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Astrana Q2 revenue rises 35% but misses analyst expectations

ReutersAug 7, 2025 8:26 PM


Overview

  • Astrana Q2 2025 revenue rises 35% yr/yr but misses analyst expectations, per LSEG data

  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 at higher end of co's guidance

  • Company completed acquisition of Prospect Health, enhancing growth prospects


Outlook

  • Astrana sees Q3 revenue between $925 mln and $965 mln

  • Company expects full-year revenue between $3.1 bln and $3.3 bln

  • Astrana anticipates Q3 adjusted EBITDA of $65 mln to $70 mln

  • Company reiterates full-year guidance including Prospect Health acquisition


Result Drivers

  • REVENUE GROWTH - Total revenue increased by 35% year-over-year, driven by effective management of medical cost trends

  • TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM - Company's technology-enabled model contributed to strong results, providing real-time visibility into patient health


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Revenue

Miss

$631.44 mln

$638.30 mln (9 Analysts)

Q2 Income from Operations

$49.68 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 8 "strong buy" or "buy", 3 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the healthcare facilities & services peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Astrana Health Inc is $46.00, about 52.6% above its August 6 closing price of $21.81

  • The stock recently traded at 13 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 21 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nPn2rdyrwa

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