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EMERGING MARKETS-Asian FX fall on tariff war fears, expectation of steady US rates

ReutersFeb 18, 2025 7:34 AM
  • Renewed dollar strength weighs on Asia FX
  • Indonesian rupiah and Philippine Peso lead losses
  • Stocks in Manila, Jakarta lead gains among Asian equities

Updates for afternoon trade

By Sherin Sunny and Roushni Nair

- Asian currencies eased on Tuesday, with the Indonesian rupiah and the Philippine peso losing the most, as traders weighed the risk of a major global tariff war and reassessed the trajectory of U.S. interest rates.

The peso PHP= and the Malaysian ringitt MYR= declined by 0.4% each, while the rupiah IDR= was set for its worst day since February 10, slipping 0.4% after a four-session rally.

The dollar index =USD rose by 0.2% to 106.9 after a three-session losing streak amid uncertainty over U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff plans.

The greenback was bolstered by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller's support for maintaining current monetary policy until inflation eases, after data showed U.S. consumer prices rose at their fastest rate in nearly 18 months in January.

"Markets have been positioning for tariff trade (i.e. long USD), but the repeated delays in Trump tariffs have frustrated USD bulls thus far," said Christopher Wong, a currency strategist at OCBC.

However, the delays to U.S. tariffs, peace negotiations over Ukraine, underperforming U.S. economic indicators such as retail sales, and a reassessment of Chinese tech stocks due to initiatives like DeepSeek are creating a favourable environment for risk assets to recover while the dollar retreats, Wong said.

Indonesia's central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady on Wednesday to curb weakness in the currency, according to a Reuters poll, suggesting global headwinds could limit the central bank's ability to ease rates this year.

The rupiah has fallen more than 1% since the start of the year.

The peso has extended losses since Governor Eli Remolona's comments on uncertainities over global trade policies on Thursday.

The Singapore government started presenting its budget at 0730 GMT. The Singapore dollar SGD= fell 0.2%, while equities .STI were up 0.4%.

The Thai baht THB=TH extended losses and was last down 0.2%, after data showed that the country's economy grew more slowly than expected in 2024.

Equities in Manila .PSI and Jakarta .JKSE were up 1.8% and 0.9%, respectively.

HIGHLIGHTS:

Japan's GDP beats forecasts as consumption, business spending perk up

China's current environment conducive to private economy, state planner says

Asian stocks and currencies as of 0707 GMT

COUNTRY

FX RIC

FX DAILY %

FX YTD %

INDEX

STOCKS DAILY %

STOCKS YTD %

Japan

JPY=

-0.25

+3.49

.N225

0.25%

-0.09

China

CNY=CFXS

-0.19

+0.28

.SSEC

-1.01

-0.89

India

INR=IN

-0.11

-1.56

.NSEI

-0.41

-3.30

Indonesia

IDR=

-0.43

-1.17

.JKSE

0.71

-2.84

Malaysia

MYR=

-0.29

+0.52

.KLSE

0.09

-3.54

Philippines

PHP=

-0.42

-0.32

.PSI

1.69

-6.64

S.Korea

KRW=KFTC

-0.04

+2.06

.KS11

0.63

9.47

Singapore

SGD=

-0.12

+1.70

.STI

0.44

3.55

Taiwan

TWD=TP

-0.32

-0.06

.TWII

0.68

2.74

Thailand

THB=TH

-0.07

+1.77

.SETI

0.44

-9.87

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