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BUZZ-Bernstein cuts railroad operator PTs on slow start to 2025

ReutersFeb 21, 2025 12:58 PM

Bernstein cuts PTs on rail operators, citing slower start to 2025 due to cost pressures and weather-related challenges affecting shipping activity in Q1

"The railroads have gone from being a consensus long sector to being a relatively boring group, dragged down by anemic demand and struggling through cost pressure and margin erosion." - Bernstein

Brokerage believes rate of change in supply and demand continues to work in favor of rail, but is concerned on further slowing recovery of freight economy, in response to policy "paralysis" and government spending cuts

Bernstein says it has a general preference for U.S.-based operators over Canada, as they have "less to lose on tariffs and more to gain from a tighter truck market"

As of last close, the Dow Jones Transport Average index .DJT had risen 3.6% YTD

Company

New PT

Old PT

Canadian Pacific Kansas City CP.N

$85.40

$86.10

Norfolk Southern Corp NSC.N

$286

$296

Union Pacific Corp UNP.N

$284

$277

CSX Corp CSX.O

$34

$37

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