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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares creep higher, dollar languishes before ECB

ReutersJun 5, 2025 5:44 AM
  • ECB expected to cut rates amid global economic uncertainty
  • Germany, Japan sending representatives to Washington
  • South Korea's KOSPI hits 11-month high on election optimism

By Rocky Swift

- Shares in Asia crept higher and the U.S. dollar languished ahead of the European Central Bank offering its policy outlook for a tumultuous global economy.

The dollar slid in the previous session after weak U.S. jobs and services data, with more weighty employment data due on Friday. Damage to the U.S. economy is becoming more apparent from President Donald Trump's erratic tariff action, while bilateral deals remain unrealised.

Canada prepared possible reprisals against the imposition of new U.S. metals tariffs while the European Union reported progress in trade talks with Washington.

Against that backdrop, market watchers considered the ECB almost certain to cut policy interest rates so will pay greater attention to what bank President Christine Lagarde signals about future decisions.

"There's uncertainty about the guidance the central bank will deliver given the murky outlook for U.S. trade policy and global growth," said Kyle Rodda, a senior financial market analyst at Capital.com. "A failure to deliver sufficiently dovish guidance could upset the equity markets as well as give the euro upward trend additional momentum."

Trump's doubling of tariffs on steel and aluminium imports became effective on Wednesday, hitting Canada and Mexico in particular. The same day, his administration sought "best offers" from trading partners to stop other import levies taking effect in July.

Japan is sending key trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa to the U.S. on Thursday for another round of talks. Germany's new chancellor, Friedrich Merz, is also due to head to Washington.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.4%, whereas Japan's Nikkei stock index .N225 slid 0.5%.

South Korea's benchmark KOSPI index of shares .KS11 surged 0.9% and touched an 11-month high on extended post-election optimism surrounding new president Lee Jae-myung. Hong Kong's Hang Seng gauge .HIS added 0.5%, driven higher by tech shares.

"There is a degree of complacency in the equity markets in the sense there is an expectation now that there will continue to be resolution and deals being done," said Chris Nicol, Australia equity strategist at Morgan Stanley. "The black and white of the policy is still to be put in stone and the growth and inflation impacts are still relatively uncertain."

The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, rose 0.1% to 98.879, trimming its 0.5% slide on Wednesday.

The dollar rose 0.2% to 143 yen JPY=. The euro EUR= was largely flat at $1.1411 after a 0.4% gain in the previous trading session.

Gold pared gains from the previous day while oil slipped after a build in U.S. inventories and Saudi Arabia's cut to its July prices for Asian crude buyers.

Spot gold XAU= edged 0.2% lower to $3,367.30 per ounce. U.S. crude CLc1 dipped 0.5% to $62.58 a barrel.

Both pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures STXEc1 and U.S. stock futures, the S&P 500 e-minis ESc1, were little changed.

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