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GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar firms on tariff threats, stocks shrug and post gains

ReutersFeb 10, 2025 9:52 AM
  • Dollar up as Trump talks of tariffs on steel, aluminium
  • Stocks shrug off tariff threat, with S&P 500 futures higher
  • Markets see less scope for Fed rate cuts this year

By Wayne Cole and Harry Robertson

- The dollar edged higher on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump warned more tariffs were imminent including on steel and aluminium, although U.S. futures and European stocks shrugged off the looming levies and rose.

Speaking to reporters on Air Force One, Trump said he would announce on Monday 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports into the U.S., and reveal other reciprocal tariffs on Tuesday or Wednesday.

China's retaliatory tariffs on some U.S. exports take effect on Monday, with no sign as yet of progress between Beijing and Washington.

Investors reacted by pushing the dollar slightly higher, with the index =USD tracking the U.S. currency up just over 0.1% from Friday's close, at 108.17.

It climbed 0.59% against Japan's yen JPY=, which had its best week since November last week as investors bet on more Bank of Japan rate hikes. The euro EUR=EBS was flat at $1.0329.

The dollar rose against the currencies of commodity-exporting countries before moderating. The Canadian dollar CAD=D3 was last around 0.2% lower.

"Much uncertainty about the nature, timing and magnitude of these tariffs looks likely to keep the dollar supported this week," said Chris Turner, global head of markets at European bank ING.

Turner also flagged the risk that Trump imposes reciprocal tariffs on many countries, as he said he would on Friday, which could shake currencies around the world.

U.S. stock futures initially fell but quickly recovered as investors looked ahead to another busy week of earnings. S&P 500 contracts ESc1 were last up 0.35%, after the cash index .SPX fell 0.95% on Friday.

Shares had been roiled by some mixed earnings numbers last week, though overall earnings per share growth is running at 12% and above early expectations of 8%.

Europe's continent-wide STOXX 600 index .STOXX rose 0.28% in early trading after slipping 0.38% on Friday.

The shares of some European steelmakers slipped, including Luxembourg-based ArcelorMittal MT.LU and Germany's Salzgitter SZGG.DE.

Analysts say tariffs could put upward pressure on U.S. inflation and further limit room for the Federal Reserve to ease policy, which has supported the U.S. dollar since Trump's re-election.

Markets had already scaled back expected rate cuts this year to just 36 basis points, from around 42 basis points, following a broadly upbeat payrolls report on Friday. 0#USDIRPR

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to appear before the House of Representatives on Tuesday and Wednesday and the impact of tariffs on policy is sure to be a hot-button issue.

U.S. Treasuries fell slightly on Monday, with yields on 10-year notes US10YT=RR up 1 basis point at 4.497%. Yields move inversely to prices.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 stock index was flat, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HIS rallied 1.84%. China's CSI 300 .CSI300 climbed 0.21%.

"Markets are largely taking unfolding events in their stride," said Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown.

"Stocks in China and Hong Kong were up overnight. Perhaps (due to) a mixture of trade restrictions not being as bad as they might have been and hope for further Chinese stimulus."

Worries about Chinese deflation were soothed by data showing consumer inflation accelerated to its fastest in five months in January.

Gold prices hit another record high at $2,901 an ounce XAU=, helped in part by talk Trump might impose tariffs on the metal. GOL/

London aluminium CMAL3 traded in a tight range on Monday as investors weighed the possible metals tariffs.

Oil prices ticked up after three weeks of losses that have been partly driven by trade concerns. Brent crude LCOc1 was 0.7% higher at $75.19 a barrel.

To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on  https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA 
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