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Target Hospitality beats Q2 revenue estimates; lifts 2025 guidance

ReutersAug 7, 2025 10:58 AM


Overview

  • Target Hospitality Q2 revenue falls 39% yr/yr but beats analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EBITDA declines significantly and misses analyst estimates, per LSEG data

  • Net loss of $14.9 mln in Q2, reversing prior year's profit


Outlook

  • Target raises 2025 revenue outlook to $310-$320 mln

  • Company expects 2025 adjusted EBITDA between $50 mln and $60 mln

  • Target anticipates increased government sector contributions in H2 2025


Result Drivers

  • CONTRACT TERMINATIONS - Revenue decline primarily due to termination of Pecos Children's Center and South Texas Family Residential Center contracts

  • NEW CONTRACTS - Dilley Contract and Workforce Hub Contract partially offset revenue decline

  • CONSTRUCTION EXPENSES - Increased operating expenses related to construction services for Workforce Hub Contract impacted adjusted EBITDA


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Revenue

Beat

$61.60 mln

$56.40 mln (3 Analysts)

Q2 Net Income

-$14.90 mln

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Miss

$3.50 mln

$5.70 mln (3 Analysts)


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 1 "strong buy" or "buy", 2 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the hotels, motels & cruise lines peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Target Hospitality Corp is $8.75, about 16.6% above its August 6 closing price of $7.30

Press Release: ID:nPnGg2tza

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