Why Shares of Tesla Are Falling This Week and Have Given Back Most of Their Post-Election Rally

Things can change in a hurry. After Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) saw its stock price explode following President Donald Trump's victory in early November, much of that rally has now been erased, a trend that continued this week. Shares of the electric car maker had fallen close to 15% for the week as of 11:40 a.m. ET Thursday.

Blame Europe

The big culprit hurting the stock this week is coming from Europe. According to the trade organization Acea, sales of Teslas in January declined by 45% across the European Union and United Kingdom. This happened while the regions saw electric car sales increase significantly.

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Meanwhile, investors are bracing for Q1 sales to be the lowest seen since late 2022. Check out the graph below of the stock's recent moves.

TSLA data by YCharts

Some surmise that the price drop could be attributed to investors taking gains after the incredible rally, while some think Tesla CEO Elon Musk's political actions in recent months have hurt the brand.

BBC recently cited an unnamed former senior director of Tesla's Europe, Middle East and Asia division as saying that politics is "definitely one of the reasons for the decline," but that there are also a "cumulative number of things that are piling up a domino effect."

The valuation rose too far too fast

It's hard to know the leading factor impacting the stock right now, but I think it's simply a case of the valuation running too far too fast. After the epic post-election run, Tesla's valuation peaked at nearly 194 times forward earnings estimates, well ahead of peers in the "Magnificent Seven." This makes the stock much more susceptible to pullbacks, even on minor bad news. I'm still skeptical of tech and AI valuations, given some of the challenges ahead.

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Bram Berkowitz has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.