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Brazil's Lula seen beating key rivals in 2026 election, poll shows

ReutersDec 16, 2025 5:09 PM

- Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva would win potential 2026 runoffs against Sao Paulo Governor Tarcisio de Freitas and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, a Quaest poll commissioned by brokerage Genial showed on Tuesday.

  • In a first round scenario, Lula would have 41% of the vote, against Flavio Bolsonaro's 23% and Freitas's 10%.

  • Lula would win a run-off against Flavio Bolsonaro 46%-36%.

  • The president would beat Freitas 45%-35% in a potential runoff, the poll showed.

  • Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between December 11-14. The poll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points in either direction.

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