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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks fall sharply, bond prices rise; tariff angst overshadows soft inflation

ReutersMar 13, 2025 7:34 PM
  • Wall Street's main indexes all off more than 1%
  • Trump's back and forth on tariffs weighs on sentiment
  • US dollar down vs yen but up against euro, Swiss franc

By Sinéad Carew and Harry Robertson

- Global equities and U.S. Treasury yields both fell on Thursday on worries about global trade tensions and the potential impact on inflation and economic growth after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened duties of 200% on European beverage imports.

Trump said the latest in a long list of tariff threats would be implemented if the EU does not remove U.S. whiskey surcharges. This was after his increased tariffs on all U.S. steel and aluminium imports took effect on Wednesday.

In contrast, Thursday's Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed U.S. producer prices (PPI) were unexpectedly unchanged in February and Wednesday's data showed consumer prices (CPI) rising more slowly than expected.

"If it wasn't for the trade war going on, the market would be up strongly" on the inflation data, said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at Ingalls & Snyder in New York. "Traders are focused on the trade war."

"It seems like the (U.S.) administration is being very aggressive and promises at least at this point to be in it for the longer term and the personalities look unlikely to back down at least in the near term," said Ghriskey.

Bill Adams, Chief Economist for Comerica Bank wrote in a research note that the inflation outlook depends more on government policies such as tariffs, deportations and Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) moves than "the backward-looking data releases right now."

On Wall Street, at 02:47 p.m. the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 399.18 points, or 0.97%, to 40,951.75. The S&P 500 .SPX fell 51.21 points, or 0.91%, to 5,548.09 while the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC fell 231.66 points, or 1.31%, to 17,416.79.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS fell 6.69 points, or 0.81%, to 824.16.

The pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX index earlier closed down 0.15% after rising 0.81% in the previous day's session.

While the U.S. S&P 500 index is now down almost 6% for the year, European stocks are faring better with support from government spending plans for defence and a potential Ukraine peace deal. Year-to-date the STOXX index is up 6.5% year to date, despite slipping in recent weeks.

U.S. Treasury yields fell on Thursday as tumbling stocks boosted demand for safe haven U.S. government debt with escalating trade wars between the United States and trading partners threatening to dent growth and boost inflation.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR fell 3.6 basis points to 4.28%, from 4.316% late on Wednesday.

The 30-year bond US30YT=RR yield fell 2.9 basis points to 4.6016% from 4.631% late on Wednesday.

The 2-year note US2YT=RR yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, fell 4.2 basis points to 3.953%, from 3.995% late on Wednesday.

In currencies, the U.S. dollar was a mixed bag, weakening against Japan's safe haven yen but gaining on the euro and the Canadian dollar.

Against the dollar, the euro EUR= was down 0.28% at $1.0855 but against the Japanese yen JPY=, the dollar weakened 0.34% to 147.74.

The Canadian dollar CAD= weakened 0.39% versus the greenback to C$1.44 per dollar. Sterling GBP= weakened 0.06% to $1.2952.

After rallying on Wednesday on a larger-than-expected draw in U.S. gasoline stocks, oil prices slipped on Thursday as traders weighed macroeconomic concerns and demand versus supply expectations.

U.S. crude CLc1 settled down 1.67%, or $1.13 at $66.55 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 settled at $69.88 per barrel, down 1.51% or $1.07 on the day.

Gold prices raced to a record high within touching distance of the key milestone of $3,000 per ounce on Thursday, with momentum driven by elevated tariff uncertainty and bets on monetary policy easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Spot gold XAU= rose 1.71% to $2,981.92 an ounce. U.S. gold futures GCc1 rose 1.51% to $2,983.50 an ounce.

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