Overview
Canada oilfield services firm's Q4 revenue fell 23% yr/yr on lower Argentina activity
Q4 adjusted EBITDA rose 27% yr/yr, driven by improved North America operations
Company swung to Q4 net income from a loss a year earlier
Outlook
Calfrac expects a modest increase in pressure pumping activity in Canada during 2026
Company sees a moderate increase in oil-directed activity in North America in 2026
Calfrac's Board approved a 2026 capital budget of about C$75 mln, plus C$10 mln unspent from 2025
Result Drivers
ARGENTINA SLOWDOWN - Co said Q4 revenue in Argentina fell due to lower industry activity from customer budget exhaustion in Vaca Muerta shale play
NORTH AMERICA COST CUTS - Improved Q4 adjusted EBITDA in North America driven by more operating days per fleet and reductions in support personnel
ARGENTINA MARGIN BOOST - Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin in Argentina rose due to retroactive pumping hour adjustments and higher coiled tubing margins
Company press release: ID:nGNX2zn4KN
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q4 Revenue | Miss | C$292.18 mln | C$304.10 mln (2 Analysts) |
Q4 Net Income |
| C$14.52 mln |
|
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA |
| C$43.94 mln |
|
Q4 Capex |
| C$16.74 mln |
|
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is no "strong buy" or "buy", 2 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the oil related services and equipment peer group is "buy."
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Calfrac Well Services Ltd is C$5.25, about 1.5% above its March 18 closing price of C$5.17
The stock recently traded at 18 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 11 three months ago
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