Overview
Canada oil and gas producer's petroleum and natural gas Q4 sales fell 19% yr/yr due to lower production and pricing
Touchstone reported Q4 net profit, mainly from deferred tax recovery and asset disposition gains
Company faces material uncertainties over going concern, citing liquidity and debt covenant risks
Outlook
Company expects production growth from 2025 and 2026 drilling programs and improved commodity pricing
Touchstone projects a breach of bank debt covenants as of Dec 2026, may require waivers or amendments
Company may implement contingency measures including optimizing capital expenditures or seeking additional financing
Result Drivers
LOWER PRODUCTION AND PRICING - Co said Q4 revenue decline was mainly due to reduced production volumes and softened realized commodity prices
CENTRAL FIELD CONTRIBUTION - Central field added 2,065 boe/d to portfolio since acquisition, partially offsetting declines at other assets
INCREASED OPERATING EXPENSES - Higher natural gas operating expenses contributed to lower operating netback
Company press release: ID:nACSHYrX9a
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q4 Petroleum and Natural gas sales |
| $11 mln |
|
Q4 Net Income |
| $13.62 mln |
|
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 1 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the oil & gas exploration and production peer group is "buy"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Touchstone Exploration Inc is C$0.35, about 66.7% above its March 30 closing price of C$0.21
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