Overview
Latin America restaurant chain's Q4 revenue grew 10.7% yr/yr to $1.3 bln
Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 rose 17.2% yr/yr, reaching a full-year record
Company opened 48 new restaurants in Q4, exceeding company's full-year guidance
Outlook
Arcos Dorados plans to open 105 to 115 restaurants in 2026
Company expects 2026 capital expenditures of $275 mln to $325 mln
Company says it is focused on increasing efficiency and monetizing market share gains in 2026
Result Drivers
DIGITAL SALES GROWTH - Digital channels, including mobile app, delivery, and self-order kiosks, accounted for 62% of systemwide sales in Q4, supporting overall sales growth
MARKETING AND MENU INITIATIVES - Integrated menu strategies, value platforms, and marketing campaigns, including tie-ins with popular media and new product launches, boosted sales and consumer engagement
HIGHER TAX AND RESTRUCTURING COSTS - Net income declined mainly due to higher income tax expense and $8.7 mln in reorganization and optimization expenses
Company press release: ID:nBw6NKm5Xa
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q4 Net Income | Miss | $25.20 mln | $47 mln (2 Analysts) |
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA | Miss | $172.7 mln | $145.84 mln (2 Analysts) |
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 6 "strong buy" or "buy", 2 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the restaurants & bars peer group is "buy"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc is $11.00, about 42.9% above its March 18 closing price of $7.70
The stock recently traded at 11 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 11 three months ago
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