in mobile and connected TV (CTV) domains, significantly boosting ad conversion efficiency and serving as the key catalyst for the revenue surge.
E-commerce advertising is viewed as the next breakthrough frontier. Still in closed beta during Q2—reaching only 20% of target clients with minimal revenue contribution—AppLovin plans to accelerate penetration by launching an automated ad placement system by end-Q3 and drastically lowering merchant GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) thresholds from $100–250 million to attract small and medium-sized e-commerce enterprises.
UBS’s latest SMID-Cap Internet Preview Report identifies "AI + Digital Advertising" as the stock market’s most certain "super sector," specifically highlighting AppLovin and The Trade Desk as the "dual core" stocks most worthy of increased allocation before and after earnings season.
UBS’s rationale for favoring these AI application software leaders centers on their early realization of AI-driven operational efficiency gains through next-generation advertising algorithms powered by cutting-edge large AI models and generative AI creatives—offering dual upside potential for both earnings revisions and valuation expansion.
Despite the strong results, AppLovin’s after-hours share price unexpectedly fell 5.2%.
Source: Google Finance
Analysts suggest investors, accustomed to AppLovin’s history of exceeding expectations, were disappointed that this quarter merely met forecasts.