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LIVE MARKETS-Market pricing in slowdown but indicators not signaling one yet - UBS

ReutersMar 25, 2025 6:29 PM
  • Nasdaq modesty green, S&P 500 ~flat, Dow slips
  • Comm svcs leads S&P sector gainers; Utilities weakest group
  • Dollar, crude, bitcoin slip; gold up slightly
  • US 10-Year Treasury yield edges down to ~4.31%

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MARKET PRICING IN SLOWDOWN BUT INDICATORS NOT SIGNALING ONE YET - UBS

The market is pricing in a slowdown even though macro indicators are not yet signaling one, according to a note Tuesday from UBS strategist Maxwell Grinacoff, and other UBS strategists.

"Leading indicators are not yet suggesting a slowdown, but the market is concerned that policy uncertainty may cause this soon," he writes.

The trend in fundamentals is deteriorating, and the outlook for U.S. equities is uncertain, he says, noting that "big catalysts are approaching, e.g. tariff escalation/budget measures."

"We expect a tactical recovery, but have concerns of renewed weakness unless earnings expectations stabilize and policy uncertainty abates."

(Caroline Valetkevitch)

FOR TUESDAY'S EARLIER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:

DIGITAL ASSET PRODUCTS BREAK FIVE-WEEK OUTFLOW STREAK - CLICK HERE

BOFA CLIENTS TURNED OFF BY TECH - CLICK HERE

HOW DOGE'S ACTIONS COULD HURT US REAL ESTATE MARKET - CLICK HERE

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE PLUNGES, NEW HOME SALES, HOME PRICES TICK HIGHER - CLICK HERE

U.S. STOCKS EDGE UP; US CONFIDENCE DATA WEAK - CLICK HERE

S&P 500 INDEX VS 200-DMA: MOTH AND FLAME? - CLICK HERE

JAPAN'S VIRTUOUS CIRCLE DRIVING INFLATION HIGHER - CLICK HERE

VALUATION GAPS CLOSING: EUROPEAN BANKS RE-RATING VS US 'OVERDONE' - JPM - CLICK HERE

CTAs SHED $100 BILLION OF STOCKS - CLICK HERE

POSITIVE START ON TARIFF OPTIMISM - CLICK HERE

EUROPE BEFORE THE BELL: STEADY AS SHE GOES - CLICK HERE

RELIEF RALLY STARTS TO FIZZLE - CLICK HERE

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