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CSX Q4 revenue slightly misses estimates, partly hurt by lower merchandise volume

ReutersJan 22, 2026 9:11 PM


Overview

  • Transportation company's Q4 revenue slightly missed analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q4 beat analyst expectations

  • Company faced subdued industrial demand, impacting revenue


Result Drivers

  • LOWER MERCHANDISE VOLUME - Revenue decline attributed to lower merchandise volume and reduced export coal revenue, despite higher pricing and intermodal volume

  • SEVERANCE AND TECHNOLOGY EXPENSES - Q4 operating income and EPS impacted by $50 mln in severance and technology rationalization expenses

  • SUBDUED INDUSTRIAL DEMAND - CEO cited subdued industrial demand environment as a factor impacting results


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Slight Miss*

$3.51 bln

$3.54 bln (18 Analysts)

Q4 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$0.42

$0.41 (22 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

$0.39

Q4 Net Income

$720 mln

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 20 "strong buy" or "buy", 6 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the ground freight & logistics peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for CSX Corp is $40.00, about 9.5% above its January 21 closing price of $36.53

  • The stock recently traded at 19 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 19 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nGNX3vCbts

For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact RefinitivNewsSupport@thomsonreuters.com.

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