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ADM Q4 revenue misses expectations, adjusted EPS beats

ReutersFeb 3, 2026 11:09 AM


Overview

  • Agricultural supply chain manager's Q4 revenue missed analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q4 beat analyst expectations

  • Company announced increase in quarterly dividend, marking 53 years of growth


Outlook

  • ADM expects 2026 adjusted EPS of $3.60 to $4.25

  • Company projects 2026 capital expenditures of $1.3 bln to $1.5 bln

  • ADM says U.S. biofuel policy clarity will impact ability to achieve higher EPS


Result Drivers

  • AG SERVICES & OILSEEDS - Lower soybean exports and weaker crush margins led to a 31% decline in operating profit

  • CARBOHYDRATE SOLUTIONS - Operating profit decreased 6% due to lower demand for starches and sweeteners and high corn costs in EMEA

  • VANTAGE CORN PROCESSORS - Operating profit rose 187% due to strong ethanol margins


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Miss

$18.56 bln

$21.12 bln (7 Analysts)

Q4 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$0.87

$0.80 (9 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

$0.94

Q4 Adjusted Net Income

Beat

$422 mln

$392.26 mln (6 Analysts)

Q4 Net Income

$456 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 2 "strong buy" or "buy", 8 "hold" and 3 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the food processing peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland Co is $57.07, about 16.2% below its February 2 closing price of $68.08

  • The stock recently traded at 16 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 13 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nBwb2fdyba

For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.

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