
By Purvi Agarwal
Feb 6 (Reuters) - Most Latin American markets rose on Thursday as investors continued to await more clues on U.S. President Donald Trump's stance on Gaza and a trade war with China.
MSCI's index tracking Latin American currencies .MILA00000CUS was 0.5% higher, while the stocks measure .MILA00000PUS was up 0.7%, trading at its highest level since early December.
Investors were monitoring geopolitical conflicts, for any Trump-caused developments.
Israel's shekel ILS= and dollar bonds in the country and its neighbors were little changed.
Russia's rouble RUB= rallied, while Ukraine's dollar bonds inched up over 1 cent each, on hopes of a conclusion to the conflict after the countries said they were in touch with the U.S. administration.
In Latin America, the Mexican peso MXN= was up 0.1% ahead of a monetary policy decision where the central bank is widely expected to deliver a jumbo 50 basis point rate cut.
"We assess a higher than market pricing probability of a smaller 25bps rate cut given lingering uncertainty and the scar-tissue left by the US announcement of tariffs on Mexico, and subsequent decision to delay (hold) implementation," analysts at Goldman Sachs said.
"Overall, the risk-reward of accelerating the pace of rate cuts at this meeting is not favorable."
An official on Wednesday said that Mexico and the U.S. had agreed to economic dialogue in a week riddled with changing stances on tariffs and volatile moves in exposed economies.
China challenged the duties and Trump's cancellation of a duty-free exemption for low-value packages at the World Trade Organization.
On the day, however, markets looked past risks of a global trade war, and looked for any signs of de-escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
Stocks in Mexico .MXX were up 0.7%, aided by an over 5% boost in Cemex CEMEXCPO.MX after the cement maker posted a net profit in the fourth quarter and rolled out a $350 million savings program.
Higher oil prices also helped boost currencies in Latin America, with the Colombian peso COL= up 0.5%, while its stocks .COLCAP were up 0.3%.
Copper prices hitting multi-week highs lifted the Chilean peso CLP= to a near three month high.
The Brazilian real BRL= was up 0.2%, after snapping a 12-session win streak on Wednesday.
Elsewhere, the Czech central bank resumed its interest rate-cutting cycle, lowering the main two-week repo rate by 25 basis points.
Highlights:
Trump's aid cuts imperil emerging market investment cash
Ecuador banana heir Noboa seeks full presidential term to push on with crime crackdown
Zimbabwe central bank keeps policy rate at 35%
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Equities | Latest | Daily % change |
MSCI Emerging Markets .MSCIEF | 1101.15 | 0.49 |
MSCI LatAm .MILA00000PUS | 2050.39 | 0.69 |
Brazil Bovespa .BVSP | 125728.53 | 0.15 |
Mexico IPC .MXX | 51916.82 | 0.67 |
Chile IPSA .SPIPSA | 7281.27 | 0.1 |
Argentina Merval .MERV | 2508690.97 | 1.25 |
Colombia COLCAP .COLCAP | 1514.76 | 0.3 |
Currencies | Latest | Daily % change |
Brazil real BRL= | 5.7855 | 0.2 |
Mexico peso MXN= | 20.549 | 0.08 |
Chile peso CLP= | 965.8 | 0.5 |
Colombia peso COP= | 4151.67 | 0.52 |
Peru sol PEN= | 3.7086 | 0.15 |
Argentina peso (interbank) ARS=RASL | 1054 | 0 |
Argentina peso (parallel) ARSB= | 1195 | 1.67 |